Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–24 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.1% 26.3–29.9% 25.8–30.4% 25.4–30.9% 24.6–31.8%
Venstre 19.5% 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.4–17.1% 13.1–17.5% 12.5–18.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–8.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 46–52 46–52 46–54 44–59
Venstre 34 34 32–36 31–37 31–37 30–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 26 25–30 24–30 24–30 24–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–18 14–18 14–18 13–20
Radikale Venstre 8 12 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 7–11 7–11 7–11 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–7 5–7 4–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.5% 100%  
45 0.9% 99.5%  
46 14% 98.6%  
47 3% 85% Last Result
48 2% 81%  
49 5% 79%  
50 56% 74% Median
51 2% 18%  
52 12% 15%  
53 0.6% 4%  
54 1.0% 3%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.5%  
57 0.2% 1.1%  
58 0% 1.0%  
59 0.9% 0.9%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.7%  
31 8% 98.9%  
32 37% 91%  
33 2% 54%  
34 15% 53% Last Result, Median
35 18% 38%  
36 12% 20%  
37 7% 8%  
38 0.5% 1.3%  
39 0.4% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.8%  
24 9% 99.5%  
25 6% 91%  
26 52% 85% Median
27 9% 33%  
28 1.4% 24%  
29 4% 23%  
30 17% 19%  
31 0.8% 1.5%  
32 0.4% 0.7%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 1.3% 99.6%  
14 6% 98% Last Result
15 12% 92%  
16 18% 80%  
17 17% 62% Median
18 45% 46%  
19 0.3% 1.2%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100% Last Result
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.5%  
11 9% 96%  
12 53% 86% Median
13 4% 33%  
14 19% 29%  
15 10% 10%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100% Last Result
8 0.7% 99.8%  
9 19% 99.1%  
10 13% 81%  
11 28% 68% Median
12 4% 39%  
13 35% 36%  
14 0.3% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.4% 99.9% Last Result
7 24% 98%  
8 9% 74%  
9 45% 65% Median
10 7% 21%  
11 13% 14%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 25% 99.8%  
7 8% 75%  
8 45% 67% Median
9 20% 21%  
10 0.9% 1.2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 7% 97%  
6 28% 90%  
7 58% 62% Median
8 2% 5%  
9 3% 3% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 34%  
2 0% 34%  
3 2% 34%  
4 25% 32%  
5 6% 7%  
6 0.3% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 97 99.1% 91–100 91–100 91–100 88–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 91 74% 85–93 85–93 85–93 82–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.5% 79–88 79–88 79–88 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–84 75–84 75–84 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 75–84 75–84 75–84 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–84 75–84 75–84 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 78 0% 75–84 75–84 75–84 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 74–80 73–80 72–82 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 77 0% 74–80 73–80 72–82 71–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 78 0% 73–81 73–81 73–81 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 75 0% 69–77 68–77 68–78 67–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 62 0% 58–67 58–67 57–67 56–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 49 0% 47–54 47–54 46–54 44–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 41–45 39–45 38–45 38–48
Venstre 34 34 0% 32–36 31–37 31–37 30–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.3% 100%  
88 0.5% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.3%  
90 2% 99.1% Majority
91 13% 98%  
92 5% 84%  
93 0.8% 79%  
94 1.0% 78%  
95 0.5% 77%  
96 5% 76%  
97 25% 72% Median
98 11% 46%  
99 0.6% 35%  
100 34% 35%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 1.0% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 98.8%  
84 0.2% 98.6%  
85 16% 98%  
86 3% 83%  
87 2% 80%  
88 4% 78%  
89 0.6% 74%  
90 22% 74% Median, Majority
91 5% 52%  
92 10% 46%  
93 35% 37%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.4% 99.6%  
77 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
78 1.3% 99.0%  
79 13% 98%  
80 3% 84%  
81 0.8% 81%  
82 6% 81%  
83 25% 75%  
84 4% 49%  
85 3% 45% Median
86 6% 42%  
87 0.9% 36%  
88 33% 35%  
89 1.0% 1.5%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 34% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 65%  
77 11% 65% Median
78 25% 54%  
79 5% 28%  
80 0.5% 24%  
81 1.0% 23%  
82 0.8% 22%  
83 5% 21%  
84 13% 16%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.9%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 34% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 65%  
77 11% 65% Median
78 25% 54%  
79 5% 28%  
80 0.5% 24%  
81 1.0% 23%  
82 0.8% 22%  
83 5% 21%  
84 13% 16%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.9%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 34% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 65%  
77 11% 65% Median
78 25% 54%  
79 5% 28%  
80 0.5% 24%  
81 1.0% 23%  
82 0.8% 22%  
83 5% 21%  
84 13% 16%  
85 1.5% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.8%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 34% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 65%  
77 11% 65% Median
78 25% 54%  
79 5% 28%  
80 0.5% 24%  
81 1.0% 23%  
82 0.8% 22%  
83 5% 21%  
84 13% 16%  
85 1.5% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.8%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 2% 99.5%  
73 3% 97%  
74 6% 95%  
75 34% 88%  
76 3% 54%  
77 9% 51% Median
78 18% 42%  
79 5% 23%  
80 14% 18%  
81 0.8% 4%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 1.5% 2%  
84 0.5% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 2% 99.5%  
73 3% 97%  
74 6% 95%  
75 34% 88%  
76 3% 54%  
77 9% 51% Median
78 18% 42%  
79 5% 23%  
80 14% 18%  
81 0.8% 4%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 1.5% 2%  
84 0.5% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 99.4%  
72 0.4% 98.5%  
73 15% 98%  
74 3% 83%  
75 2% 80%  
76 18% 78%  
77 10% 60%  
78 5% 50% Median
79 8% 45%  
80 2% 37%  
81 33% 35%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 1.1% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.4% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 2% 99.6%  
68 3% 98%  
69 13% 95%  
70 0.8% 82%  
71 3% 81%  
72 7% 78%  
73 17% 71% Median
74 4% 54%  
75 36% 50%  
76 2% 14%  
77 8% 12%  
78 3% 4%  
79 0.1% 1.3%  
80 1.0% 1.2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100% Last Result
56 0.5% 99.6%  
57 3% 99.1%  
58 14% 96%  
59 1.1% 82%  
60 0.9% 81%  
61 7% 80%  
62 38% 73% Median
63 4% 35%  
64 15% 31%  
65 3% 16%  
66 3% 13%  
67 9% 10%  
68 0.1% 1.2%  
69 0% 1.1%  
70 0.9% 1.0%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 2% 99.4%  
46 2% 98%  
47 7% 96%  
48 15% 88%  
49 35% 73%  
50 4% 38%  
51 4% 35% Median
52 4% 31%  
53 12% 27% Last Result
54 14% 15%  
55 0.5% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 4% 99.9%  
39 3% 96%  
40 1.0% 93% Last Result
41 39% 92%  
42 16% 53%  
43 2% 37% Median
44 7% 35%  
45 26% 28%  
46 0.5% 2%  
47 0.8% 1.3%  
48 0.2% 0.5%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.7%  
31 8% 98.9%  
32 37% 91%  
33 2% 54%  
34 15% 53% Last Result, Median
35 18% 38%  
36 12% 20%  
37 7% 8%  
38 0.5% 1.3%  
39 0.4% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations