Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 18–25 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.5% 28.0–31.0% 27.6–31.5% 27.2–31.9% 26.5–32.6%
Venstre 19.5% 17.0% 15.8–18.3% 15.4–18.6% 15.2–18.9% 14.6–19.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.1% 14.0–16.4% 13.7–16.7% 13.4–17.0% 12.9–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.4% 8.5–10.4% 8.2–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.6–11.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 54 51–56 49–56 47–56 47–59
Venstre 34 29 27–32 27–33 27–34 26–35
Dansk Folkeparti 37 26 24–28 22–29 22–29 22–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 14–19 14–19 14–19 14–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 11–13 10–14 10–15 10–15
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–13 9–13 8–13 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–10 8–10 7–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 6 6–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
Alternativet 9 6 5–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 5–6 4–6 4–8 4–8
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 3% 99.8% Last Result
48 0.6% 97%  
49 3% 97%  
50 3% 94%  
51 2% 91%  
52 22% 89%  
53 11% 67%  
54 20% 56% Median
55 24% 36%  
56 10% 12%  
57 0.3% 2%  
58 0.2% 2%  
59 1.4% 1.4%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 1.3% 99.7%  
27 27% 98%  
28 11% 71%  
29 18% 60% Median
30 5% 43%  
31 17% 38%  
32 16% 21%  
33 1.0% 5%  
34 2% 4% Last Result
35 2% 2%  
36 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 5% 100%  
23 4% 95%  
24 19% 91%  
25 18% 71%  
26 7% 54% Median
27 13% 47%  
28 25% 33%  
29 6% 8%  
30 0.8% 2%  
31 1.0% 1.2%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 14% 99.7% Last Result
15 14% 86%  
16 11% 72%  
17 23% 61% Median
18 19% 37%  
19 18% 19%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 100%  
10 5% 99.6%  
11 22% 95%  
12 30% 73% Median
13 33% 43%  
14 5% 9%  
15 5% 5%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8% Last Result
9 34% 96%  
10 33% 62% Median
11 8% 29%  
12 6% 21%  
13 15% 15%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100% Last Result
7 3% 99.9%  
8 29% 97%  
9 23% 68% Median
10 40% 45%  
11 2% 5%  
12 1.1% 3%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 9% 100%  
6 41% 91% Median
7 45% 50%  
8 5% 5%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 7% 100%  
5 35% 93%  
6 26% 58% Median
7 30% 33%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 6% 99.9%  
5 57% 94% Median
6 33% 37%  
7 0.9% 4%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 98 100% 95–103 93–103 92–103 91–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 93 89% 89–97 88–97 87–97 86–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 89 40% 85–93 83–93 82–93 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 83 0.1% 78–87 78–87 77–87 76–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 72–80 72–82 72–83 72–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0% 72–80 72–82 72–83 72–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 72–80 72–82 72–83 72–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 77 0% 72–80 72–82 72–83 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 77 0% 73–78 72–78 70–79 68–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 66–74 66–76 66–77 66–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 72 0% 66–74 66–76 66–77 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 61–65 59–66 58–66 56–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 44 0% 42–48 42–49 42–51 41–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 38 0% 35–41 35–42 35–43 35–46
Venstre 34 29 0% 27–32 27–33 27–34 26–35

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 2% 99.9%  
92 2% 98%  
93 2% 96%  
94 2% 94%  
95 7% 93%  
96 1.5% 86%  
97 0.5% 84%  
98 36% 84%  
99 25% 48% Median
100 3% 23%  
101 6% 20%  
102 0.9% 15%  
103 13% 14%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.4% 99.9%  
86 2% 99.5%  
87 2% 98%  
88 1.4% 95%  
89 4% 94%  
90 1.2% 89% Majority
91 26% 88%  
92 10% 62%  
93 16% 53% Median
94 15% 36%  
95 6% 22%  
96 2% 16%  
97 14% 14%  
98 0% 0.4%  
99 0.4% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.4% 99.9%  
82 4% 99.4%  
83 0.5% 95%  
84 4% 95%  
85 17% 90%  
86 0.6% 73%  
87 4% 72%  
88 18% 69%  
89 11% 51% Median
90 23% 40% Majority
91 2% 17%  
92 1.3% 15%  
93 13% 14%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.7% 99.5%  
77 3% 98.8%  
78 14% 95%  
79 2% 81%  
80 7% 79%  
81 6% 73%  
82 8% 67%  
83 28% 59% Median
84 0.9% 31%  
85 14% 30%  
86 1.1% 16%  
87 14% 15%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 13% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 86%  
74 6% 85%  
75 3% 80% Median
76 25% 77%  
77 36% 52%  
78 0.5% 16%  
79 1.5% 16%  
80 7% 14%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 13% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 86%  
74 6% 85%  
75 3% 80% Median
76 25% 77%  
77 36% 52%  
78 0.5% 16%  
79 1.5% 16%  
80 7% 14%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 13% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 86%  
74 6% 85%  
75 3% 80% Median
76 25% 77%  
77 36% 52%  
78 0.5% 16%  
79 1.5% 16%  
80 7% 14%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 13% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 86%  
74 6% 85%  
75 3% 80% Median
76 25% 77%  
77 36% 52%  
78 0.5% 16%  
79 1.5% 16%  
80 7% 14%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.5% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 4% 99.1%  
71 0.3% 95%  
72 3% 95%  
73 4% 92%  
74 7% 87%  
75 21% 81%  
76 6% 60% Median
77 32% 55%  
78 20% 23%  
79 1.1% 3%  
80 0.1% 1.5%  
81 1.0% 1.4%  
82 0.1% 0.4%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 14% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 86%  
68 0.5% 86%  
69 7% 85%  
70 11% 78% Median
71 14% 67%  
72 35% 52%  
73 3% 17%  
74 4% 14%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 6%  
77 3% 5%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 14% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 86%  
68 0.5% 86%  
69 7% 85%  
70 11% 78% Median
71 14% 67%  
72 35% 52%  
73 3% 17%  
74 4% 14%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 6%  
77 3% 5%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.4% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.5%  
58 3% 99.2%  
59 4% 97%  
60 2% 93%  
61 8% 91%  
62 8% 83%  
63 4% 75%  
64 27% 72% Median
65 35% 44%  
66 7% 9%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.9% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0.3% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.0% 99.9%  
42 14% 98.9%  
43 24% 85%  
44 15% 62% Median
45 3% 47%  
46 6% 44%  
47 19% 38%  
48 13% 19%  
49 1.4% 5%  
50 0.7% 4%  
51 2% 3%  
52 1.3% 1.3%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 15% 99.6%  
36 2% 85%  
37 28% 83%  
38 10% 55% Median
39 3% 45%  
40 6% 42% Last Result
41 31% 36%  
42 1.2% 6%  
43 3% 4%  
44 0.3% 2%  
45 0.2% 1.4%  
46 1.2% 1.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 1.3% 99.7%  
27 27% 98%  
28 11% 71%  
29 18% 60% Median
30 5% 43%  
31 17% 38%  
32 16% 21%  
33 1.0% 5%  
34 2% 4% Last Result
35 2% 2%  
36 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations