Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 8–14 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.3% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.7% 25.7–31.2% 24.8–32.1%
Venstre 19.5% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.8–20.5% 15.1–21.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.8–21.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–11.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 48–52 47–54 45–56 44–57
Venstre 34 33 31–34 30–35 28–36 27–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 13–18 12–18 12–18 11–19
Liberal Alliance 13 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 7 7–12 7–12 7–12 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 1.2% 99.6%  
45 1.1% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 2% 95% Last Result
48 11% 93%  
49 44% 82% Median
50 13% 38%  
51 14% 25%  
52 4% 11%  
53 0.7% 7%  
54 2% 6%  
55 0.4% 4%  
56 2% 4%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 99.5%  
28 2% 99.0%  
29 2% 97%  
30 6% 96%  
31 27% 90%  
32 8% 63%  
33 29% 55% Median
34 15% 25% Last Result
35 6% 10%  
36 1.2% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.6%  
28 7% 99.2%  
29 13% 93%  
30 24% 79%  
31 22% 55% Median
32 11% 33%  
33 7% 22%  
34 12% 15%  
35 2% 3%  
36 1.0% 1.3%  
37 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 7% 99.0%  
13 15% 92%  
14 17% 77% Last Result
15 7% 60%  
16 9% 53% Median
17 18% 44%  
18 25% 26%  
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.9%  
8 5% 99.8%  
9 13% 95%  
10 62% 82% Median
11 7% 20%  
12 8% 13%  
13 4% 5% Last Result
14 0.2% 0.9%  
15 0.7% 0.7%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 2% 99.6% Last Result
8 5% 98%  
9 30% 93%  
10 45% 63% Median
11 12% 17%  
12 4% 6%  
13 1.0% 1.2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.9% 100%  
7 8% 99.1%  
8 20% 91% Last Result
9 33% 72% Median
10 29% 39%  
11 8% 10%  
12 1.2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.2% 99.9%  
7 50% 98.7% Median
8 11% 49%  
9 14% 38% Last Result
10 7% 24%  
11 7% 17%  
12 10% 10%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 10% 98%  
6 60% 88% Last Result, Median
7 21% 28%  
8 5% 7%  
9 1.4% 2%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 0% 67%  
2 0% 67%  
3 0% 67%  
4 56% 67% Median
5 9% 10%  
6 0.7% 0.9%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 94 85% 87–96 87–96 87–98 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 84 2% 80–87 80–87 79–89 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 2% 79–87 79–87 79–88 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0.2% 79–88 79–88 77–88 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 81 0.2% 79–88 79–88 77–88 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0% 77–84 77–84 75–85 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 80 0% 77–84 76–84 75–85 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 72–77 72–79 70–80 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 69 0% 66–72 64–73 63–74 61–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 56–61 55–63 54–64 53–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–51 46–53 45–54 42–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 37–41 36–42 35–42 32–44
Venstre 34 33 0% 31–34 30–35 28–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.7% 99.8%  
87 10% 99.1%  
88 2% 90%  
89 3% 87%  
90 7% 85% Majority
91 20% 77% Median
92 5% 58%  
93 2% 52%  
94 32% 50%  
95 3% 18%  
96 11% 15%  
97 2% 5%  
98 1.5% 3%  
99 0.6% 1.1%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.9% 99.9%  
78 1.0% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 14% 97%  
81 2% 83%  
82 9% 81%  
83 10% 72%  
84 25% 62% Median
85 4% 37%  
86 3% 33%  
87 25% 30%  
88 1.2% 5%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.5% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.3% 99.7% Last Result
78 0.4% 98%  
79 12% 98%  
80 1.0% 86%  
81 2% 85%  
82 22% 83% Median
83 11% 61%  
84 28% 51%  
85 5% 23%  
86 2% 18%  
87 12% 16%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 1.1% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 99.5%  
77 1.5% 98.9%  
78 2% 97%  
79 11% 95%  
80 3% 85%  
81 32% 82%  
82 2% 50%  
83 5% 48%  
84 20% 42% Median
85 7% 23%  
86 3% 15%  
87 2% 13%  
88 10% 10%  
89 0.7% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 99.5%  
77 1.5% 98.9%  
78 2% 97%  
79 11% 95%  
80 3% 85%  
81 32% 82%  
82 2% 50%  
83 5% 47%  
84 20% 42% Median
85 7% 23%  
86 3% 15%  
87 2% 13%  
88 10% 10%  
89 0.7% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 1.0% 99.5%  
75 2% 98.5%  
76 1.4% 96%  
77 25% 95%  
78 2% 70%  
79 15% 68%  
80 19% 53% Median
81 10% 34%  
82 3% 24%  
83 6% 21%  
84 10% 15%  
85 3% 5%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 1.1% 99.5%  
75 2% 98%  
76 1.4% 96%  
77 25% 95%  
78 2% 69%  
79 15% 67%  
80 19% 52% Median
81 10% 34%  
82 3% 24%  
83 6% 21%  
84 10% 15%  
85 3% 5%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.7% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.2% Last Result
69 0.9% 98.5%  
70 1.2% 98%  
71 0.7% 96%  
72 17% 96%  
73 7% 78%  
74 6% 72%  
75 30% 66% Median
76 3% 36%  
77 27% 33%  
78 0.5% 6%  
79 2% 6%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 0.2% 2%  
82 1.3% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.6% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
63 3% 99.3%  
64 2% 96%  
65 1.3% 94%  
66 3% 93%  
67 29% 90%  
68 7% 61% Median
69 27% 54%  
70 11% 27%  
71 6% 16%  
72 5% 10%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.6%  
77 0.4% 0.4%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.7%  
54 3% 99.0%  
55 3% 96% Last Result
56 11% 93%  
57 7% 82%  
58 16% 75% Median
59 28% 58%  
60 14% 30%  
61 7% 17%  
62 2% 9%  
63 3% 7%  
64 3% 5%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.7%  
43 0.4% 99.4%  
44 0.8% 99.1%  
45 3% 98%  
46 5% 95%  
47 24% 90%  
48 8% 66%  
49 20% 57% Median
50 21% 38%  
51 8% 17%  
52 2% 9%  
53 3% 7% Last Result
54 3% 4%  
55 0.4% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0.5% 99.9%  
33 0.3% 99.4%  
34 0.8% 99.1%  
35 2% 98%  
36 4% 96%  
37 27% 92%  
38 8% 65%  
39 24% 57% Median
40 22% 34% Last Result
41 4% 12%  
42 6% 8%  
43 0.4% 2%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 99.5%  
28 2% 99.0%  
29 2% 97%  
30 6% 96%  
31 27% 90%  
32 8% 63%  
33 29% 55% Median
34 15% 25% Last Result
35 6% 10%  
36 1.2% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations