Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 12–17 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.8% 23.9–29.2% 23.1–30.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.9% 16.5–19.5% 16.1–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Venstre 19.5% 17.3% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.5% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.2–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 45–49 44–51 43–51 41–52
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 30–34 29–34 28–35 27–38
Venstre 34 30 28–34 28–34 27–34 26–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 16–20 16–20 15–21 13–22
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
Liberal Alliance 13 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–10 8–10 8–12 7–13
Alternativet 9 8 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 5 5–6 4–7 4–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.8%  
42 1.1% 99.3%  
43 3% 98%  
44 1.4% 95%  
45 41% 94%  
46 2% 53%  
47 4% 51% Last Result, Median
48 37% 47%  
49 2% 11%  
50 3% 8%  
51 5% 6%  
52 0.6% 1.0%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.5% 99.9%  
28 1.3% 98%  
29 4% 97%  
30 10% 94%  
31 3% 84%  
32 3% 81%  
33 46% 77% Median
34 28% 31%  
35 1.1% 4%  
36 0.5% 2%  
37 0.5% 2% Last Result
38 1.0% 1.4%  
39 0.1% 0.4%  
40 0.3% 0.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 1.5% 99.8%  
27 1.3% 98%  
28 39% 97%  
29 6% 58%  
30 34% 52% Median
31 3% 18%  
32 1.3% 15%  
33 0.9% 14%  
34 12% 13% Last Result
35 0.6% 1.1%  
36 0.2% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.8% 100%  
14 1.0% 99.2% Last Result
15 0.9% 98%  
16 18% 97%  
17 34% 79% Median
18 4% 45%  
19 30% 41%  
20 8% 11%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.5% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.3% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.7%  
11 6% 98%  
12 6% 92%  
13 42% 86% Median
14 41% 44%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.8% 1.0%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.9% 100%  
8 2% 99.0%  
9 8% 97%  
10 47% 89% Median
11 34% 42%  
12 6% 8%  
13 1.4% 2% Last Result
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9% Last Result
8 35% 98%  
9 42% 63% Median
10 16% 21%  
11 2% 5%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 8% 99.9%  
6 2% 92%  
7 36% 90%  
8 15% 54% Median
9 38% 39% Last Result
10 1.1% 1.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 8% 99.6%  
5 48% 92% Median
6 36% 44% Last Result
7 5% 8%  
8 2% 3%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0.5% 56%  
4 41% 56% Median
5 13% 14%  
6 0.6% 0.9%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 94 91% 90–99 88–100 88–100 88–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 86 40% 83–91 83–92 82–92 80–94
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0.1% 76–85 75–87 75–87 74–87
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 81 0.1% 76–85 75–87 75–87 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0.1% 77–85 75–86 75–86 75–88
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–82 72–82 72–82 72–84
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 75–82 72–82 72–82 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 70–78 70–78 69–78 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 68 0% 66–72 66–75 65–75 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 58–62 57–65 55–65 54–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 46 0% 42–49 42–51 42–52 40–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 35 0% 33–39 32–40 32–40 31–41
Venstre 34 30 0% 28–34 28–34 27–34 26–35

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 8% 99.6%  
89 1.5% 92%  
90 1.1% 91% Majority
91 2% 89%  
92 31% 87%  
93 6% 56%  
94 3% 50% Median
95 3% 47%  
96 3% 44%  
97 26% 41%  
98 2% 15%  
99 5% 13%  
100 7% 8%  
101 0.6% 1.1%  
102 0.2% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 1.2% 99.8%  
81 0.9% 98.6%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 37% 97%  
84 6% 60%  
85 2% 54%  
86 3% 51% Median
87 3% 48%  
88 4% 45%  
89 1.1% 41%  
90 26% 40% Majority
91 7% 14%  
92 7% 8%  
93 0.2% 1.3%  
94 0.6% 1.0%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 7% 98.9%  
76 5% 92%  
77 2% 87%  
78 26% 85%  
79 3% 59%  
80 3% 56%  
81 3% 53%  
82 6% 50% Median
83 31% 44%  
84 2% 13%  
85 1.1% 11%  
86 1.5% 9%  
87 8% 8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 7% 98.9%  
76 5% 92%  
77 2% 87%  
78 26% 85%  
79 3% 59%  
80 3% 56%  
81 3% 53%  
82 6% 50% Median
83 31% 44%  
84 2% 13%  
85 1.1% 11%  
86 1.5% 9%  
87 8% 8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 7% 99.8%  
76 1.0% 92%  
77 2% 91% Last Result
78 1.3% 89%  
79 32% 88%  
80 3% 56%  
81 3% 53% Median
82 5% 50%  
83 26% 44%  
84 3% 18%  
85 6% 15%  
86 8% 9%  
87 0.3% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 5% 99.6%  
73 1.5% 95%  
74 1.2% 93%  
75 8% 92%  
76 4% 84%  
77 3% 80%  
78 25% 77% Median
79 33% 52%  
80 3% 19%  
81 1.4% 16%  
82 13% 15%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 5% 99.6%  
73 2% 95%  
74 1.2% 93%  
75 8% 92%  
76 4% 84%  
77 3% 80%  
78 25% 77% Median
79 33% 52%  
80 3% 19%  
81 1.4% 16%  
82 13% 15%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.7% Last Result
69 1.1% 98%  
70 38% 97%  
71 2% 59%  
72 2% 58%  
73 8% 55% Median
74 2% 47%  
75 2% 45%  
76 27% 43%  
77 6% 16%  
78 8% 10%  
79 1.1% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.7%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.4%  
64 1.5% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 31% 96%  
67 11% 65%  
68 7% 54%  
69 2% 47% Median
70 2% 45%  
71 27% 43%  
72 9% 16%  
73 1.1% 7%  
74 0.4% 6%  
75 5% 5%  
76 0.1% 0.6%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 0.9% 99.6%  
55 2% 98.7% Last Result
56 1.0% 97%  
57 2% 96%  
58 40% 94%  
59 8% 54%  
60 2% 46% Median
61 3% 44%  
62 34% 41%  
63 0.6% 7%  
64 0.8% 7%  
65 6% 6%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.7%  
41 0.8% 99.5%  
42 12% 98.7%  
43 2% 86%  
44 27% 85%  
45 3% 57% Median
46 33% 54%  
47 2% 21%  
48 3% 19%  
49 10% 16%  
50 0.8% 6%  
51 0.9% 5%  
52 4% 4%  
53 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.6%  
32 8% 99.0%  
33 5% 91%  
34 29% 85%  
35 32% 56% Median
36 4% 24%  
37 2% 20%  
38 4% 19%  
39 10% 15%  
40 5% 5% Last Result
41 0.2% 0.5%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 1.5% 99.8%  
27 1.3% 98%  
28 39% 97%  
29 6% 58%  
30 34% 52% Median
31 3% 18%  
32 1.3% 15%  
33 0.9% 14%  
34 12% 13% Last Result
35 0.6% 1.1%  
36 0.2% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations