Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 4–9 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.3% 26.5–30.1% 26.0–30.7% 25.6–31.1% 24.8–32.0%
Venstre 19.5% 17.9% 16.5–19.5% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.8% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.1–18.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–8.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 48–54 46–54 45–55 43–57
Venstre 34 31 30–34 29–36 28–36 27–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 28 26–29 25–30 25–32 24–33
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–17 14–18 13–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 13 11 9–13 9–13 8–13 8–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–9 5–9 5–10 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.7% 99.8%  
44 0.8% 99.2%  
45 1.0% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 4% 95% Last Result
48 2% 91%  
49 20% 89%  
50 5% 69%  
51 14% 64%  
52 12% 50% Median
53 17% 38%  
54 18% 21%  
55 1.3% 3%  
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.5% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 1.0% 99.7%  
28 2% 98.7%  
29 5% 97%  
30 11% 93%  
31 33% 81% Median
32 19% 48%  
33 16% 29%  
34 6% 14% Last Result
35 1.0% 8%  
36 5% 6%  
37 0.5% 1.2%  
38 0.6% 0.7%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.2% 99.8%  
24 2% 99.6%  
25 4% 98%  
26 5% 93%  
27 17% 88%  
28 28% 71% Median
29 35% 44%  
30 4% 9%  
31 2% 5%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.3% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.6%  
13 3% 98%  
14 11% 95% Last Result
15 40% 84% Median
16 15% 44%  
17 22% 29%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.5% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.9%  
10 18% 98%  
11 18% 80%  
12 16% 62% Median
13 18% 46%  
14 23% 28%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.3% 1.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 8% 97%  
10 24% 89%  
11 15% 65% Median
12 19% 50%  
13 30% 31% Last Result
14 0.6% 1.0%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
8 6% 99.6%  
9 28% 93%  
10 30% 66% Median
11 22% 36%  
12 10% 14%  
13 2% 4%  
14 0.9% 1.2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 9% 99.8%  
6 45% 91% Last Result, Median
7 9% 46%  
8 6% 37%  
9 27% 31%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 16% 99.3%  
6 52% 83% Median
7 18% 31%  
8 10% 13%  
9 2% 3% Last Result
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0.2% 30%  
4 21% 30%  
5 7% 8%  
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 96 98% 92–98 92–100 90–100 88–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 90 61% 87–91 85–92 83–93 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.7% 81–86 79–86 78–88 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 77–83 75–83 75–85 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0% 77–83 75–83 75–85 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–81 74–81 72–82 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 75–80 74–81 72–82 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 74–80 74–80 71–80 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 70–76 69–76 68–78 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 61–66 58–67 57–67 54–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 47–53 46–54 45–54 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 37–42 35–44 34–45 33–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–34 29–36 28–36 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.3% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.7%  
89 2% 99.4%  
90 1.2% 98% Majority
91 1.3% 96%  
92 11% 95%  
93 5% 84%  
94 8% 80%  
95 7% 72% Median
96 45% 65%  
97 4% 20%  
98 9% 16%  
99 2% 7%  
100 4% 5%  
101 0.8% 1.5%  
102 0.1% 0.7%  
103 0.5% 0.6%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.5% 99.8%  
82 0.9% 99.3%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 3% 95%  
86 2% 92%  
87 18% 90%  
88 3% 72%  
89 8% 70% Median
90 44% 61% Majority
91 9% 17%  
92 4% 9%  
93 3% 5%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.9% 1.1%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 0.9% 99.4%  
77 0.4% 98.5% Last Result
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 3% 95%  
81 13% 91%  
82 25% 79%  
83 16% 54% Median
84 5% 38%  
85 6% 33%  
86 23% 27%  
87 1.5% 4%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.7% Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.4%  
74 0.8% 99.3%  
75 4% 98.5%  
76 2% 95% Median
77 9% 93%  
78 4% 84%  
79 45% 80%  
80 7% 35%  
81 8% 28%  
82 5% 20%  
83 11% 16%  
84 1.3% 5%  
85 1.2% 4%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.4%  
74 0.8% 99.3%  
75 4% 98%  
76 2% 95% Median
77 9% 93%  
78 4% 84%  
79 45% 80%  
80 7% 35%  
81 8% 28%  
82 5% 20%  
83 11% 16%  
84 1.3% 5%  
85 1.2% 3%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 2% 99.0%  
73 2% 97%  
74 1.5% 95%  
75 6% 94%  
76 3% 87% Median
77 11% 84%  
78 5% 74%  
79 53% 69%  
80 6% 16%  
81 6% 10%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.5% 99.5%  
72 2% 99.0%  
73 2% 97%  
74 1.5% 95%  
75 6% 94%  
76 3% 87% Median
77 11% 84%  
78 5% 74%  
79 53% 69%  
80 6% 16%  
81 6% 10%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.1%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.7% Last Result
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 0.5% 99.0%  
71 2% 98%  
72 0.8% 97%  
73 0.8% 96%  
74 8% 95%  
75 9% 88%  
76 30% 79%  
77 14% 49% Median
78 3% 35%  
79 14% 32%  
80 16% 18%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.3%  
84 0.5% 0.5%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 1.0% 99.8%  
67 1.1% 98.8%  
68 3% 98%  
69 3% 95%  
70 3% 92%  
71 11% 89%  
72 7% 78%  
73 20% 72%  
74 3% 52% Median
75 35% 49%  
76 10% 15%  
77 0.7% 5%  
78 3% 4%  
79 0.2% 1.1%  
80 0.1% 0.9%  
81 0.7% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.5% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
56 1.1% 99.3%  
57 1.5% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 2% 94%  
60 2% 92%  
61 5% 90%  
62 13% 85%  
63 21% 72%  
64 23% 52% Median
65 7% 28%  
66 15% 21%  
67 4% 6%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.7% 99.8%  
44 1.3% 99.1%  
45 2% 98%  
46 3% 96%  
47 4% 93%  
48 3% 89% Median
49 4% 86%  
50 38% 81%  
51 29% 44%  
52 3% 14%  
53 4% 11% Last Result
54 6% 7%  
55 1.0% 1.3%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.7% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 4% 97%  
36 3% 93%  
37 18% 91% Median
38 19% 73%  
39 17% 54%  
40 21% 36% Last Result
41 5% 15%  
42 2% 10%  
43 2% 8%  
44 4% 6%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 1.0% 99.7%  
28 2% 98.7%  
29 5% 97%  
30 11% 93%  
31 33% 81% Median
32 19% 48%  
33 16% 29%  
34 6% 14% Last Result
35 1.0% 8%  
36 5% 6%  
37 0.5% 1.2%  
38 0.6% 0.7%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations