Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 29 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 24.6% 23.0–26.4% 22.6–26.9% 22.2–27.3% 21.4–28.1%
Venstre 19.5% 19.2% 17.7–20.8% 17.3–21.2% 17.0–21.6% 16.3–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.1% 15.7–18.6% 15.3–19.1% 15.0–19.4% 14.3–20.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.2% 8.0–11.5% 7.5–12.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–9.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.5%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 42 40–46 40–48 39–48 38–49
Venstre 34 34 31–35 29–36 29–38 27–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 28–33 27–33 26–34 25–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 18 16–20 15–22 14–22 14–22
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–15 12–16 11–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–11 7–12 5–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–11 6–12 6–12 6–12
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 4–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 4–10
Liberal Alliance 13 6 4–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 1.3% 99.7%  
39 2% 98%  
40 10% 97%  
41 22% 87%  
42 26% 65% Median
43 7% 38%  
44 15% 32%  
45 0.8% 17%  
46 8% 16%  
47 2% 8% Last Result
48 5% 6%  
49 0.9% 1.2%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 1.0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.0%  
29 4% 98.8%  
30 3% 95%  
31 13% 92%  
32 2% 79%  
33 25% 77%  
34 15% 52% Last Result, Median
35 29% 37%  
36 3% 8%  
37 1.4% 4%  
38 1.2% 3%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 1.1% 100%  
26 3% 98.9%  
27 3% 95%  
28 11% 92%  
29 7% 81%  
30 8% 74%  
31 19% 67% Median
32 12% 48%  
33 32% 36%  
34 3% 4%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.1% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 4% 99.7% Last Result
15 5% 96%  
16 8% 91%  
17 24% 83%  
18 36% 58% Median
19 6% 22%  
20 7% 15%  
21 3% 8%  
22 5% 5%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 3% 98%  
12 8% 95%  
13 55% 87% Median
14 11% 32%  
15 14% 21%  
16 4% 7%  
17 2% 3%  
18 1.0% 1.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.0% 100%  
6 1.1% 99.0%  
7 26% 98% Last Result
8 10% 72%  
9 33% 61% Median
10 22% 28%  
11 3% 6%  
12 2% 3%  
13 1.1% 1.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 24% 99.9% Last Result
7 39% 76% Median
8 11% 37%  
9 6% 25%  
10 3% 19%  
11 11% 16%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100%  
5 3% 99.1%  
6 13% 96%  
7 54% 83% Median
8 18% 29%  
9 10% 12% Last Result
10 0.6% 1.2%  
11 0.6% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.3% 100%  
5 7% 98.7%  
6 20% 91%  
7 36% 71% Median
8 30% 35%  
9 4% 5%  
10 1.2% 1.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 14% 99.7%  
5 25% 86%  
6 26% 61% Median
7 32% 35%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 89 41% 87–93 87–95 86–97 82–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 3% 80–86 79–88 79–90 75–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 2% 82–88 80–88 78–89 77–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 86 2% 81–88 79–88 78–89 77–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–80 73–82 72–84 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 79 0% 75–80 73–82 72–84 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 76 0% 73–80 72–82 71–82 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 67–73 65–74 64–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 64 0% 62–69 62–71 62–72 59–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 54–60 54–62 53–63 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 47 0% 45–50 44–51 43–52 40–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 39–44 38–46 37–46 34–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 31–35 29–36 29–38 27–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.5% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.5%  
84 0.7% 99.3%  
85 0.9% 98.6% Last Result
86 2% 98%  
87 8% 96%  
88 24% 87%  
89 23% 63% Median
90 12% 41% Majority
91 4% 29%  
92 7% 24%  
93 9% 17%  
94 4% 9%  
95 0.3% 5%  
96 1.1% 5%  
97 3% 4%  
98 0.6% 0.8%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.5% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
77 0.7% 99.3%  
78 0.6% 98.7%  
79 7% 98%  
80 2% 91%  
81 18% 89%  
82 40% 71% Median
83 3% 31%  
84 10% 28%  
85 7% 17%  
86 2% 10%  
87 3% 9%  
88 1.5% 5%  
89 1.3% 4%  
90 2% 3% Majority
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 1.1% 96%  
80 0.3% 95%  
81 4% 95%  
82 9% 91%  
83 7% 83%  
84 4% 76%  
85 12% 71% Median
86 23% 59%  
87 24% 37%  
88 8% 13%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.9% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.7% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.7%  
93 0.5% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 1.3% 96%  
80 2% 95%  
81 4% 93%  
82 8% 89%  
83 7% 81%  
84 4% 74%  
85 12% 70% Median
86 23% 58%  
87 24% 36%  
88 7% 11%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.9% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 1.1%  
92 0.1% 0.7%  
93 0.5% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.4%  
72 3% 99.0%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 8% 91%  
76 3% 82%  
77 6% 80%  
78 3% 73% Median
79 56% 70%  
80 6% 14%  
81 1.4% 8%  
82 1.4% 6%  
83 2% 5%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 99.4%  
72 3% 98.6%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 10% 90%  
76 3% 81%  
77 6% 78%  
78 3% 72% Median
79 56% 68%  
80 6% 13%  
81 1.4% 7%  
82 1.2% 5%  
83 1.4% 4%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 1.4% 99.8%  
71 1.4% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 9% 95%  
74 3% 86%  
75 21% 83%  
76 24% 62% Median
77 12% 37% Last Result
78 4% 26%  
79 12% 22%  
80 2% 10%  
81 1.4% 8%  
82 5% 6%  
83 1.3% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 3% 99.8%  
65 2% 97%  
66 1.5% 95%  
67 12% 93%  
68 19% 82% Last Result
69 36% 63% Median
70 7% 26%  
71 3% 19%  
72 6% 16%  
73 5% 11%  
74 2% 5%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.2% 0.8%  
77 0.1% 0.6%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 0.6% 99.7%  
60 0.5% 99.1%  
61 1.0% 98.5%  
62 8% 98% Last Result
63 14% 89%  
64 49% 75% Median
65 2% 27%  
66 2% 25%  
67 9% 23%  
68 3% 14%  
69 4% 11%  
70 0.9% 7%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 1.0% 1.0%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.6%  
52 0.7% 99.4%  
53 3% 98.6%  
54 23% 96%  
55 36% 73% Last Result, Median
56 5% 37%  
57 11% 31%  
58 3% 21%  
59 2% 17%  
60 6% 16%  
61 4% 10%  
62 2% 6%  
63 3% 4%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 1.0% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 98.9%  
42 0.5% 98.6%  
43 2% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 8% 94%  
46 32% 85%  
47 16% 53% Median
48 16% 37%  
49 10% 20%  
50 2% 11%  
51 5% 8%  
52 0.6% 3%  
53 0.6% 2% Last Result
54 1.4% 2%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0.3% 0.3%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.8% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.2%  
36 1.2% 98.8%  
37 2% 98%  
38 2% 96%  
39 26% 94%  
40 4% 68% Last Result
41 6% 64% Median
42 43% 58%  
43 3% 15%  
44 3% 12%  
45 2% 9%  
46 5% 7%  
47 0.2% 2%  
48 1.2% 2%  
49 0.3% 0.7%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 1.0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.0%  
29 4% 98.8%  
30 3% 95%  
31 13% 92%  
32 2% 79%  
33 25% 77%  
34 15% 52% Last Result, Median
35 29% 37%  
36 3% 8%  
37 1.4% 4%  
38 1.2% 3%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations