Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 4–9 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.6% 26.9–30.5% 26.4–31.0% 26.0–31.5% 25.1–32.4%
Venstre 19.5% 18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.7–20.7% 16.4–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.4% 11.6–17.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 47–54 47–55 46–56 44–58
Venstre 34 35 30–36 29–37 28–38 28–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 24–28 23–29 22–30 20–30
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 14–19 13–19 12–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 13 11–14 11–15 11–16 10–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 9–11 8–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–14
Alternativet 9 8 6–10 6–11 6–11 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–8 5–8 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.5% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 3% 98.8%  
47 43% 96% Last Result
48 8% 53% Median
49 11% 45%  
50 3% 34%  
51 5% 31%  
52 6% 26%  
53 6% 20%  
54 7% 14%  
55 3% 7%  
56 3% 4%  
57 0.1% 0.9%  
58 0.5% 0.7%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 3% 99.7%  
29 4% 97%  
30 4% 93%  
31 3% 88%  
32 12% 85%  
33 9% 74%  
34 11% 65% Last Result
35 7% 54% Median
36 41% 47%  
37 3% 6%  
38 3% 3%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 2% 99.9%  
21 0.4% 98%  
22 2% 98%  
23 4% 96%  
24 13% 91%  
25 10% 78%  
26 15% 69%  
27 6% 54% Median
28 41% 48%  
29 3% 6%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.3% 0.3%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 5% 97%  
14 5% 92% Last Result
15 6% 87%  
16 16% 81%  
17 48% 64% Median
18 3% 17%  
19 12% 14%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.4% 100%  
10 2% 99.6%  
11 19% 98%  
12 11% 79%  
13 50% 68% Median
14 9% 18%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
8 8% 99.6%  
9 7% 92%  
10 18% 85%  
11 58% 67% Median
12 6% 10%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 8% 98%  
9 55% 90% Median
10 14% 35%  
11 15% 21%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.2% 2% Last Result
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.3% 99.9%  
6 10% 98.6%  
7 14% 89%  
8 49% 75% Median
9 7% 26% Last Result
10 11% 19%  
11 8% 8%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 4% 98.8%  
6 56% 95% Last Result, Median
7 14% 39%  
8 20% 24%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.7% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 23% 25%  
5 1.3% 2%  
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 96 100% 95–100 94–103 93–103 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 88 36% 86–93 85–96 85–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 6% 83–89 81–90 80–92 79–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 74–79 74–81 72–85 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–80 72–81 72–82 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 75–80 72–81 72–82 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–80 72–81 72–82 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0% 75–80 72–81 72–82 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 77 0% 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 71 0% 71–77 69–78 69–81 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 60–67 59–69 59–71 57–71
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 47–52 46–54 45–56 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 37–42 36–43 34–44 34–45
Venstre 34 35 0% 30–36 29–37 28–38 28–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.4% 99.9%  
92 1.0% 99.5%  
93 1.3% 98%  
94 4% 97%  
95 6% 93%  
96 47% 87%  
97 5% 40% Median
98 7% 36%  
99 4% 29%  
100 14% 24%  
101 1.1% 10%  
102 3% 9%  
103 4% 6%  
104 0.4% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.4%  
106 1.0% 1.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 1.3% 99.6%  
85 7% 98%  
86 2% 91%  
87 2% 89%  
88 42% 87%  
89 9% 45% Median
90 13% 36% Majority
91 6% 22%  
92 3% 16%  
93 3% 13%  
94 3% 9%  
95 1.0% 6%  
96 5% 5%  
97 0.7% 0.9%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.3% 100% Last Result
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.5% 99.6%  
80 2% 99.1%  
81 3% 97%  
82 3% 94%  
83 45% 90%  
84 9% 46% Median
85 12% 37%  
86 2% 24%  
87 3% 22%  
88 4% 19%  
89 9% 15%  
90 1.1% 6% Majority
91 0.7% 5%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.6% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.7% 99.5%  
72 1.4% 98.8%  
73 2% 97%  
74 9% 95%  
75 44% 86%  
76 3% 42% Median
77 10% 39%  
78 5% 29%  
79 15% 24%  
80 2% 9%  
81 3% 8%  
82 0.5% 5%  
83 0.4% 4%  
84 1.4% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 1.0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 0.4% 98.6%  
72 4% 98%  
73 3% 94%  
74 1.1% 91%  
75 14% 90%  
76 4% 76%  
77 7% 71% Median
78 5% 64%  
79 47% 60%  
80 6% 13%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 1.0% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 1.0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 0.4% 98.6%  
72 4% 98%  
73 3% 94%  
74 1.1% 91%  
75 14% 90%  
76 4% 76%  
77 7% 71% Median
78 5% 64%  
79 47% 60%  
80 6% 13%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 1.0% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 1.0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 0.4% 98.6%  
72 4% 98%  
73 3% 94%  
74 1.2% 91%  
75 14% 90%  
76 4% 76%  
77 7% 71% Median
78 5% 64%  
79 47% 60%  
80 6% 13%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 1.0% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 1.0% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 0.4% 98.6%  
72 4% 98%  
73 3% 94%  
74 1.2% 91%  
75 14% 90%  
76 4% 76%  
77 7% 71% Median
78 5% 64%  
79 47% 60%  
80 6% 13%  
81 4% 7%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 1.0% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 5% 94%  
73 4% 89%  
74 4% 85%  
75 19% 81%  
76 8% 62%  
77 6% 54% Median
78 1.3% 47%  
79 40% 46%  
80 2% 5%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.9% 1.2%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 5% 94%  
73 4% 89%  
74 4% 85%  
75 19% 81%  
76 8% 62%  
77 6% 54% Median
78 1.3% 47%  
79 40% 46%  
80 2% 5%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.9% 1.2%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.8%  
68 1.4% 99.2%  
69 6% 98%  
70 0.8% 91%  
71 49% 91%  
72 5% 42% Median
73 9% 37%  
74 5% 29%  
75 6% 24%  
76 2% 18%  
77 6% 16%  
78 5% 9%  
79 0.5% 4%  
80 1.2% 4%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 1.3% 99.4%  
59 7% 98%  
60 48% 92%  
61 4% 43% Median
62 4% 39%  
63 4% 34%  
64 5% 30%  
65 9% 25%  
66 5% 16%  
67 3% 11%  
68 3% 8%  
69 1.4% 5%  
70 0.9% 4%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.6%  
45 4% 99.2%  
46 4% 95%  
47 3% 91%  
48 5% 88%  
49 12% 83%  
50 6% 71% Median
51 52% 65%  
52 6% 13%  
53 1.0% 6% Last Result
54 2% 5%  
55 0.8% 3%  
56 3% 3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 3% 99.8%  
35 0.7% 97%  
36 3% 96%  
37 6% 93%  
38 1.4% 87%  
39 4% 86%  
40 20% 81% Last Result
41 5% 61% Median
42 46% 55%  
43 5% 10%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.2% 1.5%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 3% 99.7%  
29 4% 97%  
30 4% 93%  
31 3% 88%  
32 12% 85%  
33 9% 74%  
34 11% 65% Last Result
35 7% 54% Median
36 41% 47%  
37 3% 6%  
38 3% 3%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations