Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 19–25 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.0% 24.3–27.7% 23.8–28.2% 23.4–28.7% 22.7–29.5%
Venstre 19.5% 17.8% 16.4–19.4% 16.0–19.8% 15.6–20.2% 15.0–21.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.3–19.3% 15.9–19.7% 15.5–20.1% 14.9–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.2% 8.0–11.5% 7.5–12.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.2% 4.9–8.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.4% 4.3–8.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 43–49 42–49 41–50 40–53
Venstre 34 31 29–34 28–35 28–36 27–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 29–34 28–35 28–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 13 10–14 9–14 9–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 13 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–8 5–8 4–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 1.0% 99.8%  
41 1.5% 98.9%  
42 7% 97%  
43 19% 90%  
44 5% 72%  
45 29% 67% Median
46 13% 38%  
47 4% 26% Last Result
48 6% 22%  
49 11% 16%  
50 2% 4%  
51 1.3% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.1%  
53 0.2% 0.7%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.8%  
27 1.5% 99.7%  
28 3% 98%  
29 7% 95%  
30 7% 88%  
31 35% 81% Median
32 22% 46%  
33 6% 24%  
34 10% 18% Last Result
35 5% 8%  
36 1.1% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.8%  
27 0.9% 99.6%  
28 7% 98.7%  
29 2% 92%  
30 11% 89%  
31 4% 78%  
32 51% 75% Median
33 9% 24%  
34 9% 15%  
35 3% 5%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
38 0.3% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 5% 99.5% Last Result
15 7% 94%  
16 9% 87%  
17 45% 78% Median
18 14% 32%  
19 13% 18%  
20 4% 6%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100% Last Result
9 6% 99.7%  
10 7% 94%  
11 11% 87%  
12 15% 75%  
13 16% 60% Median
14 41% 44%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.4% 0.7%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.3% 100%  
8 2% 98.7%  
9 8% 96%  
10 47% 88% Median
11 30% 41%  
12 7% 11%  
13 3% 4% Last Result
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.9%  
7 7% 99.1% Last Result
8 52% 92% Median
9 19% 40%  
10 16% 21%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 2% 99.7%  
6 40% 98% Last Result
7 19% 58% Median
8 32% 39%  
9 6% 7%  
10 1.0% 1.4%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 4% 97%  
6 34% 93%  
7 9% 58% Median
8 44% 49%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 0.9% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0.4% 75%  
4 45% 75% Median
5 27% 29%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.4%  
2 0% 1.4%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 1.4% 1.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 69% 88–94 87–95 86–95 84–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 2% 81–87 80–88 80–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 2% 81–87 80–88 79–89 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 2% 81–87 80–88 79–89 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0.3% 78–85 78–85 75–86 75–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0.3% 78–85 78–85 75–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0% 74–82 74–84 74–84 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 70 0% 68–76 68–76 66–76 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 63–70 63–70 62–72 60–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 54–61 53–62 53–63 51–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 47–52 46–53 45–54 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 36–41 35–42 35–43 34–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 29–34 28–35 28–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.4% Last Result
86 2% 98%  
87 4% 96%  
88 18% 92%  
89 5% 74%  
90 12% 69% Median, Majority
91 7% 56%  
92 30% 49%  
93 7% 19%  
94 6% 12%  
95 3% 5%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.5%  
98 0.6% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 0.6% 99.1%  
79 0.8% 98.5%  
80 3% 98%  
81 6% 95%  
82 7% 88%  
83 30% 81%  
84 7% 50% Median
85 12% 44%  
86 5% 31%  
87 18% 26%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.6% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 3% 97%  
81 7% 95%  
82 7% 88%  
83 31% 81%  
84 7% 50% Median
85 12% 43%  
86 5% 30%  
87 17% 25%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.4% 99.8%  
78 0.7% 99.4%  
79 3% 98.7%  
80 4% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 25% 87%  
83 2% 62% Median
84 32% 60%  
85 7% 27%  
86 4% 20%  
87 6% 16%  
88 7% 10%  
89 0.9% 3%  
90 0.6% 2% Majority
91 0.4% 1.1%  
92 0.5% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 97%  
77 1.3% 97%  
78 11% 95%  
79 28% 85%  
80 2% 57% Median
81 10% 55%  
82 22% 45%  
83 4% 23%  
84 5% 18%  
85 10% 14%  
86 2% 4%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.3% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 97%  
77 1.4% 97%  
78 11% 95%  
79 28% 85%  
80 2% 57% Median
81 10% 54%  
82 22% 44%  
83 5% 22%  
84 5% 18%  
85 10% 13%  
86 2% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.9%  
72 1.1% 99.2%  
73 0.6% 98%  
74 16% 98%  
75 2% 82%  
76 6% 80%  
77 8% 74% Last Result, Median
78 27% 66%  
79 14% 39%  
80 5% 25%  
81 5% 20%  
82 9% 15%  
83 0.5% 6%  
84 4% 6%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 1.4% 98.8%  
67 0.8% 97%  
68 19% 97% Last Result
69 4% 78%  
70 27% 74% Median
71 13% 47%  
72 7% 34%  
73 6% 27%  
74 4% 21%  
75 5% 17%  
76 10% 12%  
77 1.0% 2%  
78 0.5% 1.4%  
79 0.6% 0.9%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 2% 99.5%  
62 1.1% 98% Last Result
63 9% 97%  
64 5% 88%  
65 19% 83%  
66 7% 64% Median
67 30% 57%  
68 7% 27%  
69 7% 20%  
70 9% 13%  
71 2% 5%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 0.7% 1.4%  
74 0.1% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 1.0% 99.9%  
52 1.2% 99.0%  
53 7% 98%  
54 3% 90%  
55 5% 88% Last Result
56 4% 83%  
57 20% 79%  
58 6% 59% Median
59 32% 53%  
60 6% 21%  
61 8% 15%  
62 5% 7%  
63 1.5% 3%  
64 0.3% 1.1%  
65 0.3% 0.8%  
66 0.2% 0.5%  
67 0.3% 0.3%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 1.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 98.7%  
45 2% 98%  
46 6% 97%  
47 30% 90%  
48 5% 61% Median
49 5% 56%  
50 29% 50%  
51 4% 22%  
52 9% 18%  
53 4% 9% Last Result
54 3% 5%  
55 1.4% 2%  
56 0.5% 1.0%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 0.7% 99.6%  
35 4% 98.9%  
36 6% 95%  
37 31% 88%  
38 4% 57% Median
39 15% 53%  
40 19% 39% Last Result
41 11% 20%  
42 4% 9%  
43 3% 5%  
44 0.9% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.8%  
27 1.5% 99.7%  
28 3% 98%  
29 7% 95%  
30 7% 88%  
31 35% 81% Median
32 22% 46%  
33 6% 24%  
34 10% 18% Last Result
35 5% 8%  
36 1.1% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations