Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–24 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.1% 26.4–29.9% 25.9–30.5% 25.4–30.9% 24.6–31.8%
Venstre 19.5% 18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.7–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 14.8% 13.5–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.1% 12.2–17.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–8.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 51–52 48–53 47–54 45–57
Venstre 34 31 30–34 30–36 29–37 27–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 25–28 24–29 23–29 22–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 15–19 14–19 14–21 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 13 10–13 10–13 9–14 9–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 13 11–14 9–14 9–14 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 7–13
Alternativet 9 7 5–7 5–7 5–8 4–9
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–7 5–8 5–9 5–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.9% 99.5%  
46 0.5% 98.6%  
47 2% 98% Last Result
48 0.8% 96%  
49 2% 95%  
50 2% 93%  
51 8% 91%  
52 75% 83% Median
53 4% 7%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.4% 1.1%  
56 0.2% 0.7%  
57 0.3% 0.6%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 2% 100%  
28 0.2% 98%  
29 3% 98%  
30 44% 95%  
31 1.2% 51% Median
32 10% 50%  
33 7% 40%  
34 27% 33% Last Result
35 1.1% 6%  
36 2% 5%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.4% 1.4%  
39 0.9% 1.0%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 1.3% 99.8%  
23 1.2% 98.6%  
24 3% 97%  
25 5% 94%  
26 5% 89%  
27 68% 84% Median
28 9% 16%  
29 5% 7%  
30 1.4% 2%  
31 0.2% 0.6%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 5% 98% Last Result
15 10% 92%  
16 45% 82% Median
17 7% 37%  
18 3% 30%  
19 24% 27%  
20 0.6% 3%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100% Last Result
9 3% 99.7%  
10 28% 96%  
11 10% 69%  
12 6% 59%  
13 48% 53% Median
14 3% 5%  
15 0.9% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.6%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100% Last Result
8 2% 99.6%  
9 3% 98%  
10 2% 95%  
11 34% 92%  
12 8% 58%  
13 13% 50% Median
14 37% 37%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.5% 99.8%  
8 47% 98%  
9 6% 52% Median
10 43% 46%  
11 1.5% 3%  
12 0.9% 2%  
13 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100%  
5 37% 99.1%  
6 10% 62%  
7 48% 52% Median
8 2% 4%  
9 1.1% 1.5% Last Result
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 29% 99.5%  
6 50% 71% Last Result, Median
7 15% 21%  
8 3% 6%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.2% 0.4%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 34% 54% Median
5 17% 20%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 1.3% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 99 99.7% 95–102 93–102 92–102 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 92 85% 89–95 87–95 86–95 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 87 4% 83–89 82–89 80–91 78–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 82 0% 77–82 75–82 74–84 71–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 73–80 73–82 73–83 72–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 76 0% 73–80 73–82 73–83 72–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 73–80 73–81 73–82 72–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 76 0% 73–80 73–81 73–82 72–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 73 0% 71–77 71–78 70–80 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 73 0% 71–77 71–78 70–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 77 0% 73–79 71–79 69–79 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 62–65 59–65 58–66 56–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 46 0% 44–50 44–51 44–54 44–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 38 0% 36–41 36–42 35–43 34–46
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–34 30–36 29–37 27–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 0.6% 99.7% Majority
91 1.3% 99.1%  
92 0.6% 98%  
93 2% 97%  
94 2% 95%  
95 8% 93%  
96 5% 85%  
97 27% 80%  
98 2% 53%  
99 10% 52%  
100 2% 42%  
101 0.4% 40% Median
102 39% 40%  
103 0.2% 0.7%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.6% 99.7%  
84 1.0% 99.1%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 3% 98%  
87 1.3% 95%  
88 3% 94%  
89 6% 91%  
90 5% 85% Majority
91 5% 80%  
92 26% 75%  
93 0.3% 49%  
94 9% 49% Median
95 39% 40%  
96 0.6% 1.1%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
78 0.4% 99.6%  
79 1.5% 99.2%  
80 1.4% 98%  
81 0.5% 96%  
82 2% 96%  
83 7% 94%  
84 7% 87%  
85 3% 80%  
86 12% 78%  
87 24% 66%  
88 0.2% 42% Median
89 37% 42%  
90 2% 4% Majority
91 0.7% 3%  
92 0.1% 2%  
93 2% 2%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.6%  
72 0.9% 99.1%  
73 0.6% 98%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 1.2% 96%  
76 4% 95%  
77 2% 91%  
78 10% 89%  
79 4% 79%  
80 1.4% 75%  
81 9% 74% Median
82 60% 65%  
83 2% 5%  
84 0.1% 3%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 39% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 60%  
75 2% 60%  
76 10% 58%  
77 2% 48% Median
78 27% 47%  
79 5% 20%  
80 8% 15%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 39% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 60%  
75 2% 60%  
76 10% 58%  
77 2% 48% Median
78 27% 47%  
79 5% 20%  
80 8% 15%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.5%  
73 39% 99.2%  
74 0.4% 60%  
75 2% 59%  
76 11% 58%  
77 2% 47% Median
78 27% 45%  
79 5% 19%  
80 8% 14%  
81 1.2% 5%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.4%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.5%  
73 39% 99.2%  
74 0.4% 60%  
75 2% 59%  
76 11% 58%  
77 2% 47% Median
78 27% 45%  
79 5% 19%  
80 8% 14%  
81 1.2% 5%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.4%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.7%  
70 3% 98%  
71 9% 95%  
72 0.8% 86%  
73 39% 86% Median
74 24% 46%  
75 9% 22%  
76 3% 13%  
77 3% 10%  
78 3% 8%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.6% 0.8%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.7%  
70 3% 98%  
71 9% 95%  
72 0.8% 86%  
73 39% 86% Median
74 24% 46%  
75 9% 22%  
76 3% 13%  
77 3% 10%  
78 3% 8%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.6% 0.8%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.7% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.2%  
68 1.1% 98.6%  
69 1.0% 98%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 0.7% 95%  
72 2% 95%  
73 27% 93%  
74 10% 66%  
75 5% 56%  
76 0.7% 51%  
77 4% 50%  
78 10% 46% Median
79 35% 36%  
80 0.7% 1.1%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.2% 99.6%  
57 1.4% 99.4%  
58 1.1% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 0.9% 95%  
61 2% 94%  
62 28% 93%  
63 9% 65%  
64 8% 56%  
65 45% 48% Median
66 0.7% 3%  
67 1.0% 2%  
68 0.7% 1.2%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0.3% 0.5%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 12% 99.6%  
45 0.9% 88%  
46 39% 87% Median
47 29% 48%  
48 4% 19%  
49 3% 15%  
50 6% 12%  
51 2% 6%  
52 0.8% 4%  
53 0.3% 3% Last Result
54 1.4% 3%  
55 1.0% 1.3%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 2% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 98%  
36 45% 97%  
37 2% 52% Median
38 6% 51%  
39 31% 45%  
40 3% 14% Last Result
41 3% 11%  
42 4% 7%  
43 1.3% 3%  
44 0.4% 2%  
45 0.7% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.9%  
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 2% 100%  
28 0.2% 98%  
29 3% 98%  
30 44% 95%  
31 1.2% 51% Median
32 10% 50%  
33 7% 40%  
34 27% 33% Last Result
35 1.1% 6%  
36 2% 5%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.4% 1.4%  
39 0.9% 1.0%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations