Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25–31 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.7% 26.9–30.5% 26.5–31.0% 26.0–31.5% 25.2–32.4%
Venstre 19.5% 18.7% 17.2–20.3% 16.8–20.7% 16.4–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.4% 14.1–16.9% 13.7–17.4% 13.4–17.7% 12.8–18.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 47–54 47–56 47–57 44–57
Venstre 34 33 30–37 29–37 29–37 28–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 25–30 24–31 24–31 23–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–14 11–15 11–16 9–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–10 6–10 5–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 13 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
Alternativet 9 8 6–9 5–9 5–10 5–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.5% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 0.6% 98.9%  
47 15% 98% Last Result
48 9% 84%  
49 19% 75%  
50 3% 56%  
51 7% 54% Median
52 15% 47%  
53 5% 32%  
54 20% 27%  
55 1.4% 7%  
56 1.5% 5%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 7% 99.4%  
30 5% 92%  
31 5% 88%  
32 20% 83%  
33 38% 63% Median
34 2% 25% Last Result
35 2% 23%  
36 6% 21%  
37 14% 15%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.6% 1.0%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 1.4% 99.9%  
24 4% 98.5%  
25 15% 94%  
26 4% 80%  
27 37% 76% Median
28 17% 39%  
29 7% 22%  
30 6% 15%  
31 7% 9%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.7%  
13 9% 96%  
14 29% 87% Last Result
15 41% 58% Median
16 5% 16%  
17 7% 12%  
18 4% 5%  
19 1.0% 1.2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.6% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.4%  
11 4% 98%  
12 14% 95%  
13 33% 81% Median
14 41% 47%  
15 3% 7%  
16 2% 4%  
17 1.4% 1.5%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
8 4% 99.5%  
9 28% 95%  
10 29% 68% Median
11 19% 39%  
12 17% 19%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 26% 97% Last Result
7 20% 70%  
8 24% 50% Median
9 6% 27%  
10 19% 20%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.4% 99.9%  
6 19% 98.5%  
7 9% 79%  
8 22% 71% Median
9 44% 48%  
10 5% 5%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 5% 99.9%  
6 12% 95%  
7 26% 83%  
8 36% 57% Median
9 18% 21% Last Result
10 2% 4%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 33% 47%  
5 14% 14%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.5% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 97 99.8% 93–100 92–102 92–104 90–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 89 36% 86–93 86–95 84–96 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 4% 80–87 80–89 79–90 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 75–82 73–83 71–83 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 74–82 73–82 71–83 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–82 73–83 71–83 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 78 0% 74–82 73–82 71–83 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 73–80 73–81 72–82 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 71–77 71–79 70–81 67–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 73–78 71–79 71–80 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 76 0% 73–78 71–79 71–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 64 0% 61–68 61–69 60–71 57–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 48 0% 45–53 45–53 44–53 42–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 38–45 36–45 36–45 36–47
Venstre 34 33 0% 30–37 29–37 29–37 28–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 1.2% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 98.6%  
92 3% 98%  
93 18% 95%  
94 6% 77%  
95 6% 71%  
96 3% 65%  
97 26% 62% Median
98 7% 36%  
99 1.5% 28%  
100 17% 27%  
101 5% 10%  
102 1.4% 5%  
103 0.2% 4%  
104 3% 4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 1.4% 99.7%  
84 0.9% 98%  
85 0.6% 97%  
86 25% 97%  
87 4% 72%  
88 18% 68%  
89 15% 51% Median
90 2% 36% Majority
91 3% 34%  
92 16% 31%  
93 5% 14%  
94 2% 9%  
95 4% 7%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 99.8% Last Result
78 1.0% 98.7%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 21% 97%  
81 8% 75%  
82 1.2% 67%  
83 16% 66%  
84 9% 50% Median
85 13% 41%  
86 18% 28%  
87 3% 10%  
88 2% 7%  
89 1.3% 5%  
90 4% 4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 96%  
73 1.4% 96%  
74 5% 95%  
75 17% 90%  
76 1.5% 73% Median
77 7% 72%  
78 26% 64%  
79 3% 38%  
80 6% 35%  
81 6% 29%  
82 18% 23%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 1.2% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 96%  
73 1.4% 96%  
74 5% 95%  
75 17% 90%  
76 1.5% 73% Median
77 8% 71%  
78 26% 64%  
79 3% 38%  
80 6% 35%  
81 6% 29%  
82 18% 23%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 1.2% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 96%  
73 1.4% 96%  
74 5% 95%  
75 17% 90%  
76 1.5% 73% Median
77 7% 72%  
78 26% 64%  
79 3% 38%  
80 6% 35%  
81 6% 29%  
82 18% 23%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 1.2% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 96%  
73 1.4% 96%  
74 5% 95%  
75 17% 90%  
76 1.5% 73% Median
77 8% 71%  
78 26% 64%  
79 3% 38%  
80 6% 35%  
81 6% 29%  
82 18% 23%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 1.2% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 1.4% 99.7%  
71 0.6% 98%  
72 2% 98%  
73 25% 96%  
74 18% 71%  
75 1.1% 53%  
76 7% 52% Median
77 12% 45%  
78 18% 33%  
79 3% 15%  
80 5% 12%  
81 3% 7%  
82 4% 4%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.5% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.4%  
69 1.2% 98.9%  
70 2% 98%  
71 9% 95%  
72 18% 87%  
73 15% 69%  
74 8% 54% Median
75 8% 46%  
76 8% 38%  
77 21% 30%  
78 3% 9%  
79 2% 6%  
80 0.5% 5%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 1.4% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 4% 98%  
72 0.8% 94%  
73 8% 93%  
74 7% 85%  
75 18% 79%  
76 11% 61% Median
77 7% 50%  
78 35% 43%  
79 3% 7%  
80 1.4% 4%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 1.4% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 4% 98%  
72 0.8% 94%  
73 8% 93%  
74 7% 85%  
75 18% 79%  
76 11% 60% Median
77 7% 50%  
78 35% 42%  
79 3% 7%  
80 1.4% 4%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.6% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.4%  
59 1.2% 98.8%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 19% 97%  
62 22% 77%  
63 5% 56%  
64 9% 51% Median
65 9% 42%  
66 5% 33%  
67 5% 28%  
68 17% 23%  
69 0.5% 5%  
70 0.5% 5%  
71 3% 4%  
72 0.9% 1.0%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 1.4% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 98.5%  
44 1.5% 98%  
45 13% 97%  
46 5% 84%  
47 6% 78%  
48 25% 72%  
49 9% 47% Median
50 5% 38%  
51 19% 34%  
52 0.6% 15%  
53 13% 14% Last Result
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.6% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.7%  
36 8% 99.6%  
37 0.5% 92%  
38 9% 91%  
39 22% 82%  
40 8% 60% Last Result
41 9% 52% Median
42 22% 43%  
43 4% 21%  
44 2% 17%  
45 14% 15%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.9% 1.1%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 7% 99.4%  
30 5% 92%  
31 5% 88%  
32 20% 83%  
33 38% 63% Median
34 2% 25% Last Result
35 2% 23%  
36 6% 21%  
37 14% 15%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.6% 1.0%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations