Opinion Poll by Kantar Gallup for Berlingske, 8–14 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.2% 23.3–29.0%
Venstre 19.5% 19.7% 18.5–21.0% 18.1–21.4% 17.8–21.8% 17.3–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 13.7% 12.6–14.8% 12.3–15.2% 12.1–15.5% 11.6–16.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.8–9.1% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.7% 5.9–7.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.4% 4.8–6.2% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–7.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.7–2.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 42–49 42–50 42–50 42–51
Venstre 34 35 33–37 32–38 32–38 31–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 25 22–27 21–27 21–27 20–29
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 12–15 11–15 11–15 10–17
Radikale Venstre 8 13 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 9–16
Liberal Alliance 13 11 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 11 9–11 8–11 7–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 6 6–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 23% 99.9%  
43 4% 77%  
44 3% 74%  
45 30% 71% Median
46 1.2% 41%  
47 15% 40% Last Result
48 14% 25%  
49 2% 11%  
50 8% 8%  
51 0.2% 0.6%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.2% 100%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 8% 98.8%  
33 8% 91%  
34 8% 84% Last Result
35 31% 76% Median
36 5% 45%  
37 34% 41%  
38 6% 7%  
39 0.3% 0.8%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.7%  
21 6% 99.3%  
22 8% 93%  
23 5% 85%  
24 8% 80%  
25 28% 72% Median
26 12% 44%  
27 30% 32%  
28 1.1% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.6%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.2% 100%  
11 6% 98.8%  
12 11% 93%  
13 20% 82%  
14 5% 63% Last Result
15 56% 58% Median
16 1.1% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.3%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 2% 100%  
10 7% 98%  
11 2% 92%  
12 32% 89%  
13 18% 57% Median
14 30% 39%  
15 9% 9%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.3%  
11 44% 98.7%  
12 39% 55% Median
13 8% 16%  
14 6% 8%  
15 0.4% 2%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 24% 99.3%  
9 15% 75%  
10 7% 61%  
11 52% 54% Median
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100% Last Result
7 2% 98%  
8 6% 96%  
9 20% 91%  
10 18% 70%  
11 50% 52% Median
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 5% 99.4%  
6 48% 94% Median
7 18% 46%  
8 26% 28%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 0% 72%  
4 15% 72%  
5 46% 57% Median
6 10% 11%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 0.9% 1.2%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 67% 89–95 88–96 87–97 86–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 5% 81–89 81–90 80–90 79–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.2% 80–86 79–87 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 84 0.2% 80–86 79–87 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.2% 80–86 79–87 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 0.2% 80–86 79–87 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0% 75–84 75–84 72–84 72–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0% 75–84 75–84 72–84 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 77 0% 77–81 77–83 76–83 73–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 71 0% 69–75 69–76 68–76 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 70 0% 66–75 66–76 66–76 64–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 54–62 54–64 54–65 51–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 56 0% 52–57 51–58 51–58 49–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 46 0% 42–48 41–48 41–48 39–50
Venstre 34 35 0% 33–37 32–38 32–38 31–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Last Result
86 1.0% 99.8%  
87 2% 98.8%  
88 3% 96%  
89 26% 93%  
90 14% 67% Majority
91 34% 54% Median
92 0.9% 19%  
93 5% 18%  
94 2% 13%  
95 5% 11%  
96 2% 6%  
97 3% 4%  
98 0.6% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 2% 99.8%  
80 2% 98%  
81 22% 96%  
82 6% 74%  
83 8% 68%  
84 6% 60%  
85 36% 54% Median
86 3% 18%  
87 3% 15%  
88 0.4% 12%  
89 6% 11%  
90 5% 5% Majority
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 2% 89%  
82 5% 87%  
83 0.9% 82%  
84 34% 81%  
85 14% 46%  
86 26% 33%  
87 3% 7% Median
88 2% 4%  
89 1.0% 1.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 2% 89%  
82 5% 87%  
83 0.9% 82%  
84 34% 81%  
85 14% 46%  
86 26% 33%  
87 3% 6% Median
88 2% 4%  
89 1.0% 1.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 2% 89%  
82 5% 86%  
83 0.6% 81%  
84 35% 80%  
85 14% 46%  
86 26% 32%  
87 3% 6% Median
88 2% 3%  
89 1.0% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 2% 89%  
82 5% 86%  
83 0.6% 81%  
84 35% 80%  
85 14% 46%  
86 26% 32%  
87 3% 6% Median
88 2% 3%  
89 1.0% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 3% 99.9%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 0.4% 96%  
75 6% 96%  
76 3% 90%  
77 4% 87%  
78 2% 82%  
79 9% 80%  
80 8% 71%  
81 27% 63%  
82 7% 37% Median
83 3% 29%  
84 27% 27%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 3% 99.9%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 0.4% 96%  
75 6% 96%  
76 3% 90%  
77 4% 87%  
78 2% 82%  
79 9% 80%  
80 8% 71%  
81 27% 63%  
82 7% 36% Median
83 3% 29%  
84 27% 27%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 1.2% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 98.7%  
75 0.7% 98.6%  
76 3% 98%  
77 55% 95% Last Result
78 17% 40% Median
79 6% 23%  
80 6% 17%  
81 5% 11%  
82 0.5% 6%  
83 4% 5%  
84 0.2% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 1.1%  
86 0.2% 0.8%  
87 0.5% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 1.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 98.7%  
68 1.3% 98.6% Last Result
69 21% 97%  
70 5% 76%  
71 39% 71%  
72 14% 32% Median
73 3% 18%  
74 5% 15%  
75 3% 10%  
76 4% 7%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 1.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 98.9%  
66 21% 98.7%  
67 2% 78%  
68 2% 76%  
69 6% 74%  
70 30% 68% Median
71 10% 38%  
72 9% 28%  
73 6% 19%  
74 2% 13%  
75 3% 11%  
76 6% 8%  
77 0% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 1.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 98.9%  
53 0.7% 98.8%  
54 21% 98%  
55 1.1% 77% Last Result
56 3% 76%  
57 6% 73%  
58 5% 67% Median
59 28% 62%  
60 16% 34%  
61 5% 18%  
62 4% 12%  
63 2% 8%  
64 3% 7%  
65 4% 4%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.8% 99.7%  
50 0.7% 98.9%  
51 6% 98%  
52 6% 92%  
53 4% 86% Last Result
54 11% 82%  
55 2% 71%  
56 29% 69%  
57 33% 40% Median
58 6% 7%  
59 0.4% 1.0%  
60 0.5% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.9%  
40 0.8% 99.5% Last Result
41 6% 98.7%  
42 6% 92%  
43 9% 86%  
44 3% 77%  
45 4% 74%  
46 39% 71% Median
47 10% 32%  
48 21% 22%  
49 0.2% 1.2%  
50 0.9% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.2% 100%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 8% 98.8%  
33 8% 91%  
34 8% 84% Last Result
35 31% 76% Median
36 5% 45%  
37 34% 41%  
38 6% 7%  
39 0.3% 0.8%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations