Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25 February–3 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.4% 25.3–30.8% 24.5–31.7%
Venstre 19.5% 18.1% 16.7–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.9–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.5% 12.6–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 47–51 46–52 45–53 44–56
Venstre 34 34 30–35 29–35 28–36 27–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 24–28 24–29 23–29 22–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 8–12 7–13 7–13
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–12
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 1.3% 99.9%  
45 3% 98.6%  
46 5% 95%  
47 9% 90% Last Result
48 15% 81%  
49 8% 66%  
50 3% 58%  
51 49% 54% Median
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 4%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.5% 1.2%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.4%  
29 3% 97%  
30 14% 94%  
31 3% 80%  
32 7% 78%  
33 5% 71%  
34 32% 66% Last Result, Median
35 29% 34%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.6%  
23 2% 98.5%  
24 9% 96%  
25 15% 87%  
26 4% 72%  
27 32% 68% Median
28 28% 36%  
29 5% 7%  
30 1.5% 2%  
31 0.8% 1.0%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 3% 98%  
14 30% 95% Last Result
15 4% 64%  
16 34% 61% Median
17 7% 26%  
18 5% 20%  
19 8% 15%  
20 7% 7%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.9%  
10 30% 98%  
11 25% 68% Median
12 27% 43%  
13 8% 16%  
14 6% 8%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
8 3% 99.8%  
9 14% 97%  
10 13% 83%  
11 14% 71%  
12 52% 56% Median
13 2% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 5% 100%  
8 7% 95%  
9 39% 89% Median
10 33% 50%  
11 9% 17%  
12 5% 8%  
13 2% 3% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.4%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 6% 99.2%  
7 30% 94%  
8 17% 64% Median
9 34% 47% Last Result
10 12% 12%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 30% 98% Last Result
7 18% 68% Median
8 31% 50%  
9 11% 18%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.3% 1.4%  
12 1.0% 1.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0.7% 40%  
4 16% 39%  
5 15% 23%  
6 8% 8%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 96 97% 92–99 91–99 88–100 88–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 88 35% 85–90 84–90 80–92 78–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 86 1.4% 80–87 79–87 76–88 75–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–83 76–84 75–87 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–83 76–84 75–87 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 76–83 76–84 75–87 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0% 76–83 76–84 75–87 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 72–80 72–80 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 78 0% 72–80 72–80 72–82 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 77 0% 73–79 72–79 68–80 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 73 0% 69–74 68–75 67–77 65–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 58–62 57–64 57–67 55–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 47–52 47–53 46–53 45–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 37–43 37–43 37–44 35–46
Venstre 34 34 0% 30–35 29–35 28–36 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.4% 100%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 2% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 97%  
90 0.4% 97% Majority
91 6% 97%  
92 1.3% 91%  
93 2% 89%  
94 1.0% 88%  
95 7% 87%  
96 36% 80%  
97 22% 44%  
98 9% 21% Median
99 9% 13%  
100 2% 4%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.1% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.2%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0.6% 100%  
79 0% 99.4%  
80 2% 99.4%  
81 0.1% 97%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 1.2% 97%  
84 2% 95%  
85 9% 94%  
86 1.2% 85%  
87 33% 84%  
88 3% 50%  
89 13% 48%  
90 30% 35% Median, Majority
91 0.8% 5%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.2% 2%  
94 0.3% 1.0%  
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.3% 0.3%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.5% 100%  
76 2% 99.5%  
77 0.3% 97% Last Result
78 0.1% 97%  
79 4% 97%  
80 3% 93%  
81 4% 90%  
82 4% 86%  
83 6% 82%  
84 5% 76%  
85 3% 71%  
86 56% 68%  
87 9% 12% Median
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 1.1% 1.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 0.3% 99.4%  
74 0.6% 99.0%  
75 2% 98%  
76 9% 96%  
77 9% 87% Median
78 22% 79%  
79 36% 56%  
80 7% 20%  
81 1.0% 13%  
82 2% 12%  
83 1.3% 11%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.1% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 0.3% 99.3%  
74 0.6% 99.0%  
75 2% 98%  
76 9% 96%  
77 9% 87% Median
78 22% 78%  
79 36% 56%  
80 7% 20%  
81 0.9% 13%  
82 2% 12%  
83 1.3% 10%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.1% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 0.3% 99.4%  
74 0.6% 99.0%  
75 2% 98%  
76 9% 96%  
77 9% 87% Median
78 22% 79%  
79 36% 56%  
80 7% 20%  
81 1.0% 13%  
82 2% 12%  
83 1.3% 11%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.1% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 0.3% 99.3%  
74 0.6% 99.0%  
75 2% 98%  
76 9% 96%  
77 9% 87% Median
78 22% 78%  
79 36% 56%  
80 7% 20%  
81 0.9% 13%  
82 2% 12%  
83 1.3% 10%  
84 6% 9%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.1% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0% 0.5%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 99.0%  
72 13% 98%  
73 8% 85%  
74 3% 78%  
75 4% 75%  
76 3% 70%  
77 2% 67% Median
78 22% 65%  
79 30% 43%  
80 8% 13%  
81 1.3% 5%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.2% 1.0%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 99.0%  
72 13% 98%  
73 8% 85%  
74 3% 77%  
75 4% 74%  
76 3% 70%  
77 2% 67% Median
78 22% 65%  
79 30% 43%  
80 8% 13%  
81 1.3% 5%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.2% 1.0%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.6% 100%  
68 2% 99.4% Last Result
69 0.3% 97%  
70 0.8% 97%  
71 0.7% 96%  
72 4% 95%  
73 7% 91%  
74 2% 85%  
75 6% 82%  
76 7% 77%  
77 35% 69%  
78 9% 34%  
79 21% 25% Median
80 3% 4%  
81 0.6% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.0%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.5% 100%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 3% 98.6%  
68 1.3% 96%  
69 10% 95%  
70 14% 85%  
71 8% 71%  
72 5% 63%  
73 30% 57%  
74 22% 28% Median
75 2% 5%  
76 0.6% 3%  
77 0.3% 3%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.9%  
80 0.2% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.3%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.8% 99.3%  
57 4% 98%  
58 6% 95%  
59 2% 88%  
60 18% 86%  
61 37% 68%  
62 22% 31% Median
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 1.1% 5%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.4% 1.0%  
69 0.3% 0.6%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.6%  
46 2% 99.1%  
47 8% 97%  
48 16% 89%  
49 4% 73%  
50 21% 69% Median
51 4% 48%  
52 37% 44%  
53 5% 7% Last Result
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.5% 1.5%  
56 0.1% 1.0%  
57 0.5% 0.9%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.9% 99.6%  
36 0.9% 98.7%  
37 9% 98%  
38 4% 89%  
39 9% 85%  
40 26% 76% Last Result
41 12% 50% Median
42 7% 38%  
43 28% 32%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.4% 1.2%  
46 0.5% 0.8%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.4%  
29 3% 97%  
30 14% 94%  
31 3% 80%  
32 7% 78%  
33 5% 71%  
34 32% 66% Last Result, Median
35 29% 34%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations