Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 5–10 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.3% 25.6–29.1% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
Venstre 19.5% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.1% 15.9–20.5% 15.2–21.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.4% 16.0–19.0% 15.6–19.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.6–20.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 45–54 45–54 44–54 42–54
Venstre 34 30 30–36 29–36 29–37 27–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 30 28–33 28–34 27–34 25–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–17 14–18 14–19 13–20
Radikale Venstre 8 11 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–15
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 2% 99.5%  
44 3% 98%  
45 6% 95%  
46 8% 89%  
47 7% 81% Last Result
48 12% 74%  
49 6% 62%  
50 5% 56%  
51 10% 51% Median
52 2% 41%  
53 4% 39%  
54 35% 35%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.6% 99.7%  
28 0.9% 99.2%  
29 8% 98%  
30 44% 90% Median
31 9% 46%  
32 8% 38%  
33 12% 30%  
34 3% 18% Last Result
35 2% 15%  
36 9% 13%  
37 3% 4%  
38 1.4% 1.5%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.6% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.4%  
27 3% 99.1%  
28 12% 96%  
29 3% 85%  
30 45% 82% Median
31 7% 37%  
32 19% 30%  
33 1.2% 11%  
34 7% 10%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.2% 0.6%  
37 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.7%  
14 12% 99.2% Last Result
15 61% 87% Median
16 7% 26%  
17 11% 19%  
18 3% 8%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.2% 1.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.8%  
10 7% 98%  
11 49% 91% Median
12 12% 41%  
13 17% 29%  
14 5% 12%  
15 7% 7%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 1.0% 99.5%  
7 16% 98.6%  
8 48% 82% Median
9 16% 34% Last Result
10 9% 18%  
11 8% 9%  
12 0.8% 1.1%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 13% 98% Last Result
8 53% 85% Median
9 24% 32%  
10 6% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 9% 99.4%  
7 13% 91%  
8 54% 78% Median
9 16% 24%  
10 6% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 4% 99.9%  
5 13% 96%  
6 65% 83% Last Result, Median
7 13% 19%  
8 4% 5%  
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0.1% 97%  
4 26% 97%  
5 57% 70% Median
6 12% 14%  
7 1.0% 1.2%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 96 93% 90–96 89–97 86–98 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 87 2% 81–88 80–89 79–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0.4% 79–85 78–86 77–89 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0.4% 78–85 78–86 77–89 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 83 0.2% 79–85 76–86 75–86 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 75 0% 74–80 72–82 72–85 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 75 0% 74–80 72–82 72–85 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 70–77 68–77 68–77 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 71 0% 65–73 64–73 63–73 62–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 63 0% 57–65 56–65 55–65 53–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 44 0% 43–49 42–51 42–53 40–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 36 0% 35–42 35–42 35–44 33–44
Venstre 34 30 0% 30–36 29–36 29–37 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.4% 100% Last Result
86 3% 99.6%  
87 1.3% 97%  
88 0.5% 96%  
89 2% 95%  
90 5% 93% Majority
91 11% 88%  
92 2% 76%  
93 3% 75% Median
94 17% 72%  
95 5% 55%  
96 40% 50%  
97 6% 10%  
98 1.4% 4%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 1.4% 2%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 2% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 3% 98%  
80 2% 95%  
81 5% 93%  
82 9% 89%  
83 3% 79%  
84 5% 77%  
85 6% 71% Median
86 13% 66%  
87 10% 52%  
88 36% 42%  
89 4% 6%  
90 1.4% 2% Majority
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.4% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 6% 96%  
79 40% 90% Median
80 5% 50%  
81 17% 45%  
82 3% 28%  
83 2% 25%  
84 11% 24%  
85 5% 12%  
86 2% 7%  
87 0.5% 5%  
88 1.3% 4%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.4% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.4% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 6% 96%  
79 40% 90% Median
80 5% 50%  
81 17% 45%  
82 3% 28%  
83 2% 25%  
84 11% 23%  
85 5% 12%  
86 2% 7%  
87 0.5% 5%  
88 1.3% 4%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.4% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 3% 99.7%  
76 3% 97%  
77 1.5% 94% Last Result
78 2% 92%  
79 14% 90%  
80 6% 77%  
81 13% 70%  
82 4% 58% Median
83 5% 53%  
84 3% 49%  
85 39% 45%  
86 4% 7%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 4% 99.0%  
73 1.3% 95%  
74 42% 93% Median
75 5% 52%  
76 10% 47%  
77 10% 37%  
78 3% 27%  
79 6% 24%  
80 11% 18%  
81 2% 7%  
82 0.8% 6%  
83 1.5% 5%  
84 0.4% 3%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.3%  
72 4% 99.0%  
73 1.3% 95%  
74 42% 93% Median
75 5% 52%  
76 10% 46%  
77 10% 37%  
78 3% 27%  
79 6% 24%  
80 11% 18%  
81 2% 7%  
82 0.8% 6%  
83 1.5% 5%  
84 0.3% 3%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 1.5% 99.8%  
67 0.8% 98%  
68 4% 98% Last Result
69 4% 94%  
70 8% 90%  
71 11% 82%  
72 6% 71%  
73 3% 65%  
74 13% 62% Median
75 8% 49%  
76 2% 41%  
77 37% 38%  
78 0.6% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.2%  
80 0.3% 0.8%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 2% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.8% 98%  
64 6% 97%  
65 2% 91%  
66 3% 89%  
67 10% 86%  
68 8% 76%  
69 5% 68%  
70 3% 63% Median
71 12% 60%  
72 2% 48%  
73 45% 46%  
74 0.5% 1.4%  
75 0.7% 1.0%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 0.5% 99.4%  
55 3% 98.9% Last Result
56 4% 96%  
57 4% 92%  
58 11% 88%  
59 3% 77%  
60 5% 73%  
61 6% 68%  
62 2% 62% Median
63 11% 60%  
64 13% 49%  
65 35% 36%  
66 0.6% 1.0%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.9% 99.5%  
42 4% 98.5%  
43 9% 95%  
44 38% 85% Median
45 6% 47%  
46 7% 42%  
47 5% 35%  
48 19% 30%  
49 3% 10%  
50 2% 7%  
51 2% 6%  
52 0.4% 3%  
53 3% 3% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.5% 99.6%  
34 1.0% 99.1%  
35 13% 98%  
36 38% 85% Median
37 9% 47%  
38 6% 38%  
39 12% 32%  
40 5% 20% Last Result
41 2% 15%  
42 8% 13%  
43 0.6% 5%  
44 4% 4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.6% 99.7%  
28 0.9% 99.2%  
29 8% 98%  
30 44% 90% Median
31 9% 46%  
32 8% 38%  
33 12% 30%  
34 3% 18% Last Result
35 2% 15%  
36 9% 13%  
37 3% 4%  
38 1.4% 1.5%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations