Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 26 November–2 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.8% 23.9–29.2% 23.1–30.1%
Venstre 19.5% 18.3% 16.9–19.9% 16.5–20.4% 16.1–20.8% 15.4–21.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.2% 16.8–19.8% 16.4–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 42–51 42–53 41–53 39–54
Venstre 34 32 29–35 29–37 28–37 27–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 29–36 29–37 28–39 27–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–20
Radikale Venstre 8 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 7–10 6–11 6–11 5–12
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 5–8 4–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.7% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.2%  
41 2% 99.1%  
42 8% 97%  
43 3% 89%  
44 12% 86%  
45 19% 74%  
46 10% 55% Median
47 19% 45% Last Result
48 3% 25%  
49 4% 22%  
50 8% 19%  
51 3% 11%  
52 2% 8%  
53 4% 6%  
54 1.1% 2%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 1.1% 99.6%  
28 1.2% 98.5%  
29 10% 97%  
30 10% 87%  
31 8% 77%  
32 21% 69% Median
33 14% 48%  
34 12% 34% Last Result
35 12% 22%  
36 3% 10%  
37 6% 7%  
38 0.6% 1.1%  
39 0.1% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.5%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.6%  
28 2% 98.9%  
29 12% 97%  
30 7% 85%  
31 8% 78%  
32 10% 70%  
33 26% 60% Median
34 18% 34%  
35 3% 17%  
36 4% 13%  
37 5% 9% Last Result
38 0.8% 4%  
39 3% 3%  
40 0.7% 0.7%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 8% 99.4%  
13 12% 92%  
14 4% 80% Last Result
15 32% 75% Median
16 20% 44%  
17 9% 24%  
18 12% 15%  
19 2% 3%  
20 1.0% 1.2%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 4% 99.8% Last Result
9 20% 96%  
10 12% 76%  
11 19% 64% Median
12 28% 45%  
13 14% 17%  
14 1.4% 3%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100% Last Result
8 13% 99.6%  
9 17% 87%  
10 35% 70% Median
11 21% 35%  
12 11% 14%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.7% 1.0%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 0.6% 99.7%  
7 8% 99.2%  
8 22% 91%  
9 22% 69% Median
10 30% 46%  
11 13% 16%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 8% 98% Last Result
7 26% 90%  
8 20% 65% Median
9 24% 45%  
10 15% 21%  
11 4% 6%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 4% 99.9%  
5 22% 96%  
6 39% 74% Median
7 20% 35%  
8 12% 15%  
9 2% 3% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0.1% 71%  
4 49% 71% Median
5 16% 22%  
6 6% 6%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.5% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 89 41% 86–94 85–95 84–96 82–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 10% 81–89 80–90 79–91 77–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 9% 81–89 80–90 78–91 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 2% 79–87 78–88 77–89 76–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.8% 78–85 78–87 76–88 74–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.6% 78–85 78–87 76–88 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0% 74–82 74–83 74–85 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 67–77 67–78 65–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 63–72 63–74 61–75 60–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 53–63 51–64 51–64 50–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 46–53 44–55 44–55 42–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 37–44 36–44 36–45 33–48
Venstre 34 32 0% 29–35 29–37 28–37 27–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.3% 100%  
82 0.3% 99.7%  
83 1.1% 99.5%  
84 1.1% 98%  
85 7% 97% Last Result
86 17% 90%  
87 13% 73%  
88 7% 60% Median
89 12% 53%  
90 9% 41% Majority
91 8% 32%  
92 10% 24%  
93 3% 14%  
94 3% 11%  
95 5% 7%  
96 0.4% 3%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.5% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.2%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 5% 97%  
81 3% 93%  
82 3% 89%  
83 10% 86%  
84 8% 76%  
85 9% 68%  
86 12% 59% Median
87 7% 47%  
88 13% 40%  
89 17% 27%  
90 7% 10% Last Result, Majority
91 1.1% 3%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.2%  
79 0.4% 97%  
80 5% 97%  
81 3% 92%  
82 3% 89%  
83 10% 86%  
84 9% 76%  
85 9% 67%  
86 12% 58% Median
87 7% 46%  
88 12% 39%  
89 17% 27%  
90 7% 9% Last Result, Majority
91 1.1% 3%  
92 1.0% 1.5%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.8% 99.6% Last Result
77 2% 98.8%  
78 4% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 20% 90%  
81 9% 69%  
82 8% 60% Median
83 7% 51%  
84 15% 44%  
85 7% 29%  
86 10% 22%  
87 2% 11%  
88 4% 9%  
89 3% 5%  
90 0.8% 2% Majority
91 0.3% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.8%  
93 0.5% 0.5%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 0.3% 98.9%  
76 1.1% 98.6%  
77 0.9% 97%  
78 7% 97%  
79 1.4% 89%  
80 9% 88%  
81 8% 78%  
82 15% 70% Median
83 6% 55%  
84 13% 50%  
85 27% 37%  
86 4% 10%  
87 1.0% 6%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.3% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.8% 99.5%  
75 0.5% 98.8%  
76 1.1% 98%  
77 0.9% 97%  
78 8% 96%  
79 1.3% 89%  
80 9% 87%  
81 9% 78%  
82 15% 70% Median
83 6% 55%  
84 13% 49%  
85 27% 36%  
86 4% 9%  
87 1.0% 5%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.2% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.6% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 1.0% 99.5%  
73 0.8% 98.5%  
74 8% 98%  
75 8% 90%  
76 11% 81%  
77 16% 70% Last Result, Median
78 17% 54%  
79 11% 37%  
80 8% 26%  
81 5% 18%  
82 5% 13%  
83 3% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 0.3% 2%  
87 1.1% 1.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 1.0% 99.8%  
66 0.6% 98.8%  
67 4% 98%  
68 6% 94% Last Result
69 11% 88%  
70 10% 78%  
71 15% 68% Median
72 17% 53%  
73 11% 36%  
74 7% 25%  
75 9% 18%  
76 3% 9%  
77 3% 6%  
78 1.1% 3%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.6% 99.9%  
61 2% 99.3%  
62 1.0% 97% Last Result
63 9% 96%  
64 6% 87%  
65 13% 81%  
66 7% 68%  
67 13% 61% Median
68 10% 48%  
69 17% 38%  
70 3% 21%  
71 4% 18%  
72 6% 14%  
73 0.9% 8%  
74 4% 7%  
75 0.8% 3%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.9%  
51 7% 99.4%  
52 3% 93%  
53 4% 90%  
54 5% 86%  
55 8% 81% Last Result
56 13% 73%  
57 19% 60% Median
58 3% 42%  
59 17% 38%  
60 3% 22%  
61 4% 19%  
62 4% 15%  
63 5% 11%  
64 4% 7%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 1.3% 1.4%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 1.1% 99.5%  
44 5% 98%  
45 1.2% 93%  
46 5% 92%  
47 7% 87%  
48 11% 80%  
49 5% 69% Median
50 15% 65%  
51 14% 50%  
52 19% 36%  
53 10% 17% Last Result
54 0.8% 7%  
55 5% 6%  
56 0.7% 1.5%  
57 0.2% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.4% 0.4%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 1.0% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.0%  
35 0.6% 98.7%  
36 8% 98%  
37 2% 90%  
38 8% 88%  
39 6% 80%  
40 23% 74% Last Result, Median
41 10% 51%  
42 8% 41%  
43 16% 33%  
44 13% 17%  
45 2% 4%  
46 0.5% 2%  
47 0.7% 1.3%  
48 0.2% 0.6%  
49 0% 0.4%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 1.1% 99.6%  
28 1.2% 98.5%  
29 10% 97%  
30 10% 87%  
31 8% 77%  
32 21% 69% Median
33 14% 48%  
34 12% 34% Last Result
35 12% 22%  
36 3% 10%  
37 6% 7%  
38 0.6% 1.1%  
39 0.1% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.5%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations