Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–27 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.1% 26.4–29.9% 25.9–30.5% 25.5–30.9% 24.6–31.8%
Venstre 19.5% 18.9% 17.4–20.5% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.7–19.3% 14.0–20.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 46–53 46–54 45–55 44–56
Venstre 34 34 31–38 30–38 29–38 28–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 30 27–32 27–34 26–34 25–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–15 10–15 9–16 8–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–11 6–11 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 5–9 5–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.6%  
45 4% 99.3%  
46 9% 95%  
47 8% 87% Last Result
48 11% 79%  
49 12% 68%  
50 13% 57% Median
51 20% 44%  
52 5% 23%  
53 9% 18%  
54 7% 9%  
55 1.2% 3%  
56 1.0% 1.3%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 1.0% 98%  
30 7% 97%  
31 13% 90%  
32 10% 77%  
33 4% 67%  
34 18% 63% Last Result, Median
35 6% 45%  
36 9% 40%  
37 19% 30%  
38 11% 12%  
39 0.3% 0.6%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.7%  
26 1.0% 98%  
27 9% 97%  
28 17% 88%  
29 7% 71%  
30 35% 65% Median
31 12% 30%  
32 11% 18%  
33 2% 7%  
34 4% 5%  
35 1.0% 1.4%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 3% 99.5%  
13 25% 96%  
14 14% 71% Last Result
15 15% 57% Median
16 22% 42%  
17 11% 20%  
18 5% 8%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.9% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.1% 100% Last Result
9 2% 98.9%  
10 15% 97%  
11 14% 82%  
12 32% 69% Median
13 11% 37%  
14 12% 25%  
15 11% 14%  
16 2% 3%  
17 1.1% 1.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 7% 98% Last Result
8 27% 91%  
9 29% 64% Median
10 24% 35%  
11 8% 11%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 4% 99.5%  
7 22% 95%  
8 32% 74% Median
9 11% 42%  
10 23% 30%  
11 7% 7%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 7% 99.9%  
6 17% 93% Last Result
7 35% 77% Median
8 31% 42%  
9 9% 11%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 10% 98%  
6 54% 88% Median
7 11% 34%  
8 17% 23%  
9 5% 6% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100% Last Result
1 0% 59%  
2 0% 59%  
3 0% 59%  
4 39% 59% Median
5 15% 20%  
6 3% 5%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 80% 89–98 88–98 88–99 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 24% 83–92 82–92 81–92 78–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.5% 77–86 77–87 76–87 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 0.4% 77–86 77–87 76–87 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–85 73–85 73–87 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 75–85 73–85 73–87 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0.1% 78–85 77–86 76–86 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 71–78 71–80 69–80 67–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 71 0% 67–76 67–77 66–77 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 63 0% 58–66 57–68 57–68 55–70
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 45–55 45–55 44–55 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 37–45 37–45 36–46 35–46
Venstre 34 34 0% 31–38 30–38 29–38 28–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 2% 99.2%  
88 4% 98%  
89 14% 94%  
90 19% 80% Majority
91 11% 61%  
92 2% 50% Median
93 8% 48%  
94 8% 40%  
95 6% 31%  
96 7% 25%  
97 4% 18%  
98 12% 15%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.9% 1.2%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.4% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 1.0% 99.2%  
81 2% 98%  
82 4% 96%  
83 21% 92%  
84 22% 71%  
85 3% 49%  
86 6% 46% Median
87 7% 40%  
88 6% 33%  
89 4% 27%  
90 4% 24% Majority
91 5% 20%  
92 12% 14%  
93 2% 2%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.9% 99.6%  
76 2% 98.8%  
77 12% 97%  
78 4% 85%  
79 7% 82%  
80 6% 75%  
81 8% 69%  
82 8% 60%  
83 2% 52% Median
84 11% 50%  
85 19% 39%  
86 14% 20%  
87 4% 6%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.9% 99.6%  
76 2% 98.7%  
77 12% 97%  
78 4% 85%  
79 7% 82%  
80 6% 75%  
81 9% 69%  
82 8% 60%  
83 2% 52% Median
84 11% 50%  
85 19% 39%  
86 14% 20%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.5% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 99.8%  
73 6% 98.9%  
74 2% 93%  
75 4% 91%  
76 7% 87%  
77 12% 80%  
78 9% 68%  
79 11% 58% Median
80 6% 47%  
81 5% 41%  
82 13% 37%  
83 2% 24%  
84 2% 22%  
85 17% 21%  
86 0.6% 3%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 99.8%  
73 6% 98.9%  
74 2% 93%  
75 4% 91%  
76 7% 87%  
77 12% 80%  
78 9% 68%  
79 11% 58% Median
80 6% 47%  
81 5% 41%  
82 13% 37%  
83 2% 24%  
84 2% 22%  
85 17% 21%  
86 0.6% 3%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.5%  
75 1.1% 99.0%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 95% Last Result
78 27% 92%  
79 15% 65%  
80 7% 50% Median
81 11% 43%  
82 8% 32%  
83 8% 23%  
84 4% 16%  
85 3% 12%  
86 7% 9%  
87 0.4% 1.5%  
88 0.8% 1.1%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 1.0% 99.3% Last Result
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 8% 95%  
72 28% 87%  
73 22% 59%  
74 5% 36% Median
75 4% 32%  
76 5% 27%  
77 8% 22%  
78 4% 14%  
79 2% 10%  
80 7% 8%  
81 0.6% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 2% 99.5%  
66 1.3% 98%  
67 16% 97%  
68 1.2% 81%  
69 14% 80%  
70 5% 65%  
71 24% 60% Median
72 6% 36%  
73 5% 31%  
74 5% 25%  
75 10% 21%  
76 4% 11%  
77 5% 7%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.9%  
80 0.5% 0.5%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
56 0.3% 99.5%  
57 8% 99.2%  
58 9% 91%  
59 11% 83%  
60 4% 72%  
61 9% 68%  
62 5% 59% Median
63 23% 54%  
64 8% 31%  
65 7% 23%  
66 7% 16%  
67 2% 9%  
68 6% 7%  
69 0.2% 1.0%  
70 0.5% 0.8%  
71 0.3% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 1.1% 99.9%  
44 1.4% 98.7%  
45 14% 97%  
46 5% 83%  
47 8% 78%  
48 7% 71%  
49 9% 63% Median
50 6% 54%  
51 11% 48%  
52 14% 37%  
53 4% 23% Last Result
54 0.5% 20%  
55 19% 19%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 99.8%  
36 2% 98.8%  
37 13% 97%  
38 4% 83%  
39 10% 79%  
40 6% 70% Last Result
41 17% 63% Median
42 5% 46%  
43 10% 41%  
44 1.3% 31%  
45 26% 30%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.2% 0.5%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 1.0% 98%  
30 7% 97%  
31 13% 90%  
32 10% 77%  
33 4% 67%  
34 18% 63% Last Result, Median
35 6% 45%  
36 9% 40%  
37 19% 30%  
38 11% 12%  
39 0.3% 0.6%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations