Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 15–21 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.2% 16.8–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Venstre 19.5% 17.3% 15.9–18.9% 15.5–19.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.5–20.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.4–7.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 46–51 46–51 46–51 44–54
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 30–34 30–34 30–34 29–36
Venstre 34 31 27–32 27–35 27–35 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 14–18 14–18 13–18 12–19
Liberal Alliance 13 11 11–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 7–13
Alternativet 9 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 5 5–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.8% 99.6%  
45 0.8% 98.8%  
46 58% 98% Median
47 1.1% 40% Last Result
48 15% 39%  
49 2% 23%  
50 6% 22%  
51 13% 15%  
52 0.5% 2%  
53 1.2% 2%  
54 0.5% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.8%  
29 1.1% 99.6%  
30 15% 98%  
31 4% 83%  
32 13% 79%  
33 9% 65%  
34 54% 56% Median
35 1.1% 2%  
36 0.7% 1.2%  
37 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 1.1% 99.6%  
27 11% 98.6%  
28 4% 87%  
29 3% 83%  
30 2% 81%  
31 68% 79% Median
32 2% 12%  
33 4% 9%  
34 0.5% 6% Last Result
35 4% 5%  
36 0.3% 1.1%  
37 0.8% 0.8%  
38 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 3% 99.3%  
14 56% 97% Last Result, Median
15 16% 41%  
16 7% 25%  
17 5% 17%  
18 12% 13%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 1.4% 99.6%  
10 6% 98%  
11 59% 92% Median
12 16% 33%  
13 15% 17% Last Result
14 2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 0.9% 99.3% Last Result
9 19% 98%  
10 58% 79% Median
11 15% 21%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.4% 0.6%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.3% 99.8%  
8 10% 99.5%  
9 8% 90% Last Result
10 66% 82% Median
11 14% 16%  
12 0.9% 2%  
13 0.7% 0.7%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.6% 100%  
7 6% 99.4% Last Result
8 20% 93%  
9 15% 74%  
10 56% 59% Median
11 2% 3%  
12 0.7% 0.8%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 5% 99.9%  
5 66% 95% Median
6 22% 29% Last Result
7 5% 6%  
8 1.2% 1.4%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0.2% 80%  
4 77% 80% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 90 92% 90–96 87–96 87–96 86–99
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 0.2% 79–85 79–88 79–88 76–89
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 0.2% 79–85 79–88 79–88 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 80 0.9% 80–85 78–85 78–87 78–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 80 0.4% 80–85 78–85 78–86 76–89
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0% 77–81 77–84 77–84 74–88
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0% 77–81 77–84 77–84 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 70 0% 70–75 69–75 69–77 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 65–70 64–70 62–72 62–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 56 0% 56–62 55–62 55–62 54–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 47 0% 45–49 45–51 45–52 42–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 36 0% 33–38 33–39 33–40 32–43
Venstre 34 31 0% 27–32 27–35 27–35 26–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.9% 99.8%  
87 4% 98.9%  
88 1.0% 95%  
89 2% 94%  
90 52% 92% Median, Majority
91 2% 40%  
92 5% 37%  
93 3% 32%  
94 12% 28%  
95 0.9% 16%  
96 13% 15%  
97 0.3% 2%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.2%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.3% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.7% 99.5%  
77 0.6% 98.8%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 13% 98%  
80 0.9% 85%  
81 12% 84%  
82 3% 72%  
83 5% 68%  
84 2% 63%  
85 52% 60% Median
86 2% 8%  
87 1.0% 6%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.9% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.7% 99.5%  
77 0.6% 98.8%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 13% 98%  
80 0.9% 85%  
81 12% 84%  
82 3% 71%  
83 5% 68%  
84 2% 63%  
85 52% 60% Median
86 2% 8%  
87 1.0% 6%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.9% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 5% 99.6%  
79 2% 95%  
80 53% 93% Median
81 1.0% 39%  
82 2% 38%  
83 1.3% 36%  
84 16% 35%  
85 15% 19%  
86 1.0% 4%  
87 0.5% 3%  
88 1.0% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.3%  
90 0.5% 0.9% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 0.9% 99.4% Last Result
78 6% 98%  
79 0.9% 93%  
80 55% 92% Median
81 2% 37%  
82 2% 35%  
83 4% 32%  
84 1.2% 29%  
85 24% 27%  
86 1.1% 3%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.7% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.3% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 0.6% 99.3%  
76 1.1% 98.8%  
77 11% 98%  
78 4% 86%  
79 17% 82%  
80 2% 65%  
81 54% 63% Median
82 2% 10%  
83 0.9% 7%  
84 4% 7%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.4%  
87 0.2% 0.9%  
88 0.7% 0.8%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.8%  
75 0.6% 99.2%  
76 1.1% 98.7%  
77 11% 98%  
78 4% 86%  
79 17% 82%  
80 2% 65%  
81 54% 63% Median
82 2% 10%  
83 0.9% 7%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.4%  
87 0.1% 0.9%  
88 0.7% 0.8%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.6% Last Result
69 6% 98%  
70 53% 92% Median
71 1.3% 39%  
72 4% 38%  
73 2% 34%  
74 13% 32%  
75 15% 19%  
76 1.0% 4%  
77 0.7% 3%  
78 1.2% 2%  
79 0% 0.8%  
80 0.6% 0.7%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 3% 99.6% Last Result
63 0.9% 96%  
64 3% 95%  
65 3% 92%  
66 63% 89% Median
67 1.1% 26%  
68 4% 25%  
69 1.4% 21%  
70 16% 20%  
71 1.0% 4%  
72 1.3% 3%  
73 0.5% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.4% 0.4%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 0.4% 99.6%  
55 5% 99.2% Last Result
56 53% 94% Median
57 14% 40%  
58 4% 27%  
59 2% 23%  
60 2% 21%  
61 0.8% 19%  
62 16% 18%  
63 1.3% 2%  
64 0.5% 1.1%  
65 0.5% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.2%  
44 0.6% 98.6%  
45 16% 98%  
46 2% 82%  
47 52% 81% Median
48 6% 29%  
49 13% 23%  
50 1.3% 9%  
51 4% 8%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.0% 2% Last Result
54 1.3% 1.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.3% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.6%  
32 1.2% 99.5%  
33 12% 98%  
34 1.1% 87%  
35 4% 86%  
36 65% 81% Median
37 6% 16%  
38 2% 11%  
39 6% 9%  
40 0.8% 3% Last Result
41 1.0% 2%  
42 0.2% 1.0%  
43 0.7% 0.8%  
44 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 1.1% 99.6%  
27 11% 98.6%  
28 4% 87%  
29 3% 83%  
30 2% 81%  
31 68% 79% Median
32 2% 12%  
33 4% 9%  
34 0.5% 6% Last Result
35 4% 5%  
36 0.3% 1.1%  
37 0.8% 0.8%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations