Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 1–6 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.5% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.3% 24.1–31.2%
Venstre 19.5% 18.3% 16.9–20.0% 16.4–20.4% 16.1–20.8% 15.4–21.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.6% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.7–20.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 46–52 45–54 44–55 42–55
Venstre 34 32 30–35 30–35 29–36 27–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 29–33 28–34 27–35 25–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–16 13–17 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.5%  
44 4% 99.1%  
45 3% 96%  
46 4% 92%  
47 15% 88% Last Result
48 6% 73%  
49 24% 68% Median
50 15% 44%  
51 15% 29%  
52 6% 14%  
53 1.3% 8%  
54 4% 7%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.3% 0.3%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.8%  
28 1.1% 99.2%  
29 2% 98%  
30 26% 96%  
31 16% 70%  
32 7% 54% Median
33 13% 46%  
34 4% 34% Last Result
35 27% 30%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.3% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.7% 100%  
26 1.1% 99.3%  
27 1.3% 98%  
28 4% 97%  
29 11% 93%  
30 27% 82%  
31 18% 55% Median
32 20% 37%  
33 12% 17%  
34 2% 5%  
35 1.3% 3%  
36 0.6% 2%  
37 0.9% 1.4% Last Result
38 0.5% 0.5%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.0%  
13 7% 97%  
14 50% 90% Last Result, Median
15 18% 40%  
16 14% 21%  
17 4% 8%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 12% 99.2% Last Result
9 6% 87%  
10 39% 81% Median
11 24% 42%  
12 14% 18%  
13 4% 4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 5% 99.7%  
8 40% 95%  
9 12% 54% Median
10 31% 42%  
11 8% 11%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.4% 99.9%  
7 14% 99.5% Last Result
8 29% 85%  
9 42% 56% Median
10 7% 14%  
11 5% 6%  
12 0.9% 1.3%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.9%  
7 15% 99.1%  
8 44% 84% Median
9 24% 40% Last Result
10 13% 16%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 30% 97% Last Result
7 30% 67% Median
8 14% 37%  
9 19% 24%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0.3% 86%  
4 38% 86% Median
5 17% 48%  
6 31% 31%  
7 0.3% 0.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0.2% 0.3%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 74% 88–95 87–97 86–97 84–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 2% 80–87 78–88 78–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 2% 80–87 78–88 78–89 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 0.2% 79–86 79–87 77–89 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0% 78–86 77–86 75–87 73–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 78–83 76–84 74–85 73–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 78–83 76–84 74–85 73–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 69–76 68–77 68–79 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 68 0% 65–71 64–73 63–74 60–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 56–63 55–65 55–65 52–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–51 46–53 45–54 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 37–42 37–43 36–43 33–45
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–35 30–35 29–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.4% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.5%  
85 1.2% 99.4% Last Result
86 3% 98%  
87 5% 96%  
88 2% 91%  
89 15% 89%  
90 19% 74% Median, Majority
91 16% 55%  
92 6% 39%  
93 17% 33%  
94 4% 16%  
95 3% 12%  
96 3% 9%  
97 5% 5%  
98 0.6% 0.8%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 5% 99.2%  
79 3% 95%  
80 3% 91%  
81 4% 88%  
82 17% 84%  
83 6% 67% Median
84 16% 61%  
85 19% 45%  
86 15% 26%  
87 2% 11%  
88 5% 9%  
89 3% 4%  
90 1.2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 5% 99.2%  
79 4% 95%  
80 3% 91%  
81 4% 88%  
82 17% 84%  
83 6% 67% Median
84 16% 61%  
85 19% 45%  
86 15% 26%  
87 2% 11%  
88 5% 9%  
89 3% 4%  
90 1.0% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 1.1% 99.7% Last Result
77 1.2% 98.6%  
78 1.4% 97%  
79 7% 96%  
80 6% 89%  
81 2% 83%  
82 33% 80% Median
83 16% 48%  
84 12% 31%  
85 2% 19%  
86 8% 17%  
87 5% 9%  
88 1.3% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.4% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 99.3%  
75 2% 99.1%  
76 2% 97%  
77 4% 95% Last Result
78 4% 91%  
79 13% 88%  
80 33% 75% Median
81 15% 41%  
82 5% 27%  
83 2% 22%  
84 6% 20%  
85 4% 15%  
86 7% 10%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.1%  
75 0.7% 97%  
76 4% 97%  
77 2% 92%  
78 16% 90%  
79 27% 74% Median
80 25% 47%  
81 4% 22%  
82 7% 18%  
83 5% 11%  
84 2% 6%  
85 1.1% 4%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.6% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.1%  
75 0.7% 97%  
76 4% 97%  
77 2% 92%  
78 16% 90%  
79 27% 74% Median
80 25% 47%  
81 4% 22%  
82 7% 18%  
83 5% 11%  
84 2% 6%  
85 0.9% 3%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.6% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.6% 99.9%  
66 0.5% 99.3%  
67 0.8% 98.7%  
68 5% 98% Last Result
69 5% 93%  
70 5% 88%  
71 2% 83%  
72 50% 81% Median
73 5% 31%  
74 6% 26%  
75 8% 19%  
76 2% 11%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.7% 3%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.7% 99.1% Last Result
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 97%  
65 6% 93%  
66 15% 88%  
67 8% 73%  
68 21% 65% Median
69 15% 44%  
70 15% 28%  
71 4% 13%  
72 4% 9%  
73 2% 5%  
74 3% 3%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.6% 99.8%  
53 0.8% 99.1%  
54 0.8% 98%  
55 5% 98% Last Result
56 3% 93%  
57 19% 90%  
58 3% 71%  
59 24% 67% Median
60 3% 43%  
61 19% 41%  
62 4% 22%  
63 11% 18%  
64 0.9% 7%  
65 6% 6%  
66 0.5% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.5% 99.8%  
44 2% 99.3%  
45 2% 98%  
46 11% 96%  
47 16% 85%  
48 5% 69% Median
49 34% 63%  
50 17% 30%  
51 6% 13%  
52 1.0% 7%  
53 3% 6% Last Result
54 3% 3%  
55 0.3% 0.8%  
56 0.2% 0.5%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.4%  
35 0.6% 98.8%  
36 2% 98%  
37 11% 96%  
38 14% 85%  
39 21% 71% Median
40 8% 50% Last Result
41 27% 42%  
42 7% 14%  
43 6% 8%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.3% 0.7%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.8%  
28 1.1% 99.2%  
29 2% 98%  
30 26% 96%  
31 16% 70%  
32 7% 54% Median
33 13% 46%  
34 4% 34% Last Result
35 27% 30%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.3% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations