Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 11–17 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.0% 27.2–30.8% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.8% 25.4–32.7%
Venstre 19.5% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.9–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.3% 13.3–17.7% 12.7–18.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 53 49–55 48–56 46–56 46–57
Venstre 34 32 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 26–29 25–30 25–31 22–33
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–18 13–18 13–19 11–20
Radikale Venstre 8 10 10–13 10–14 9–14 8–15
Liberal Alliance 13 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–13
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–8 5–9 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 3% 99.6%  
47 2% 97% Last Result
48 4% 95%  
49 5% 91%  
50 3% 86%  
51 15% 83%  
52 5% 68%  
53 26% 63% Median
54 7% 37%  
55 24% 30%  
56 6% 6%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 1.2% 99.4%  
29 7% 98%  
30 5% 91%  
31 12% 86%  
32 31% 74% Median
33 6% 44%  
34 5% 38% Last Result
35 27% 33%  
36 2% 6%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.3% 1.2%  
39 0.7% 0.9%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.6% 99.9%  
23 1.3% 99.3%  
24 0.5% 98%  
25 4% 98%  
26 24% 93%  
27 34% 69% Median
28 9% 36%  
29 20% 26%  
30 4% 7%  
31 1.0% 3%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.3%  
13 6% 98%  
14 12% 92% Last Result
15 42% 80% Median
16 11% 38%  
17 5% 27%  
18 17% 21%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.9% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
9 3% 99.4%  
10 48% 96% Median
11 17% 48%  
12 11% 31%  
13 13% 19%  
14 5% 6%  
15 0.5% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 15% 99.4%  
9 21% 84%  
10 35% 63% Median
11 14% 28%  
12 10% 14%  
13 2% 3% Last Result
14 1.3% 1.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 5% 99.7% Last Result
8 7% 94%  
9 36% 87%  
10 37% 52% Median
11 13% 15%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.8%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 14% 98%  
7 37% 84% Median
8 33% 47%  
9 9% 14% Last Result
10 4% 5%  
11 0.9% 1.0%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100%  
5 8% 99.1%  
6 57% 91% Last Result, Median
7 18% 34%  
8 11% 16%  
9 3% 5%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0.8% 50%  
4 41% 49%  
5 7% 8%  
6 1.0% 1.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0.1% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 97 98.7% 93–98 91–100 90–102 88–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 90 50% 84–90 83–92 82–95 82–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 86 4% 81–88 80–89 79–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 77–82 74–84 73–85 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 78 0% 76–82 74–84 73–85 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 78 0% 74–80 73–81 71–83 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 73–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 77 0% 73–80 72–81 71–82 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 73 0% 70–75 68–77 67–78 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 61–66 59–67 57–68 57–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–52 45–54 45–54 44–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 36–41 35–43 35–43 33–47
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.8% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.0%  
90 3% 98.7% Majority
91 3% 96%  
92 3% 93%  
93 3% 90%  
94 7% 87%  
95 10% 80% Median
96 15% 70%  
97 26% 55%  
98 21% 29%  
99 2% 8%  
100 2% 6%  
101 0.8% 4%  
102 3% 4%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.3%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 2% 99.5%  
83 3% 97%  
84 5% 95%  
85 5% 90%  
86 2% 85%  
87 4% 83%  
88 14% 79% Median
89 15% 66%  
90 41% 50% Majority
91 3% 9%  
92 1.2% 6%  
93 0.4% 5%  
94 0.7% 4%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0.4% 0.5%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.8% Last Result
78 0.8% 99.0%  
79 2% 98%  
80 3% 96%  
81 7% 94%  
82 4% 87%  
83 15% 83%  
84 5% 68%  
85 9% 63% Median
86 5% 54%  
87 28% 49%  
88 16% 21%  
89 1.4% 5%  
90 2% 4% Majority
91 0.8% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 3% 99.3%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 95% Median
76 3% 93%  
77 21% 90%  
78 25% 69%  
79 15% 44%  
80 10% 29%  
81 7% 19%  
82 3% 12%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 7%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.2% 1.2%  
87 0.8% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 3% 99.3%  
74 2% 96%  
75 4% 94% Median
76 3% 90%  
77 21% 87%  
78 26% 67%  
79 13% 41%  
80 10% 28%  
81 7% 19%  
82 3% 12%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 6%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.2% 1.1%  
87 0.7% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.7% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.0%  
72 2% 97%  
73 4% 95%  
74 5% 92%  
75 15% 87%  
76 4% 72%  
77 10% 68%  
78 12% 58% Median
79 2% 46%  
80 38% 44%  
81 2% 6%  
82 0.5% 4%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.7% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.8%  
71 0.8% 99.3%  
72 1.3% 98.5%  
73 18% 97%  
74 4% 79%  
75 13% 75% Median
76 5% 62%  
77 11% 57%  
78 28% 46%  
79 4% 18%  
80 8% 15%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.8%  
71 3% 99.3%  
72 1.4% 96%  
73 18% 95%  
74 4% 77%  
75 11% 73% Median
76 5% 62%  
77 11% 57%  
78 28% 45%  
79 3% 17%  
80 7% 14%  
81 4% 7%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.5% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.4%  
67 2% 99.0%  
68 3% 97%  
69 4% 94%  
70 6% 90%  
71 5% 85%  
72 19% 79%  
73 14% 61% Median
74 9% 47%  
75 30% 38%  
76 2% 8%  
77 2% 6%  
78 0.8% 3%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 3% 99.7%  
58 2% 97%  
59 3% 95%  
60 2% 92%  
61 8% 91%  
62 6% 82%  
63 20% 76% Median
64 15% 56%  
65 30% 41%  
66 4% 12%  
67 4% 8%  
68 4% 4%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 0.7% 99.5%  
45 4% 98.9%  
46 10% 95%  
47 20% 85%  
48 10% 65% Median
49 8% 55%  
50 5% 47%  
51 31% 42%  
52 4% 11%  
53 2% 8% Last Result
54 4% 6%  
55 0.6% 1.4%  
56 0.1% 0.8%  
57 0.6% 0.7%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.3% 99.4%  
35 3% 98%  
36 6% 95%  
37 5% 88%  
38 30% 83% Median
39 6% 53%  
40 9% 47% Last Result
41 28% 38%  
42 4% 10%  
43 4% 6%  
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.4% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.7%  
47 0.5% 0.5%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 1.2% 99.4%  
29 7% 98%  
30 5% 91%  
31 12% 86%  
32 31% 74% Median
33 6% 44%  
34 5% 38% Last Result
35 27% 33%  
36 2% 6%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.3% 1.2%  
39 0.7% 0.9%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations