Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 1–7 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.9% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.2–30.7% 24.4–31.6%
Venstre 19.5% 18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.0–16.7% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 48–50 48–54 47–54 44–54
Venstre 34 32 31–34 31–34 31–34 28–36
Dansk Folkeparti 37 26 25–27 25–28 24–29 23–29
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–16 14–17 14–18 13–18
Radikale Venstre 8 13 12–13 12–14 11–15 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 11–12 10–13 9–13 9–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–9 7–9 7–10 6–10
Liberal Alliance 13 7 7 7–8 6–9 6–10
Alternativet 9 5 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 6 5–6 4–7 4–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.6% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 0.3% 99.1%  
47 2% 98.8% Last Result
48 31% 97%  
49 4% 66%  
50 53% 62% Median
51 3% 9%  
52 0.4% 7%  
53 0.6% 6%  
54 5% 6%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.4% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 98.5%  
30 0.4% 98%  
31 9% 98%  
32 53% 88% Median
33 2% 36%  
34 31% 33% Last Result
35 0.5% 2%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.1% 0.4%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 1.2% 99.9%  
24 3% 98.7%  
25 8% 96%  
26 52% 87% Median
27 29% 35%  
28 3% 6%  
29 3% 3%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.7%  
14 28% 98% Last Result
15 5% 71%  
16 60% 66% Median
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.2%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 2% 98%  
12 9% 96%  
13 82% 87% Median
14 3% 6%  
15 0.4% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 3% 97%  
11 59% 94% Median
12 29% 35%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.3% 99.9% Last Result
7 6% 98.6%  
8 34% 92%  
9 54% 58% Median
10 3% 4%  
11 0.2% 0.4%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 4% 99.9%  
7 88% 96% Median
8 5% 8%  
9 1.2% 3%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 58% 99.6% Median
6 6% 42%  
7 33% 36%  
8 1.4% 2%  
9 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 8% 99.1%  
5 31% 91%  
6 54% 60% Median
7 6% 7%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 95 99.9% 94–98 94–98 91–99 91–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 90 65% 87–92 87–93 84–93 84–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 82 0% 81–85 81–86 80–86 77–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 80 0% 77–81 77–81 76–84 75–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 80 0% 77–81 77–81 76–84 75–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0% 77–81 77–81 76–84 75–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 80 0% 77–81 77–81 76–84 75–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 77 0% 74–78 74–81 73–81 70–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 74 0% 73–76 70–76 70–78 70–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 74 0% 73–76 70–76 70–78 70–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 73–75 71–77 69–77 69–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 63 0% 61–64 60–66 59–66 57–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 48 0% 47–49 45–51 45–51 44–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 39–42 38–43 38–44 36–46
Venstre 34 32 0% 31–34 31–34 31–34 28–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.9% Majority
91 3% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 97%  
93 1.0% 97%  
94 29% 96%  
95 51% 67% Median
96 2% 15%  
97 2% 14%  
98 8% 11%  
99 1.5% 3%  
100 1.0% 1.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 3% 99.9%  
85 0.7% 97%  
86 0.4% 96%  
87 28% 96%  
88 3% 68%  
89 1.4% 66%  
90 52% 65% Median, Majority
91 2% 12%  
92 3% 10%  
93 6% 7%  
94 0.2% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.3% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
78 0.2% 99.1%  
79 0.1% 98.8%  
80 2% 98.7%  
81 29% 97%  
82 54% 68% Median
83 2% 14%  
84 2% 12%  
85 2% 10%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.7%  
76 1.5% 98.7%  
77 8% 97%  
78 2% 89%  
79 2% 86%  
80 51% 85% Median
81 29% 33%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 0.3% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.7%  
76 2% 98.7%  
77 8% 97%  
78 2% 89%  
79 2% 86%  
80 51% 85% Median
81 29% 33%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 0.3% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.7%  
76 1.5% 98.7%  
77 8% 97%  
78 2% 89%  
79 2% 86%  
80 51% 85% Median
81 29% 33%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 0.3% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.7%  
76 2% 98.7%  
77 8% 97%  
78 2% 89%  
79 2% 86%  
80 51% 85% Median
81 29% 33%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 0.3% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.5%  
72 0.5% 99.3%  
73 2% 98.8%  
74 28% 97%  
75 1.5% 69%  
76 3% 67%  
77 53% 64% Median
78 2% 11%  
79 3% 9%  
80 0.8% 6%  
81 5% 5%  
82 0% 0.4%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 5% 99.7%  
71 2% 95%  
72 0.6% 92%  
73 5% 92%  
74 52% 87% Median
75 2% 35%  
76 28% 32%  
77 2% 5%  
78 0.7% 3%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 5% 99.7%  
71 2% 95%  
72 0.6% 92%  
73 5% 92%  
74 52% 87% Median
75 2% 35%  
76 28% 32%  
77 2% 5%  
78 0.7% 3%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 3% 99.8%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 0.9% 94%  
73 28% 94%  
74 53% 65% Median
75 2% 12%  
76 1.2% 9%  
77 8% 8%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0.4% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.6%  
58 0.4% 99.5%  
59 3% 99.0%  
60 2% 96%  
61 28% 94%  
62 2% 66%  
63 53% 64% Median
64 3% 10%  
65 2% 8%  
66 5% 6%  
67 0.5% 0.7%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.8%  
45 7% 98%  
46 0.3% 91%  
47 2% 91%  
48 53% 88% Median
49 28% 35%  
50 2% 7%  
51 3% 5%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 1.3% 99.6%  
37 0.8% 98%  
38 5% 98%  
39 3% 92%  
40 2% 89% Last Result
41 52% 87% Median
42 30% 35%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.4% 3%  
45 1.1% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.7%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.4% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 98.5%  
30 0.4% 98%  
31 9% 98%  
32 53% 88% Median
33 2% 36%  
34 31% 33% Last Result
35 0.5% 2%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.1% 0.4%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations