Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 1 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 30.4% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.2–32.8% | 27.7–33.2% | 26.9–34.1% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.0–17.7% | 13.7–18.1% | 13.1–18.8% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 14.4% | 13.1–15.8% | 12.7–16.2% | 12.4–16.6% | 11.8–17.3% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.0–11.5% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.2–7.9% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 54 | 53–57 | 52–59 | 50–59 | 48–60 |
| Venstre | 34 | 26 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–33 | 23–34 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 27 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 21–31 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 12–20 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 5 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 8% | 93% | |
| 54 | 53% | 85% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 32% | |
| 56 | 11% | 26% | |
| 57 | 5% | 14% | |
| 58 | 3% | 9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 50% | 94% | Median |
| 27 | 7% | 44% | |
| 28 | 4% | 37% | |
| 29 | 14% | 33% | |
| 30 | 6% | 19% | |
| 31 | 2% | 13% | |
| 32 | 2% | 11% | |
| 33 | 7% | 8% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98% | |
| 24 | 9% | 94% | |
| 25 | 6% | 85% | |
| 26 | 4% | 79% | |
| 27 | 57% | 75% | Median |
| 28 | 12% | 17% | |
| 29 | 2% | 5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 14 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 15 | 54% | 90% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 37% | |
| 17 | 13% | 21% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 21% | 96% | |
| 12 | 7% | 75% | |
| 13 | 4% | 68% | |
| 14 | 54% | 64% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 10% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 13% | 90% | |
| 11 | 16% | 77% | |
| 12 | 51% | 60% | Median |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 50% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 18% | 48% | |
| 9 | 21% | 30% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 20% | 93% | |
| 7 | 12% | 73% | |
| 8 | 53% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 24% | 93% | |
| 6 | 17% | 68% | |
| 7 | 48% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 16% | 92% | |
| 5 | 59% | 75% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 16% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 2% | 3% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet | 85 | 100 | 100% | 95–103 | 95–104 | 94–106 | 92–106 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 95 | 96% | 92–99 | 90–100 | 89–100 | 87–101 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 88 | 18% | 84–91 | 84–93 | 84–94 | 81–94 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 4% | 81–86 | 79–87 | 79–90 | 76–90 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 80 | 0% | 76–82 | 75–83 | 74–84 | 72–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 75 | 0% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 69–83 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 75 | 0% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 69–83 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 75 | 0% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 69–80 | 69–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 75 | 0% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 69–80 | 69–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 68 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–75 | 63–76 | 63–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 68 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–75 | 63–75 | 63–77 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 59–73 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 42 | 0% | 41–47 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 38–49 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 34 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–42 | 32–42 | 32–42 |
| Venstre | 34 | 26 | 0% | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–33 | 23–34 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 8% | 97% | |
| 96 | 4% | 89% | |
| 97 | 8% | 85% | |
| 98 | 14% | 77% | |
| 99 | 2% | 64% | |
| 100 | 43% | 61% | Median |
| 101 | 2% | 19% | |
| 102 | 6% | 17% | |
| 103 | 4% | 11% | |
| 104 | 3% | 7% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 106 | 3% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 96% | Majority |
| 91 | 4% | 95% | |
| 92 | 2% | 91% | |
| 93 | 15% | 89% | |
| 94 | 5% | 73% | |
| 95 | 54% | 68% | Median |
| 96 | 2% | 15% | |
| 97 | 2% | 13% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 99 | 5% | 10% | |
| 100 | 5% | 5% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 9% | 98% | |
| 85 | 4% | 89% | |
| 86 | 5% | 84% | |
| 87 | 8% | 79% | |
| 88 | 49% | 71% | Median |
| 89 | 5% | 22% | |
| 90 | 2% | 18% | Majority |
| 91 | 8% | 16% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 4% | 8% | |
| 94 | 4% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 91% | |
| 82 | 3% | 86% | |
| 83 | 53% | 82% | Median |
| 84 | 12% | 29% | |
| 85 | 5% | 17% | |
| 86 | 3% | 12% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 7% | 93% | |
| 77 | 10% | 85% | |
| 78 | 8% | 75% | |
| 79 | 7% | 67% | |
| 80 | 48% | 60% | Median |
| 81 | 2% | 13% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 83 | 7% | 10% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 83% | |
| 75 | 43% | 81% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 39% | |
| 77 | 14% | 36% | |
| 78 | 8% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 8% | 11% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 83% | |
| 75 | 43% | 81% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 38% | |
| 77 | 14% | 36% | |
| 78 | 8% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 8% | 11% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 88% | |
| 74 | 3% | 82% | |
| 75 | 43% | 79% | Median |
| 76 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 77 | 14% | 35% | |
| 78 | 7% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 13% | |
| 80 | 8% | 11% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 88% | |
| 74 | 3% | 82% | |
| 75 | 43% | 79% | Median |
| 76 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 77 | 14% | 34% | |
| 78 | 7% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 13% | |
| 80 | 8% | 10% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 6% | 95% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 68 | 44% | 87% | Median |
| 69 | 6% | 44% | |
| 70 | 5% | 38% | |
| 71 | 2% | 32% | |
| 72 | 15% | 31% | |
| 73 | 3% | 16% | |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 8% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 68 | 44% | 86% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 42% | |
| 70 | 5% | 35% | |
| 71 | 2% | 30% | |
| 72 | 14% | 29% | |
| 73 | 3% | 14% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 75 | 8% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 95% | |
| 64 | 8% | 87% | |
| 65 | 4% | 79% | |
| 66 | 52% | 75% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 24% | |
| 68 | 5% | 15% | |
| 69 | 4% | 11% | |
| 70 | 4% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 2% | 94% | |
| 41 | 42% | 93% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 51% | |
| 43 | 7% | 43% | |
| 44 | 10% | 36% | |
| 45 | 11% | 26% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 47 | 4% | 14% | |
| 48 | 9% | 10% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 45% | 96% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 51% | |
| 35 | 8% | 46% | |
| 36 | 4% | 38% | |
| 37 | 7% | 34% | |
| 38 | 4% | 27% | |
| 39 | 12% | 24% | |
| 40 | 3% | 11% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 42 | 8% | 8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 50% | 94% | Median |
| 27 | 7% | 44% | |
| 28 | 4% | 37% | |
| 29 | 14% | 33% | |
| 30 | 6% | 19% | |
| 31 | 2% | 13% | |
| 32 | 2% | 11% | |
| 33 | 7% | 8% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Greens Analyseinstitut
- Commissioner(s): Børsen
- Fieldwork period: 1 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1078
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.23%