Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 7–12 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.4% 24.7–28.2% 24.2–28.7% 23.8–29.2% 23.0–30.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Venstre 19.5% 17.9% 16.4–19.5% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 44–49 43–49 43–51 41–52
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 30–34 30–34 29–35 28–37
Venstre 34 33 28–35 28–36 28–36 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–22
Radikale Venstre 8 12 11–14 11–15 10–15 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 7 5–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.6% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.2%  
43 6% 98.8%  
44 7% 93%  
45 4% 86%  
46 44% 82% Median
47 11% 38% Last Result
48 2% 27%  
49 20% 25%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.0% 3%  
52 1.1% 2%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 0.5% 99.5%  
29 2% 99.0%  
30 41% 97%  
31 16% 56% Median
32 12% 40%  
33 13% 27%  
34 11% 15%  
35 3% 4%  
36 0.5% 1.3%  
37 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 2% 99.6%  
28 10% 98%  
29 5% 88%  
30 3% 83%  
31 16% 81%  
32 13% 65%  
33 8% 52% Median
34 2% 44% Last Result
35 36% 41%  
36 4% 5%  
37 0.8% 1.0%  
38 0% 0.3%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.8% Last Result
15 4% 98.9%  
16 11% 95%  
17 43% 84% Median
18 28% 41%  
19 6% 13%  
20 3% 7%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.0% 1.3%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 8% 96%  
12 39% 88% Median
13 30% 49%  
14 13% 19%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.7% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 7% 98% Last Result
8 20% 92%  
9 47% 72% Median
10 21% 24%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.5%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.2% 99.9%  
7 46% 98.7%  
8 17% 53% Median
9 18% 35%  
10 15% 18%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 6% 99.9%  
6 9% 94% Last Result
7 21% 85%  
8 43% 64% Median
9 19% 21%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 12% 99.7%  
6 20% 88%  
7 56% 68% Median
8 6% 12%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 1.0% 1.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 68% 74% Median
5 5% 6%  
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.5% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 83% 89–97 88–97 87–97 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 14% 83–90 82–90 82–90 79–92
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.3% 78–86 78–87 78–88 75–89
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 0.2% 78–86 78–86 78–88 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 76–84 76–84 73–85 73–87
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0.1% 75–83 74–84 74–84 73–87
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 80 0% 75–83 74–84 74–84 73–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 70–77 69–77 68–78 67–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 65–72 65–72 63–72 61–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 58 0% 57–62 55–63 54–63 53–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 43–51 43–51 43–51 42–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 35–43 35–43 35–43 33–44
Venstre 34 33 0% 28–35 28–36 28–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.6% 99.7%  
87 4% 99.1%  
88 0.2% 95%  
89 11% 95%  
90 2% 83% Majority
91 35% 82% Median
92 13% 47%  
93 2% 35%  
94 10% 33%  
95 5% 23%  
96 6% 17%  
97 9% 11%  
98 1.2% 2%  
99 0.2% 0.8%  
100 0.4% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100% Last Result
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8%  
80 0.9% 99.3%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 5% 98%  
83 12% 93%  
84 37% 80% Median
85 8% 44%  
86 3% 36%  
87 4% 33%  
88 6% 29%  
89 8% 23%  
90 13% 14% Majority
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 1.2% 99.2%  
78 9% 98%  
79 6% 89%  
80 5% 83%  
81 10% 77%  
82 2% 67%  
83 13% 65%  
84 35% 53% Median
85 2% 18%  
86 11% 17%  
87 0.2% 5%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.6% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 1.2% 99.2%  
78 9% 98%  
79 6% 88%  
80 5% 82%  
81 10% 77%  
82 2% 67%  
83 13% 65%  
84 34% 52% Median
85 2% 18%  
86 11% 16%  
87 0.2% 5%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.6% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.7%  
73 4% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 96%  
75 0.6% 96%  
76 10% 95%  
77 2% 86% Last Result
78 7% 83%  
79 35% 76% Median
80 3% 42%  
81 19% 38%  
82 4% 19%  
83 1.1% 15%  
84 11% 14%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.4% 1.1%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 9% 99.5%  
75 1.3% 90%  
76 2% 89%  
77 5% 87%  
78 2% 82%  
79 12% 80%  
80 37% 68% Median
81 9% 31%  
82 10% 22%  
83 5% 12%  
84 5% 7%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.0%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 9% 99.5%  
75 1.3% 90%  
76 2% 89%  
77 5% 87%  
78 2% 82%  
79 12% 80%  
80 37% 68% Median
81 9% 31%  
82 10% 22%  
83 5% 12%  
84 4% 7%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.9%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 4% 99.2% Last Result
69 2% 96%  
70 10% 93%  
71 6% 83%  
72 36% 77% Median
73 5% 41%  
74 6% 35%  
75 7% 29%  
76 10% 22%  
77 9% 12%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.4% 0.9%  
80 0% 0.5%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.4% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.6%  
62 0.4% 99.4% Last Result
63 2% 99.0%  
64 1.2% 97%  
65 7% 96%  
66 2% 89%  
67 46% 87% Median
68 10% 41%  
69 3% 31%  
70 6% 28%  
71 8% 22%  
72 13% 14%  
73 0.6% 1.1%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.3% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.4% 99.6%  
54 2% 99.2%  
55 3% 97% Last Result
56 2% 94%  
57 5% 92%  
58 44% 87% Median
59 11% 44%  
60 3% 33%  
61 2% 31%  
62 23% 29%  
63 4% 6%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.0%  
66 0.3% 0.3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.7%  
43 10% 99.0%  
44 5% 89%  
45 9% 84%  
46 3% 75%  
47 2% 72%  
48 5% 69%  
49 3% 65% Median
50 48% 61%  
51 11% 14%  
52 1.2% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.1% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 1.2% 99.4%  
35 10% 98%  
36 4% 88%  
37 8% 84%  
38 6% 76%  
39 4% 69%  
40 15% 66% Last Result
41 3% 51% Median
42 8% 49%  
43 40% 41%  
44 0.5% 0.9%  
45 0.1% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 2% 99.6%  
28 10% 98%  
29 5% 88%  
30 3% 83%  
31 16% 81%  
32 13% 65%  
33 8% 52% Median
34 2% 44% Last Result
35 36% 41%  
36 4% 5%  
37 0.8% 1.0%  
38 0% 0.3%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations