Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 15–21 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 28.9% | 27.1–30.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.2–31.7% | 25.4–32.7% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.0–22.3% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.4–18.1% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.9% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 52 | 48–55 | 48–58 | 47–58 | 44–58 |
| Venstre | 34 | 34 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 27 | 24–29 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 22–31 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 12–21 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 8 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–9 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 48 | 21% | 96% | |
| 49 | 6% | 75% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 51 | 8% | 68% | |
| 52 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 53 | 6% | 41% | |
| 54 | 8% | 35% | |
| 55 | 20% | 27% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 58 | 5% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 27% | 91% | |
| 32 | 4% | 64% | |
| 33 | 5% | 60% | |
| 34 | 31% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 13% | 24% | |
| 36 | 6% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 19% | 97% | |
| 25 | 5% | 77% | |
| 26 | 8% | 72% | |
| 27 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 28 | 7% | 37% | |
| 29 | 23% | 30% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 31 | 5% | 6% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 15 | 10% | 97% | |
| 16 | 26% | 87% | |
| 17 | 27% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 34% | |
| 19 | 10% | 15% | |
| 20 | 4% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 16% | 91% | |
| 11 | 7% | 75% | |
| 12 | 33% | 69% | Median |
| 13 | 5% | 35% | |
| 14 | 27% | 30% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 12% | 98% | |
| 10 | 8% | 86% | |
| 11 | 34% | 78% | Median |
| 12 | 26% | 45% | |
| 13 | 9% | 19% | |
| 14 | 9% | 10% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 11% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 7 | 35% | 88% | |
| 8 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 20% | |
| 10 | 4% | 17% | |
| 11 | 13% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 14% | 97% | |
| 7 | 50% | 83% | Median |
| 8 | 21% | 33% | |
| 9 | 6% | 12% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 26% | 84% | |
| 6 | 33% | 57% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 24% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 4 | 35% | 44% | |
| 5 | 8% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 98 | 99.7% | 94–102 | 93–102 | 91–102 | 90–105 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 92 | 85% | 88–96 | 87–98 | 86–98 | 84–99 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 86 | 14% | 82–90 | 81–91 | 79–91 | 77–92 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 0% | 76–85 | 76–86 | 74–86 | 71–86 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 77 | 0% | 73–81 | 73–82 | 73–84 | 70–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 77 | 0% | 73–81 | 73–82 | 73–84 | 70–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 77 | 0% | 73–81 | 73–82 | 73–84 | 70–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 77 | 0% | 73–81 | 73–82 | 73–84 | 70–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 76 | 0% | 71–79 | 69–80 | 69–81 | 67–81 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 75 | 0% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 70–80 | 69–82 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 75 | 0% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 70–80 | 69–82 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–69 | 56–70 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 48 | 0% | 44–53 | 44–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–45 | 37–46 | 36–48 |
| Venstre | 34 | 34 | 0% | 31–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 91 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 93 | 4% | 96% | |
| 94 | 4% | 92% | |
| 95 | 2% | 88% | |
| 96 | 3% | 85% | |
| 97 | 3% | 82% | |
| 98 | 53% | 79% | Median |
| 99 | 4% | 26% | |
| 100 | 11% | 22% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 102 | 8% | 10% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 4% | 94% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 2% | 85% | Majority |
| 91 | 18% | 84% | |
| 92 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 93 | 19% | 47% | |
| 94 | 15% | 28% | |
| 95 | 2% | 13% | |
| 96 | 3% | 10% | |
| 97 | 2% | 7% | |
| 98 | 5% | 6% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 6% | 93% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 84 | 25% | 86% | |
| 85 | 3% | 60% | |
| 86 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 87 | 3% | 39% | |
| 88 | 21% | 36% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 90 | 8% | 14% | Majority |
| 91 | 6% | 7% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 6% | 96% | |
| 77 | 19% | 90% | |
| 78 | 5% | 71% | |
| 79 | 2% | 66% | |
| 80 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 81 | 19% | 57% | |
| 82 | 22% | 37% | |
| 83 | 4% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 85 | 6% | 12% | |
| 86 | 5% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 8% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 11% | 89% | |
| 76 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 77 | 53% | 74% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 18% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 9% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 11% | 89% | |
| 76 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 77 | 53% | 74% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 18% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 8% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 11% | 89% | |
| 76 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 77 | 53% | 74% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 18% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 9% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 11% | 89% | |
| 76 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 77 | 53% | 74% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 18% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 5% | 90% | |
| 73 | 19% | 85% | |
| 74 | 3% | 66% | |
| 75 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 76 | 30% | 60% | |
| 77 | 7% | 30% | |
| 78 | 7% | 23% | |
| 79 | 10% | 16% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 81 | 4% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 32% | 94% | |
| 74 | 2% | 61% | |
| 75 | 12% | 60% | |
| 76 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 77 | 34% | 45% | |
| 78 | 4% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 33% | 94% | |
| 74 | 2% | 61% | |
| 75 | 12% | 60% | |
| 76 | 3% | 47% | Median |
| 77 | 34% | 44% | |
| 78 | 4% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 3% | 91% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 62 | 19% | 88% | |
| 63 | 9% | 69% | |
| 64 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 37% | |
| 66 | 7% | 24% | |
| 67 | 6% | 17% | |
| 68 | 2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 7% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 88% | |
| 46 | 20% | 85% | |
| 47 | 2% | 65% | |
| 48 | 22% | 63% | |
| 49 | 14% | 41% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 27% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 52 | 3% | 21% | |
| 53 | 15% | 18% | Last Result |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 10% | 93% | |
| 39 | 20% | 84% | |
| 40 | 7% | 64% | Last Result |
| 41 | 22% | 56% | |
| 42 | 5% | 35% | Median |
| 43 | 12% | 30% | |
| 44 | 3% | 18% | |
| 45 | 13% | 16% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 27% | 91% | |
| 32 | 4% | 64% | |
| 33 | 5% | 60% | |
| 34 | 31% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 13% | 24% | |
| 36 | 6% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 15–21 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.85%