Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 29 October–5 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.8% 26.0–29.6% 25.6–30.2% 25.1–30.6% 24.3–31.5%
Venstre 19.5% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.1% 15.8–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 47–53 46–54 45–56 43–56
Venstre 34 33 30–37 30–37 29–39 28–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 27–35 27–36 27–38 26–39
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–19 14–19 13–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–11 6–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 9 7–10 6–11 6–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 7 5–9 5–9 5–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.7% 99.8%  
44 0.8% 99.1%  
45 2% 98%  
46 5% 97%  
47 4% 92% Last Result
48 23% 88%  
49 21% 65% Median
50 17% 44%  
51 12% 27%  
52 4% 15%  
53 2% 11%  
54 5% 10%  
55 2% 4%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.7%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 11% 97%  
31 10% 86%  
32 9% 76%  
33 25% 66% Median
34 18% 41% Last Result
35 4% 23%  
36 2% 18%  
37 13% 16%  
38 1.0% 4%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.7% 100%  
27 13% 99.3%  
28 3% 86%  
29 7% 83%  
30 16% 76%  
31 6% 60%  
32 7% 54% Median
33 25% 47%  
34 9% 23%  
35 5% 14%  
36 5% 9%  
37 0.9% 4% Last Result
38 0.2% 3%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.8% 100%  
13 3% 99.2%  
14 10% 97% Last Result
15 18% 86%  
16 25% 69% Median
17 29% 44%  
18 3% 14%  
19 9% 11%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 6% 99.9% Last Result
9 4% 94%  
10 51% 90% Median
11 16% 39%  
12 18% 23%  
13 3% 5%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 5% 99.9%  
7 10% 95% Last Result
8 29% 85%  
9 40% 56% Median
10 7% 16%  
11 8% 9%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 6% 99.9%  
7 17% 94%  
8 20% 78%  
9 39% 58% Median
10 13% 19%  
11 5% 6%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 18% 100%  
6 19% 82%  
7 18% 63% Median
8 34% 45%  
9 8% 11% Last Result
10 3% 3%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 4% 99.6%  
6 41% 96% Last Result
7 28% 55% Median
8 19% 26%  
9 6% 7%  
10 0.9% 1.2%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 0% 65%  
2 0% 65%  
3 0% 65%  
4 56% 65% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 65% 89–96 88–97 88–98 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 5% 81–88 80–89 80–90 77–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.7% 79–86 78–87 77–87 74–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 0.7% 79–86 78–87 77–87 74–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.1% 75–84 75–86 75–87 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.1% 75–84 75–86 75–87 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0.2% 79–86 77–86 77–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 71–78 69–78 69–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 68 0% 66–73 65–73 64–75 61–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 57–64 57–64 55–67 54–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 45–52 45–53 44–54 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 36–43 36–45 36–45 35–46
Venstre 34 33 0% 30–37 30–37 29–39 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
86 0.5% 99.3%  
87 1.1% 98.8%  
88 5% 98%  
89 28% 93%  
90 3% 65% Majority
91 9% 62% Median
92 11% 52%  
93 10% 41%  
94 4% 31%  
95 10% 27%  
96 11% 17%  
97 2% 6%  
98 3% 5%  
99 0.7% 1.5%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.4% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.4% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.4%  
79 1.3% 99.1%  
80 5% 98%  
81 3% 92%  
82 3% 90%  
83 16% 87%  
84 22% 71% Median
85 11% 48%  
86 8% 38%  
87 4% 30%  
88 19% 26%  
89 2% 7%  
90 3% 5% Majority
91 0.9% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.5% 0.5%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.5%  
76 0.7% 99.2%  
77 3% 98.5%  
78 2% 95%  
79 11% 93%  
80 10% 83%  
81 4% 73%  
82 10% 69%  
83 11% 59%  
84 9% 48%  
85 3% 38% Median
86 28% 35%  
87 5% 7%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.5% 0.7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.5%  
76 0.7% 99.2%  
77 3% 98.5%  
78 2% 95%  
79 11% 93%  
80 10% 83%  
81 4% 73%  
82 10% 69%  
83 11% 59%  
84 9% 48%  
85 3% 38% Median
86 28% 35%  
87 5% 7%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.5% 0.7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.8% 99.6%  
75 9% 98.8%  
76 9% 90%  
77 6% 81%  
78 10% 75%  
79 5% 65%  
80 5% 60%  
81 5% 55% Median
82 31% 50%  
83 4% 20%  
84 6% 15%  
85 0.9% 9%  
86 4% 8%  
87 4% 4%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.8% 99.6%  
75 9% 98.8%  
76 9% 90%  
77 6% 81%  
78 10% 75%  
79 5% 65%  
80 5% 60%  
81 5% 55% Median
82 31% 50%  
83 4% 20%  
84 6% 15%  
85 0.9% 9%  
86 4% 8%  
87 4% 4%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.3%  
76 0.6% 98.9%  
77 5% 98% Last Result
78 3% 94%  
79 29% 90%  
80 7% 61%  
81 7% 54% Median
82 12% 47%  
83 6% 35%  
84 6% 29%  
85 12% 23%  
86 10% 12%  
87 0.3% 2%  
88 0.1% 1.3%  
89 1.0% 1.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.6% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.3%  
68 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
69 5% 98.7%  
70 3% 94%  
71 3% 92%  
72 6% 89%  
73 18% 83%  
74 23% 64% Median
75 10% 41%  
76 8% 31%  
77 4% 24%  
78 17% 19%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 0.3% 1.5%  
81 0.6% 1.2%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.5% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.4% Last Result
63 0.8% 99.1%  
64 0.8% 98%  
65 6% 97%  
66 4% 92%  
67 32% 88%  
68 9% 56% Median
69 12% 47%  
70 13% 35%  
71 7% 22%  
72 5% 15%  
73 6% 11%  
74 1.1% 4%  
75 3% 3%  
76 0.4% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 2% 99.7%  
55 0.9% 98% Last Result
56 2% 97%  
57 6% 96%  
58 21% 90%  
59 19% 69% Median
60 13% 50%  
61 9% 37%  
62 8% 28%  
63 10% 20%  
64 6% 10%  
65 0.5% 4%  
66 0.5% 3%  
67 0.6% 3%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 1.1% 99.8%  
44 3% 98.7%  
45 8% 96%  
46 9% 88%  
47 3% 79%  
48 22% 76%  
49 26% 54% Median
50 6% 27%  
51 2% 22%  
52 13% 19%  
53 2% 6% Last Result
54 4% 4%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.9% 99.7%  
36 10% 98.8%  
37 5% 89%  
38 8% 84%  
39 8% 76%  
40 32% 68% Last Result, Median
41 7% 37%  
42 9% 30%  
43 14% 20%  
44 1.2% 6%  
45 3% 5%  
46 1.2% 2%  
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.7%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 11% 97%  
31 10% 86%  
32 9% 76%  
33 25% 66% Median
34 18% 41% Last Result
35 4% 23%  
36 2% 18%  
37 13% 16%  
38 1.0% 4%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations