Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 22–28 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.8% 25.1–28.6% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
Venstre 19.5% 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.5% 16.1–19.1% 15.7–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 46–51 45–51 44–52 42–54
Venstre 34 32 30–35 30–35 28–36 27–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 29–33 28–34 27–35 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–13 9–13 9–14 8–15
Liberal Alliance 13 10 8–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Alternativet 9 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 5–9 5–9 4–9 4–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.6% 99.7%  
43 1.1% 99.1%  
44 2% 98%  
45 4% 96%  
46 8% 92%  
47 4% 84% Last Result
48 34% 80% Median
49 30% 46%  
50 2% 16%  
51 11% 14%  
52 1.3% 4%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.5% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.1%  
29 2% 97%  
30 11% 95%  
31 11% 84%  
32 45% 73% Median
33 11% 28%  
34 6% 17% Last Result
35 8% 11%  
36 1.4% 3%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.8%  
27 4% 99.5%  
28 4% 95%  
29 5% 91%  
30 27% 86%  
31 40% 59% Median
32 8% 19%  
33 2% 10%  
34 5% 8%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.5% 1.2%  
37 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 5% 99.5%  
13 8% 94%  
14 47% 86% Last Result, Median
15 8% 40%  
16 25% 32%  
17 4% 7%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.5% 0.9%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100% Last Result
9 8% 99.5%  
10 8% 91%  
11 30% 83%  
12 17% 53% Median
13 32% 36%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.4% 0.6%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.3% 99.9%  
8 12% 98.7%  
9 9% 87%  
10 34% 78% Median
11 31% 44%  
12 6% 13%  
13 6% 7% Last Result
14 0.5% 0.8%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.9% Last Result
8 6% 99.0%  
9 43% 93% Median
10 28% 49%  
11 11% 21%  
12 6% 10%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.5% 0.8%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 2% 99.8%  
7 6% 98%  
8 38% 92%  
9 38% 54% Last Result, Median
10 10% 15%  
11 3% 5%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 10% 97%  
6 14% 87% Last Result
7 11% 73%  
8 34% 62% Median
9 26% 28%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0.2% 30%  
4 19% 30%  
5 10% 11%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 93 94% 91–95 89–97 88–98 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 2% 82–87 80–88 79–89 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.2% 80–84 78–86 77–87 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 0.2% 80–84 78–86 77–87 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0.2% 79–84 78–86 76–87 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0% 77–83 76–84 75–85 73–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0% 77–83 76–84 75–85 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 70–75 69–77 68–78 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 70 0% 67–72 66–73 65–74 63–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 57–62 56–63 55–64 53–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 47–53 46–54 45–54 43–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 37–43 36–43 35–44 34–47
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–35 30–35 28–36 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.3% 99.8%  
87 1.4% 99.4%  
88 2% 98%  
89 2% 96%  
90 2% 94% Majority
91 10% 92%  
92 14% 82% Median
93 27% 68%  
94 27% 41%  
95 4% 14%  
96 3% 9%  
97 3% 6%  
98 1.3% 4%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 1.2% 2%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.2% 0.2%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.6% 99.6%  
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 3% 92%  
83 11% 89% Median
84 39% 78%  
85 10% 39%  
86 17% 28%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.7% 2% Majority
91 0.6% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.2% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 3% 94%  
80 4% 91%  
81 27% 86% Median
82 27% 59%  
83 14% 32%  
84 10% 18%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.4% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.2% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 3% 94%  
80 4% 91%  
81 27% 86% Median
82 27% 59%  
83 14% 32%  
84 10% 18%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.4% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.1% 99.6%  
76 2% 98%  
77 1.1% 97% Last Result
78 4% 96%  
79 5% 92%  
80 33% 87% Median
81 7% 54%  
82 8% 47%  
83 28% 39%  
84 3% 11%  
85 2% 7%  
86 1.4% 5%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 1.2% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 2% 99.4%  
75 2% 98%  
76 1.4% 96%  
77 5% 95%  
78 11% 90%  
79 8% 79%  
80 7% 71%  
81 24% 64% Median
82 26% 40%  
83 5% 14%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.7% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.7% 1.4%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 2% 99.4%  
75 2% 98%  
76 1.4% 96%  
77 5% 95%  
78 11% 90%  
79 8% 79%  
80 7% 71%  
81 24% 64% Median
82 26% 40%  
83 5% 14%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.7% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.7% 1.4%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 1.4% 99.1%  
68 2% 98% Last Result
69 1.3% 96%  
70 5% 94%  
71 31% 89% Median
72 9% 59%  
73 11% 50%  
74 9% 39%  
75 23% 31%  
76 3% 8%  
77 2% 5%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.7% 1.3%  
80 0.1% 0.6%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 3% 98.6%  
66 3% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 4% 89%  
69 14% 85% Median
70 55% 71%  
71 4% 17%  
72 4% 13%  
73 5% 9%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.6% 1.0%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.9% 99.8%  
54 1.4% 99.0%  
55 1.3% 98% Last Result
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 94%  
58 7% 89%  
59 8% 82%  
60 30% 74% Median
61 32% 44%  
62 4% 12%  
63 5% 8%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.8% 1.2%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.8% 99.9%  
44 1.0% 99.2%  
45 2% 98%  
46 6% 96%  
47 12% 90%  
48 7% 78%  
49 9% 71%  
50 3% 62% Median
51 45% 59%  
52 4% 15%  
53 5% 10% Last Result
54 3% 5%  
55 1.2% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.0%  
57 0.5% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.6%  
35 2% 98%  
36 2% 96%  
37 13% 94%  
38 12% 81%  
39 10% 70%  
40 29% 60% Last Result, Median
41 17% 30%  
42 2% 13%  
43 6% 11%  
44 3% 4%  
45 1.1% 2%  
46 0.2% 0.8%  
47 0.5% 0.5%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.1%  
29 2% 97%  
30 11% 95%  
31 11% 84%  
32 45% 73% Median
33 11% 28%  
34 6% 17% Last Result
35 8% 11%  
36 1.4% 3%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations