Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 3–9 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.0% 27.6–30.5% 27.2–31.0% 26.8–31.4% 26.1–32.1%
Venstre 19.5% 18.5% 17.3–19.8% 16.9–20.2% 16.6–20.5% 16.1–21.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 13.4% 12.4–14.6% 12.1–15.0% 11.8–15.2% 11.3–15.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.4–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.8–11.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.4–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 47–53 47–54 47–54 45–56
Venstre 34 33 32–35 30–35 30–36 28–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 25 22–27 22–27 21–27 21–28
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–21 15–21 15–21 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–16 11–16 11–16 11–18
Radikale Venstre 8 10 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–9 6–10 6–10
Liberal Alliance 13 7 7–8 6–9 6–9 6–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 0–7
Alternativet 9 5 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 1.0% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 98.9%  
47 13% 98.6% Last Result
48 7% 85%  
49 26% 78%  
50 13% 52% Median
51 20% 40%  
52 2% 19%  
53 8% 17%  
54 7% 9%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.5%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 1.2% 100%  
29 0.5% 98.8%  
30 4% 98%  
31 1.5% 95%  
32 19% 93%  
33 38% 74% Median
34 7% 36% Last Result
35 26% 29%  
36 0.8% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.4%  
39 0.3% 0.3%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.8%  
22 15% 96%  
23 9% 81%  
24 9% 72%  
25 30% 63% Median
26 15% 33%  
27 18% 18%  
28 0.5% 0.6%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
15 19% 98.9%  
16 21% 80%  
17 25% 59% Median
18 5% 34%  
19 14% 29%  
20 2% 15%  
21 14% 14%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 6% 99.9%  
12 3% 94%  
13 26% 91%  
14 5% 65%  
15 21% 60% Median
16 37% 38%  
17 0.5% 1.3%  
18 0.8% 0.8%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.6%  
10 50% 98% Median
11 34% 48%  
12 2% 13%  
13 10% 11%  
14 1.3% 1.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 15% 99.9% Last Result
7 40% 85% Median
8 5% 45%  
9 36% 40%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 9% 99.5%  
7 43% 91% Median
8 42% 48%  
9 5% 6%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0% 98.7%  
4 46% 98.7%  
5 31% 52% Median
6 21% 22%  
7 0.9% 1.0%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 34% 97%  
5 49% 63% Median
6 14% 14%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 97 100% 95–100 93–100 93–100 93–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 92 81% 89–96 88–96 88–97 88–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 86 17% 84–90 80–90 80–90 80–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 82 0.2% 79–86 75–86 75–86 75–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–80 75–82 75–82 73–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 75–80 75–82 75–82 73–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–80 75–82 75–82 73–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 78 0% 75–80 75–82 75–82 73–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 75 0% 70–78 70–78 70–80 70–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 73 0% 71–76 70–77 69–77 69–77
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 73 0% 71–76 70–77 69–77 69–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 57–64 57–65 57–65 57–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 48 0% 47–51 47–52 47–52 44–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 39–44 39–44 39–44 36–45
Venstre 34 33 0% 32–35 30–35 30–36 28–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100% Majority
91 0% 100%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 6% 99.7%  
94 2% 94%  
95 15% 92%  
96 1.5% 77%  
97 41% 75% Median
98 13% 34%  
99 2% 22%  
100 17% 20%  
101 0.4% 2%  
102 2% 2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 6% 100%  
89 13% 94%  
90 3% 81% Majority
91 1.2% 78%  
92 31% 77% Median
93 17% 46%  
94 6% 29%  
95 5% 23%  
96 14% 18%  
97 2% 4%  
98 1.1% 2%  
99 0% 1.0%  
100 0.7% 1.0%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 5% 99.9%  
81 1.4% 95%  
82 0.5% 93%  
83 1.1% 93%  
84 2% 92%  
85 16% 89%  
86 28% 74%  
87 18% 45% Median
88 9% 27%  
89 1.5% 19%  
90 16% 17% Majority
91 0.2% 1.4%  
92 1.0% 1.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 5% 100%  
76 0% 95%  
77 1.4% 95%  
78 0.5% 93%  
79 15% 93%  
80 1.4% 78%  
81 19% 76%  
82 22% 57% Median
83 14% 35%  
84 2% 21%  
85 3% 20%  
86 14% 16%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.6% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 17% 98%  
76 2% 80%  
77 13% 78% Median
78 41% 66%  
79 1.5% 25%  
80 15% 23%  
81 2% 8%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 17% 98%  
76 2% 80%  
77 13% 78% Median
78 41% 66%  
79 1.5% 25%  
80 15% 23%  
81 2% 8%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 17% 98%  
76 2% 80%  
77 13% 78% Median
78 41% 66%  
79 2% 25%  
80 15% 23%  
81 2% 8%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 17% 98%  
76 2% 80%  
77 13% 78% Median
78 41% 66%  
79 2% 25%  
80 15% 23%  
81 2% 8%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 100%  
70 13% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 87%  
72 6% 86%  
73 2% 80%  
74 0.8% 78%  
75 27% 77% Median
76 8% 50%  
77 30% 42%  
78 7% 12%  
79 1.0% 5%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.9% 1.2%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 4% 99.8%  
70 2% 96%  
71 20% 94%  
72 18% 74% Median
73 16% 57%  
74 19% 41%  
75 2% 23%  
76 15% 21%  
77 6% 6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 4% 99.8%  
70 2% 96%  
71 20% 94%  
72 18% 74% Median
73 16% 57%  
74 19% 41%  
75 2% 23%  
76 15% 21%  
77 6% 6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 13% 99.6%  
58 1.0% 86%  
59 26% 85%  
60 1.3% 59% Median
61 18% 58%  
62 19% 40%  
63 10% 21%  
64 3% 12%  
65 7% 9%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 0.8% 1.3%  
68 0.4% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 1.3% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 98.5%  
46 0.7% 98%  
47 42% 98% Median
48 16% 56%  
49 15% 40%  
50 2% 25%  
51 15% 23%  
52 6% 8%  
53 1.5% 2% Last Result
54 0.5% 0.6%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 1.0% 99.8%  
37 0.3% 98.8%  
38 0.8% 98.6%  
39 28% 98%  
40 21% 69% Last Result, Median
41 3% 48%  
42 21% 45%  
43 3% 24%  
44 20% 21%  
45 0.5% 1.0%  
46 0.1% 0.5%  
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 1.2% 100%  
29 0.5% 98.8%  
30 4% 98%  
31 1.5% 95%  
32 19% 93%  
33 38% 74% Median
34 7% 36% Last Result
35 26% 29%  
36 0.8% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.4%  
39 0.3% 0.3%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations