Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 14–20 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
Venstre 19.5% 18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.4% 16.1–20.8% 15.4–21.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.8% 16.4–19.4% 16.0–19.9% 15.6–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 45–51 45–52 44–54 42–55
Venstre 34 33 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 30–34 28–35 28–36 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 15 13–16 11–16 11–16 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 8 6–10 6–10 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.8% 99.9%  
43 1.2% 99.0%  
44 0.6% 98%  
45 42% 97%  
46 7% 55% Median
47 21% 49% Last Result
48 5% 28%  
49 2% 23%  
50 11% 21%  
51 5% 10%  
52 2% 5%  
53 0.7% 3%  
54 2% 3%  
55 1.0% 1.0%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 2% 99.9%  
28 2% 98%  
29 6% 97%  
30 3% 91%  
31 6% 88%  
32 22% 82%  
33 29% 60% Median
34 25% 32% Last Result
35 3% 6%  
36 1.5% 3%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.2% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.5% 99.9%  
27 1.1% 99.4%  
28 4% 98%  
29 3% 94%  
30 6% 91%  
31 23% 85%  
32 42% 62% Median
33 8% 20%  
34 3% 11%  
35 5% 8%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.9%  
13 2% 98.8%  
14 26% 97% Last Result
15 17% 71%  
16 37% 54% Median
17 7% 17%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.8%  
11 5% 99.4%  
12 4% 94%  
13 27% 90%  
14 10% 63%  
15 24% 52% Median
16 27% 29%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.8%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100% Last Result
8 10% 99.6%  
9 26% 90%  
10 50% 64% Median
11 7% 14%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.8% 2%  
14 0.8% 0.8%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 12% 99.4%  
7 34% 88%  
8 25% 54% Median
9 9% 29%  
10 19% 20%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 22% 99.3%  
6 33% 77% Median
7 36% 44%  
8 6% 9%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0.8% 99.9%  
5 21% 99.1%  
6 37% 78% Last Result, Median
7 21% 41%  
8 19% 20%  
9 1.2% 1.4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0% 79%  
4 44% 79% Median
5 32% 35%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.1% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 98% 91–96 91–97 90–98 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 86 11% 85–90 85–91 83–91 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0.2% 76–83 76–84 76–86 73–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.3% 79–84 78–84 77–85 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 0.3% 79–84 78–84 77–85 75–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 76–80 74–81 73–82 71–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 75–80 74–81 73–82 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 69–77 69–78 69–80 67–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 71 0% 69–74 69–75 68–76 65–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 60–65 59–65 58–66 55–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 47 0% 44–49 43–49 42–51 41–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 36–41 35–41 34–42 33–45
Venstre 34 33 0% 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.2% 99.5%  
88 0.7% 99.3%  
89 0.9% 98.6%  
90 1.2% 98% Majority
91 33% 97%  
92 28% 63%  
93 4% 35% Median
94 2% 31%  
95 11% 29%  
96 12% 18%  
97 1.4% 6%  
98 2% 4%  
99 1.3% 2%  
100 0.5% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.6% 99.2%  
82 0.7% 98.6%  
83 0.7% 98%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 46% 96%  
86 18% 51%  
87 3% 33% Median
88 6% 30%  
89 13% 24%  
90 4% 11% Majority
91 5% 7%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 1.1% 1.4%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 0.8% 98.9%  
76 40% 98%  
77 2% 58% Last Result
78 21% 56% Median
79 4% 36%  
80 8% 31%  
81 5% 24%  
82 6% 19%  
83 5% 13%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.0% 3%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 99.6%  
76 1.3% 99.1%  
77 2% 98%  
78 1.4% 96%  
79 12% 94%  
80 11% 82%  
81 2% 71%  
82 4% 69%  
83 28% 65% Median
84 33% 37%  
85 1.2% 3%  
86 0.9% 2%  
87 0.7% 1.4%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.6% 99.6%  
76 1.3% 99.0%  
77 2% 98%  
78 2% 96%  
79 12% 94%  
80 11% 82%  
81 2% 71%  
82 4% 68%  
83 28% 65% Median
84 33% 36%  
85 1.1% 3%  
86 0.9% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.1%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.6% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.3%  
73 1.1% 98.5%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 95%  
76 2% 91%  
77 5% 88%  
78 26% 83%  
79 11% 57% Median
80 40% 46%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.2% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.6% 99.9%  
72 0.8% 99.3%  
73 1.1% 98.5%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 94%  
76 2% 90%  
77 5% 87%  
78 26% 82%  
79 11% 56% Median
80 40% 45%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.4% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.8% 99.3% Last Result
69 25% 98.5%  
70 1.4% 73%  
71 20% 72%  
72 19% 52% Median
73 5% 34%  
74 11% 29%  
75 4% 18%  
76 4% 14%  
77 2% 10%  
78 3% 8%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 1.1% 1.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.6% 99.5%  
66 0.5% 99.0%  
67 0.7% 98%  
68 1.2% 98%  
69 21% 97%  
70 22% 76%  
71 28% 54% Median
72 3% 26%  
73 6% 23%  
74 11% 17%  
75 3% 6%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.7% 1.1%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
56 0.6% 99.2%  
57 0.7% 98.7%  
58 2% 98%  
59 5% 96%  
60 35% 91%  
61 28% 55% Median
62 6% 28%  
63 4% 22%  
64 3% 17%  
65 11% 14%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.7% 1.0%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.8% 99.7%  
42 2% 98.9%  
43 5% 97%  
44 6% 93%  
45 4% 87%  
46 28% 82%  
47 10% 54% Median
48 17% 44%  
49 23% 27%  
50 1.5% 4%  
51 1.5% 3%  
52 0.6% 1.2%  
53 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.8% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 94%  
37 4% 90%  
38 7% 86%  
39 44% 80% Median
40 23% 35% Last Result
41 8% 12%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.1% 2%  
44 0.3% 1.0%  
45 0.5% 0.6%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 2% 99.9%  
28 2% 98%  
29 6% 97%  
30 3% 91%  
31 6% 88%  
32 22% 82%  
33 29% 60% Median
34 25% 32% Last Result
35 3% 6%  
36 1.5% 3%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.2% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations