Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 28 January–3 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.1%
Venstre 19.5% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.4% 16.1–20.9% 15.5–21.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 16.2% 14.8–17.7% 14.4–18.2% 14.1–18.5% 13.4–19.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 46–53 45–54 45–55 43–56
Venstre 34 33 29–36 29–37 28–39 28–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 28 26–31 26–32 25–33 24–34
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 15–18 14–19 13–19 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–15 11–16 10–16 9–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–12 8–13 7–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–10 8–12 7–12 7–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 6 5–7 4–7 4–8 0–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.7% 99.6%  
44 1.4% 98.9%  
45 5% 98%  
46 9% 92%  
47 4% 84% Last Result
48 6% 80%  
49 25% 74% Median
50 5% 49%  
51 9% 45%  
52 21% 36%  
53 9% 15%  
54 2% 6%  
55 4% 4%  
56 0.4% 0.8%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 4% 99.5%  
29 9% 95%  
30 5% 86%  
31 14% 81%  
32 6% 66%  
33 12% 60% Median
34 8% 48% Last Result
35 21% 40%  
36 11% 19%  
37 3% 7%  
38 2% 5%  
39 1.4% 3%  
40 1.3% 1.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.4% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.5%  
25 2% 99.1%  
26 12% 97%  
27 22% 85%  
28 25% 63% Median
29 15% 38%  
30 12% 23%  
31 6% 11%  
32 3% 6%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.6% 0.8%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.6%  
14 4% 96% Last Result
15 24% 92%  
16 33% 68% Median
17 9% 35%  
18 18% 25%  
19 6% 8%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.6%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.6% 100%  
10 2% 99.4%  
11 6% 97%  
12 17% 91%  
13 25% 74% Median
14 28% 48%  
15 15% 20%  
16 3% 5%  
17 0.3% 2%  
18 1.5% 1.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 4% 99.9% Last Result
8 10% 96%  
9 27% 86%  
10 14% 59% Median
11 35% 46%  
12 4% 11%  
13 6% 6%  
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 4% 99.6%  
8 37% 95%  
9 38% 59% Median
10 11% 21%  
11 3% 10%  
12 5% 7%  
13 1.1% 2% Last Result
14 0.7% 0.7%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 14% 98% Last Result
7 16% 84%  
8 29% 68% Median
9 34% 39%  
10 4% 5%  
11 1.3% 1.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0% 99.5%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 9% 99.5%  
5 30% 90%  
6 44% 60% Median
7 12% 16%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 34%  
2 0% 34%  
3 0% 34%  
4 24% 33%  
5 8% 9%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.4%  
2 0% 1.4%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 1.4% 1.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 96 95% 91–99 90–101 88–101 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 90 61% 85–93 84–95 82–95 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 82 0.2% 78–86 77–86 76–87 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0.2% 76–84 74–85 74–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0.2% 76–84 74–85 74–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 74–82 74–84 73–85 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 74–82 74–84 73–85 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 72–80 70–80 70–82 68–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 69–77 68–80 67–80 65–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 63 0% 59–67 58–67 57–68 55–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 47–53 46–54 44–56 43–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 37–44 36–46 36–46 34–48
Venstre 34 33 0% 29–36 29–37 28–39 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 3% 99.3%  
89 1.4% 97%  
90 3% 95% Majority
91 4% 92%  
92 4% 88%  
93 11% 84%  
94 9% 73% Median
95 5% 64%  
96 32% 59%  
97 8% 27%  
98 6% 19%  
99 7% 13%  
100 0.4% 6%  
101 5% 6%  
102 0.3% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 2% 99.1%  
83 1.3% 97%  
84 3% 95%  
85 3% 93%  
86 5% 90%  
87 8% 85%  
88 7% 77% Median
89 8% 69%  
90 24% 61% Majority
91 13% 37%  
92 9% 23%  
93 9% 15%  
94 0.9% 6%  
95 5% 5%  
96 0.4% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.7%  
75 1.1% 99.2%  
76 3% 98%  
77 5% 95% Last Result
78 6% 90%  
79 7% 84%  
80 7% 77%  
81 6% 70% Median
82 25% 64%  
83 14% 39%  
84 7% 25%  
85 4% 19%  
86 11% 15%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 1.5%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 5% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 94%  
76 7% 94%  
77 6% 87%  
78 8% 81% Median
79 32% 73%  
80 5% 41%  
81 9% 36%  
82 11% 27%  
83 4% 16%  
84 4% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 1.4% 5%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 5% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 94%  
76 7% 94%  
77 6% 87%  
78 8% 81% Median
79 32% 73%  
80 5% 41%  
81 9% 36%  
82 11% 26%  
83 4% 15%  
84 4% 11%  
85 3% 7%  
86 1.2% 4%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 10% 97%  
75 3% 87%  
76 11% 83%  
77 9% 73%  
78 11% 64% Median
79 31% 52%  
80 4% 22%  
81 5% 18%  
82 4% 13%  
83 2% 10%  
84 4% 7%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.5% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 10% 97%  
75 3% 87%  
76 11% 83%  
77 9% 73%  
78 11% 63% Median
79 31% 52%  
80 4% 21%  
81 5% 17%  
82 4% 12%  
83 2% 9%  
84 3% 7%  
85 1.5% 4%  
86 0.5% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 4% 98.9%  
71 2% 94%  
72 7% 92%  
73 6% 85%  
74 6% 79%  
75 5% 73% Median
76 24% 67%  
77 6% 44%  
78 16% 38%  
79 5% 21%  
80 13% 16%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.8% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 1.2% 99.7%  
66 0.5% 98.5%  
67 3% 98%  
68 2% 95%  
69 9% 93%  
70 6% 84%  
71 6% 78%  
72 7% 72% Median
73 6% 65%  
74 27% 59%  
75 7% 31%  
76 13% 24%  
77 4% 11%  
78 0.5% 7%  
79 0.6% 6%  
80 6% 6%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
56 0.9% 99.4%  
57 2% 98%  
58 2% 96%  
59 4% 94%  
60 5% 90%  
61 13% 85%  
62 6% 73% Median
63 24% 66%  
64 5% 42%  
65 15% 37%  
66 8% 22%  
67 10% 14%  
68 2% 4%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 3% 99.4%  
45 0.8% 97%  
46 5% 96%  
47 13% 91%  
48 9% 78%  
49 9% 69%  
50 13% 60% Median
51 14% 47%  
52 19% 33%  
53 4% 13% Last Result
54 5% 9%  
55 0.5% 4%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.1% 2%  
58 1.4% 1.4%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.6% 100%  
35 0.6% 99.4%  
36 5% 98.7%  
37 6% 94%  
38 10% 88%  
39 13% 78%  
40 6% 65% Last Result
41 7% 58% Median
42 19% 51%  
43 5% 33%  
44 20% 28%  
45 3% 8%  
46 4% 5%  
47 0.1% 1.4%  
48 1.3% 1.3%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 4% 99.5%  
29 9% 95%  
30 5% 86%  
31 14% 81%  
32 6% 66%  
33 12% 60% Median
34 8% 48% Last Result
35 21% 40%  
36 11% 19%  
37 3% 7%  
38 2% 5%  
39 1.4% 3%  
40 1.3% 1.3%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations