Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 3–8 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.8% 24.1–27.6% 23.6–28.1% 23.2–28.5% 22.4–29.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
Venstre 19.5% 17.7% 16.3–19.3% 15.9–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.8–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.7–11.2% 7.2–11.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 43–49 42–49 41–51 40–51
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 30–37 30–37 30–38 27–40
Venstre 34 32 29–34 29–35 27–35 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–19 14–19 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–13 9–14 9–15 8–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–11 8–13 8–13 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–11 6–11 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 1.4% 99.5%  
41 3% 98%  
42 2% 95%  
43 11% 93%  
44 10% 82%  
45 26% 73% Median
46 8% 47%  
47 11% 38% Last Result
48 17% 27%  
49 6% 10%  
50 0.7% 4%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.5% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.5%  
29 1.4% 99.1%  
30 9% 98%  
31 13% 89%  
32 6% 75%  
33 27% 69% Median
34 14% 43%  
35 10% 29%  
36 3% 19%  
37 14% 16% Last Result
38 1.5% 3%  
39 0.2% 1.0%  
40 0.8% 0.8%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.8% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.1%  
28 2% 97%  
29 7% 95%  
30 8% 88%  
31 16% 80%  
32 39% 64% Median
33 14% 25%  
34 3% 11% Last Result
35 7% 8%  
36 0.5% 2%  
37 0.8% 1.1%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.8%  
14 20% 98% Last Result
15 23% 78%  
16 28% 55% Median
17 8% 27%  
18 13% 20%  
19 4% 6%  
20 0.4% 2%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.0% 100% Last Result
9 5% 99.0%  
10 9% 94%  
11 28% 85%  
12 20% 58% Median
13 30% 38%  
14 4% 7%  
15 1.2% 3%  
16 0.8% 2%  
17 1.1% 1.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100% Last Result
8 26% 99.3%  
9 23% 73%  
10 8% 50% Median
11 32% 42%  
12 4% 10%  
13 6% 6%  
14 0.2% 0.5%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 4% 99.7%  
7 17% 96%  
8 40% 79% Median
9 29% 39%  
10 5% 10%  
11 5% 5%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.4% 99.9%  
6 5% 98% Last Result
7 8% 94%  
8 56% 85% Median
9 25% 30%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 7% 99.6%  
6 21% 93%  
7 38% 72% Median
8 26% 34%  
9 5% 8% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 0% 70%  
2 0% 70%  
3 0.3% 70%  
4 49% 70% Median
5 17% 21%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 54% 88–94 87–96 85–97 82–99
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 3% 81–87 79–88 78–90 76–93
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 3% 81–87 79–87 78–90 76–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 2% 81–88 80–89 78–89 76–93
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.1% 77–84 77–85 76–86 75–89
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.1% 77–84 77–85 76–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 76–82 75–84 74–85 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 68–76 67–78 65–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 63–71 63–73 62–73 59–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 58 0% 54–61 54–62 52–62 49–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 45–50 44–52 43–52 41–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 38–42 36–44 35–44 34–45
Venstre 34 32 0% 29–34 29–35 27–35 26–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.9% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.1%  
84 1.4% 99.0%  
85 0.9% 98% Last Result
86 1.2% 97%  
87 0.5% 95%  
88 10% 95%  
89 32% 85%  
90 9% 54% Median, Majority
91 23% 44%  
92 3% 21%  
93 3% 18%  
94 8% 15%  
95 2% 7%  
96 2% 5%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.3% 1.0%  
99 0.7% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.7% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 2% 97%  
80 2% 95%  
81 8% 93%  
82 3% 85%  
83 3% 82%  
84 23% 79%  
85 9% 56% Median
86 32% 46%  
87 10% 15%  
88 0.5% 5%  
89 1.2% 5%  
90 0.9% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.1% 1.0%  
93 0.9% 0.9%  
94 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.7% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.2%  
78 2% 98.9%  
79 2% 97%  
80 2% 95%  
81 8% 93%  
82 3% 85%  
83 3% 82%  
84 23% 79%  
85 10% 56% Median
86 32% 46%  
87 10% 14%  
88 0.5% 5%  
89 1.0% 4%  
90 0.9% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.1% 1.0%  
93 0.9% 0.9%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 2% 100% Last Result
77 0.3% 98%  
78 0.6% 98%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 1.2% 96%  
81 30% 95%  
82 5% 65%  
83 15% 60% Median
84 25% 45%  
85 3% 20%  
86 2% 17%  
87 3% 15%  
88 5% 12%  
89 5% 7%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 0.3% 1.1%  
92 0.2% 0.8%  
93 0.6% 0.6%  
94 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.5%  
76 2% 98%  
77 6% 96%  
78 5% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 6% 80%  
81 6% 73% Median
82 40% 67%  
83 1.0% 28%  
84 21% 27%  
85 1.3% 6%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.1% 1.0%  
89 0.8% 0.9%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.4%  
76 2% 98%  
77 6% 96%  
78 5% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 6% 79%  
81 6% 73% Median
82 39% 67%  
83 1.0% 28%  
84 21% 27%  
85 1.0% 5%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.9%  
89 0.8% 0.9%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.8% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.2%  
73 1.0% 98.7%  
74 0.6% 98%  
75 3% 97%  
76 23% 94%  
77 16% 71% Last Result
78 5% 56% Median
79 13% 50%  
80 18% 38%  
81 10% 20%  
82 1.4% 10%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.6% 1.0%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.8% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.1%  
67 2% 98.6%  
68 23% 97% Last Result
69 2% 74%  
70 11% 72%  
71 9% 61% Median
72 13% 52%  
73 21% 39%  
74 5% 18%  
75 4% 13%  
76 5% 9%  
77 1.0% 4%  
78 0.7% 3%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.5% 0.8%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 1.0% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.0%  
61 1.0% 98.7%  
62 1.2% 98% Last Result
63 9% 96%  
64 1.4% 87%  
65 4% 86%  
66 26% 82%  
67 12% 57% Median
68 11% 44%  
69 4% 33%  
70 18% 29%  
71 3% 11%  
72 1.2% 8%  
73 5% 7%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.7%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 1.0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.0%  
51 0.7% 98.9%  
52 2% 98%  
53 1.3% 96%  
54 11% 95%  
55 3% 84% Last Result
56 12% 81%  
57 6% 69% Median
58 26% 63%  
59 22% 37%  
60 4% 15%  
61 2% 11%  
62 6% 9%  
63 0.4% 2%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.8% 99.9%  
42 0.5% 99.1%  
43 3% 98.6%  
44 1.3% 96%  
45 5% 95%  
46 7% 90%  
47 16% 83%  
48 14% 66% Median
49 37% 52%  
50 6% 15%  
51 1.3% 9%  
52 6% 8%  
53 0.7% 1.4% Last Result
54 0.3% 0.7%  
55 0.4% 0.4%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.6%  
35 2% 98%  
36 3% 96%  
37 2% 93%  
38 11% 91%  
39 17% 80%  
40 29% 62% Last Result, Median
41 18% 33%  
42 7% 15%  
43 1.1% 8%  
44 6% 7%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.8% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.1%  
28 2% 97%  
29 7% 95%  
30 8% 88%  
31 16% 80%  
32 39% 64% Median
33 14% 25%  
34 3% 11% Last Result
35 7% 8%  
36 0.5% 2%  
37 0.8% 1.1%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations