Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 11–17 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.7% 26.0–29.5% 25.5–30.0% 25.1–30.5% 24.3–31.3%
Venstre 19.5% 18.9% 17.5–20.5% 17.0–21.0% 16.7–21.4% 16.0–22.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 12.9–16.5% 12.6–16.9% 12.0–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 46–55 45–55 44–55 42–55
Venstre 34 33 30–36 29–36 29–37 28–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 23–29 23–29 23–30 21–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–19 14–20 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 12 12–15 10–15 9–16 9–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–10 7–11 6–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–11
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 5–9 5–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.2%  
44 3% 98.8%  
45 2% 96%  
46 4% 94%  
47 23% 90% Last Result
48 15% 67%  
49 20% 52% Median
50 5% 32%  
51 7% 27%  
52 3% 19%  
53 4% 16%  
54 2% 12%  
55 10% 10%  
56 0% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.5% 99.9%  
29 4% 98%  
30 13% 95%  
31 7% 82%  
32 11% 75%  
33 14% 64% Median
34 7% 49% Last Result
35 26% 42%  
36 11% 16%  
37 3% 5%  
38 0.5% 2%  
39 0.5% 1.1%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 1.4% 99.9%  
22 0.7% 98%  
23 11% 98%  
24 7% 87%  
25 10% 80%  
26 10% 69%  
27 27% 60% Median
28 14% 33%  
29 16% 19%  
30 1.4% 3%  
31 1.3% 2%  
32 0.1% 0.3%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.6%  
14 17% 98% Last Result
15 18% 82%  
16 28% 64% Median
17 5% 35%  
18 22% 30%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 1.1% 1.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100% Last Result
9 3% 99.8%  
10 4% 97%  
11 3% 93%  
12 48% 90% Median
13 13% 43%  
14 11% 30%  
15 16% 19%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100% Last Result
8 1.0% 99.5%  
9 19% 98.5%  
10 20% 79%  
11 16% 59% Median
12 31% 43%  
13 7% 12%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.7% 1.1%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 4% 99.9%  
7 4% 96%  
8 30% 92%  
9 42% 62% Median
10 13% 20%  
11 3% 7%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.3% 99.9%  
6 21% 98.6% Last Result
7 28% 78% Median
8 23% 50%  
9 25% 27%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.7% 0.8%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 18% 99.5%  
6 33% 81% Median
7 30% 48%  
8 13% 18%  
9 5% 6% Last Result
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 0% 70%  
2 0% 70%  
3 0.1% 70%  
4 42% 70% Median
5 15% 28%  
6 13% 14%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 96 99.0% 92–100 91–101 90–101 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 89 47% 86–94 85–95 85–95 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 82 0.8% 80–88 79–88 78–89 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–83 74–84 74–85 72–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 75–83 74–84 74–85 72–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 75–83 74–84 74–85 72–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0% 75–83 74–84 74–85 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 74–81 72–83 71–83 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 72–79 71–80 71–81 67–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 77 0% 72–79 71–80 71–81 67–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 68–78 68–79 67–79 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 62 0% 58–67 57–67 56–68 54–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–52 45–54 45–56 43–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 38–44 37–44 36–45 35–47
Venstre 34 33 0% 30–36 29–36 29–37 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.2% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.5% 99.5%  
90 3% 99.0% Majority
91 3% 96%  
92 12% 92%  
93 15% 80%  
94 4% 65% Median
95 9% 61%  
96 11% 52%  
97 13% 41%  
98 9% 28%  
99 3% 19%  
100 9% 16%  
101 5% 7%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 1.4% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.9% 99.2%  
84 0.6% 98%  
85 6% 98%  
86 25% 92%  
87 7% 67%  
88 2% 61% Median
89 12% 58%  
90 21% 47% Majority
91 2% 26%  
92 8% 23%  
93 4% 16%  
94 2% 12%  
95 9% 10%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.6%  
77 1.1% 99.5% Last Result
78 3% 98%  
79 1.3% 96%  
80 17% 94%  
81 26% 78%  
82 6% 51% Median
83 10% 46%  
84 8% 36%  
85 4% 28%  
86 8% 25%  
87 3% 16%  
88 10% 13%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.4% 0.8% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.4% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 5% 98%  
75 9% 93%  
76 3% 84%  
77 9% 81%  
78 13% 72%  
79 11% 59%  
80 9% 48% Median
81 4% 39%  
82 15% 35%  
83 12% 20%  
84 3% 8%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.5% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.4% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 5% 98%  
75 9% 93%  
76 3% 84%  
77 9% 81%  
78 13% 72%  
79 11% 59%  
80 9% 48% Median
81 4% 39%  
82 15% 35%  
83 12% 20%  
84 3% 8%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.5% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.4% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 5% 98%  
75 9% 93%  
76 3% 84%  
77 9% 81%  
78 13% 72%  
79 11% 59%  
80 9% 48% Median
81 4% 39%  
82 15% 35%  
83 12% 20%  
84 3% 8%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.5% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.4% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 5% 98%  
75 9% 93%  
76 3% 84%  
77 9% 81%  
78 13% 72%  
79 11% 59%  
80 9% 48% Median
81 4% 39%  
82 15% 35%  
83 12% 20%  
84 3% 8%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.5% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 2% 99.3%  
72 3% 97%  
73 2% 95%  
74 25% 93%  
75 23% 68%  
76 5% 45% Median
77 16% 40%  
78 1.4% 24%  
79 2% 23%  
80 7% 21%  
81 4% 13%  
82 3% 10%  
83 6% 6%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 1.4% 100%  
68 0.1% 98.5%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 7% 98%  
72 3% 91%  
73 5% 88%  
74 6% 83%  
75 17% 76%  
76 3% 59% Median
77 16% 56%  
78 28% 40%  
79 3% 12%  
80 5% 9%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 1.4% 100%  
68 0.1% 98.5%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 7% 98%  
72 3% 91%  
73 5% 88%  
74 6% 83%  
75 17% 76%  
76 3% 59% Median
77 16% 56%  
78 28% 40%  
79 3% 12%  
80 5% 9%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 0.6% 99.3%  
67 3% 98.7%  
68 17% 96%  
69 2% 79%  
70 5% 77%  
71 15% 72%  
72 2% 58% Median
73 4% 56%  
74 16% 52%  
75 9% 36%  
76 11% 28%  
77 5% 16%  
78 3% 11%  
79 8% 8%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.8% 99.8%  
55 0.2% 99.0% Last Result
56 2% 98.8%  
57 5% 97%  
58 4% 92%  
59 14% 87%  
60 7% 73%  
61 13% 66% Median
62 12% 53%  
63 13% 41%  
64 9% 29%  
65 3% 20%  
66 4% 16%  
67 8% 12%  
68 3% 4%  
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 1.4% 99.9%  
44 0.6% 98.6%  
45 3% 98%  
46 7% 95%  
47 6% 88%  
48 8% 82%  
49 27% 74% Median
50 7% 47%  
51 19% 40%  
52 12% 21%  
53 4% 9% Last Result
54 2% 5%  
55 0.9% 4%  
56 0.6% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.7% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.2%  
37 7% 97%  
38 8% 91%  
39 10% 83%  
40 13% 73% Last Result, Median
41 25% 60%  
42 11% 35%  
43 7% 23%  
44 12% 17%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0.9% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.0%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.5% 99.9%  
29 4% 98%  
30 13% 95%  
31 7% 82%  
32 11% 75%  
33 14% 64% Median
34 7% 49% Last Result
35 26% 42%  
36 11% 16%  
37 3% 5%  
38 0.5% 2%  
39 0.5% 1.1%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations