Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–6 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.8% 24.1–27.6% 23.6–28.1% 23.2–28.5% 22.4–29.4%
Venstre 19.5% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.7% 15.5–20.1% 14.8–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.6–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.5–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 42–48 42–50 41–51 39–53
Venstre 34 32 30–38 30–39 30–39 28–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 28–34 27–35 26–36 25–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 16–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–13 10–14 9–15 8–15
Liberal Alliance 13 9 7–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–10 7–11 6–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.4% 99.8%  
40 0.3% 99.4%  
41 3% 99.1%  
42 7% 96%  
43 6% 89%  
44 8% 83%  
45 46% 75% Median
46 8% 30%  
47 11% 22% Last Result
48 3% 11%  
49 2% 8%  
50 3% 6%  
51 1.5% 3%  
52 0.4% 1.1%  
53 0.3% 0.7%  
54 0.4% 0.4%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.9%  
29 1.0% 99.2%  
30 23% 98%  
31 5% 75%  
32 22% 71% Median
33 8% 49%  
34 14% 41% Last Result
35 6% 27%  
36 7% 20%  
37 2% 13%  
38 4% 11%  
39 6% 7%  
40 0.3% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.9% 100%  
26 3% 99.1%  
27 3% 97%  
28 4% 94%  
29 5% 90%  
30 14% 85%  
31 22% 70% Median
32 16% 48%  
33 5% 33%  
34 20% 28%  
35 4% 7%  
36 1.4% 3%  
37 2% 2% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.9%  
14 6% 99.1% Last Result
15 3% 93%  
16 15% 90%  
17 33% 75% Median
18 27% 42%  
19 8% 15%  
20 4% 6%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100% Last Result
9 3% 99.4%  
10 7% 96%  
11 36% 89%  
12 30% 53% Median
13 15% 23%  
14 4% 8%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.0% 99.9%  
7 12% 98.9%  
8 9% 87%  
9 31% 78% Median
10 19% 47%  
11 24% 28%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 3% 100%  
7 7% 97% Last Result
8 16% 90%  
9 31% 74% Median
10 32% 42%  
11 8% 10%  
12 1.1% 2%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 26% 98% Last Result
7 9% 72%  
8 16% 63% Median
9 43% 47%  
10 2% 4%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.5% 100%  
5 6% 98.5%  
6 21% 93%  
7 27% 72% Median
8 25% 45%  
9 19% 20% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.6%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0.2% 56%  
4 41% 55% Median
5 13% 15%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 73% 85–94 85–95 85–96 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 11% 81–90 80–90 79–90 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 11% 81–90 80–90 79–90 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 2% 79–87 79–89 78–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.8% 79–85 77–86 77–88 75–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.8% 79–85 77–86 77–88 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0% 74–82 73–83 73–85 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 67–76 66–78 65–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 63–70 62–71 62–72 60–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 56 0% 55–60 54–62 53–63 51–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 45–55 45–55 45–55 44–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 36–45 36–48 36–48 35–48
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–38 30–39 30–39 28–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 0.7% 99.4%  
85 9% 98.7% Last Result
86 2% 89%  
87 5% 88%  
88 6% 83%  
89 4% 77%  
90 12% 73% Median, Majority
91 9% 61%  
92 37% 52%  
93 2% 15%  
94 5% 12%  
95 3% 8%  
96 2% 4%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.5%  
79 2% 98%  
80 3% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 2% 88%  
83 37% 85%  
84 9% 48% Median
85 12% 39%  
86 4% 27%  
87 6% 23%  
88 5% 17%  
89 2% 12%  
90 9% 11% Last Result, Majority
91 0.7% 1.3%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.5%  
79 2% 98%  
80 3% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 2% 88%  
83 37% 85%  
84 9% 48% Median
85 12% 39%  
86 4% 27%  
87 6% 23%  
88 5% 17%  
89 2% 12%  
90 9% 11% Last Result, Majority
91 0.7% 1.3%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
77 1.4% 99.7%  
78 3% 98%  
79 8% 96%  
80 5% 88%  
81 6% 84%  
82 4% 77%  
83 26% 74% Median
84 24% 47%  
85 6% 24%  
86 7% 18%  
87 2% 11%  
88 2% 9%  
89 5% 7%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 99.8%  
76 2% 99.1%  
77 4% 98%  
78 3% 94%  
79 21% 90%  
80 6% 69% Median
81 4% 63%  
82 5% 58%  
83 21% 53%  
84 9% 32%  
85 14% 23%  
86 5% 9%  
87 0.8% 4%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.1% 0.9%  
90 0.5% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 99.8%  
76 2% 99.1%  
77 4% 98%  
78 3% 94%  
79 21% 90%  
80 6% 69% Median
81 4% 63%  
82 5% 58%  
83 21% 53%  
84 9% 32%  
85 14% 23%  
86 5% 9%  
87 0.8% 4%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.1% 0.9%  
90 0.5% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 1.2% 99.5%  
73 5% 98%  
74 6% 93%  
75 3% 87%  
76 1.2% 84%  
77 9% 83% Last Result
78 7% 73% Median
79 15% 67%  
80 23% 52%  
81 18% 29%  
82 5% 11%  
83 2% 6%  
84 1.4% 4%  
85 2% 3%  
86 1.0% 1.5%  
87 0.5% 0.5%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 3% 99.4%  
67 4% 96%  
68 7% 92% Last Result
69 2% 84%  
70 7% 82%  
71 8% 75% Median
72 46% 67%  
73 4% 21%  
74 6% 17%  
75 2% 11%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 4%  
78 0.7% 3%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.7% 0.7%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.5%  
61 0.7% 99.2%  
62 6% 98.5% Last Result
63 11% 93%  
64 6% 82%  
65 22% 75%  
66 10% 54% Median
67 21% 44%  
68 2% 22%  
69 7% 21%  
70 7% 13%  
71 3% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.9% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0.4% 99.6%  
52 0.8% 99.2%  
53 3% 98%  
54 4% 96%  
55 13% 91% Last Result
56 30% 79%  
57 23% 48% Median
58 6% 26%  
59 3% 20%  
60 7% 17%  
61 2% 10%  
62 5% 8%  
63 3% 4%  
64 0.5% 0.7%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.5% 99.9%  
45 19% 99.4%  
46 2% 81%  
47 5% 79%  
48 4% 74%  
49 5% 69% Median
50 2% 65%  
51 11% 63%  
52 24% 52%  
53 9% 28% Last Result
54 8% 19%  
55 9% 11%  
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.6%  
36 18% 99.3%  
37 2% 81%  
38 2% 79%  
39 8% 77%  
40 7% 70% Last Result, Median
41 20% 63%  
42 11% 42%  
43 10% 31%  
44 9% 21%  
45 3% 11%  
46 0.9% 8%  
47 0.7% 7%  
48 6% 7%  
49 0.4% 0.4%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.9%  
29 1.0% 99.2%  
30 23% 98%  
31 5% 75%  
32 22% 71% Median
33 8% 49%  
34 14% 41% Last Result
35 6% 27%  
36 7% 20%  
37 2% 13%  
38 4% 11%  
39 6% 7%  
40 0.3% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations