Opinion Poll by YouGov, 26–29 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.8% 24.6–27.1% 24.2–27.5% 23.9–27.8% 23.3–28.5%
Venstre 19.5% 17.6% 16.5–18.8% 16.2–19.1% 16.0–19.4% 15.5–20.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 12.2% 11.3–13.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.8–13.8% 10.4–14.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.4% 8.6–10.3% 8.4–10.6% 8.2–10.8% 7.8–11.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.8% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.3–9.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.2% 3.6–4.8% 3.5–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.1–5.5%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 43–50 43–50 42–50 41–50
Venstre 34 32 30–34 29–34 28–34 28–36
Dansk Folkeparti 37 22 20–23 20–24 19–25 18–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 15–18 15–19 15–19 14–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 14 13–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–13 10–13 9–14 9–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 7–12
Nye Borgerlige 0 8 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 2% 99.8%  
42 2% 98%  
43 9% 96%  
44 3% 87%  
45 4% 84%  
46 10% 80%  
47 15% 70% Last Result
48 33% 55% Median
49 11% 22%  
50 11% 11%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.6%  
29 6% 97%  
30 23% 91%  
31 8% 68%  
32 38% 60% Median
33 8% 22%  
34 12% 14% Last Result
35 2% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.7%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.6% 100%  
19 3% 99.3%  
20 7% 96%  
21 36% 90%  
22 23% 53% Median
23 22% 30%  
24 5% 8%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.8% 0.9%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.6% 100% Last Result
15 14% 99.4%  
16 52% 86% Median
17 10% 34%  
18 16% 24%  
19 7% 8%  
20 0.1% 0.5%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 4% 99.8%  
12 5% 96%  
13 19% 91%  
14 31% 72% Median
15 34% 41%  
16 5% 7%  
17 1.1% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 3% 100%  
10 8% 97%  
11 21% 89%  
12 55% 68% Median
13 9% 13%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.4% 0.8%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100% Last Result
7 2% 99.9%  
8 43% 98%  
9 34% 55% Median
10 17% 21%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.8% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 53% 98% Median
9 19% 45%  
10 13% 25%  
11 12% 12%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 14% 99.8%  
7 56% 85% Median
8 11% 30%  
9 17% 19%  
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 7% 99.9%  
6 22% 93%  
7 24% 71% Median
8 31% 47%  
9 15% 16% Last Result
10 1.1% 1.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 98 99.9% 92–99 92–100 91–101 90–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 90 56% 86–92 86–93 84–94 83–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 87 1.0% 80–87 80–87 80–89 79–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 76–83 75–83 74–84 74–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0% 76–83 75–83 74–84 74–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 76–83 75–83 74–83 74–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 77 0% 76–83 75–83 74–83 74–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 78 0% 74–80 74–80 73–82 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 74 0% 69–75 68–75 67–76 65–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 68 0% 67–74 67–75 66–75 65–76
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 68 0% 67–74 67–75 66–75 65–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 55–61 55–61 53–62 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 47 0% 45–51 45–52 44–52 43–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 38–43 37–43 37–44 36–45
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–34 29–34 28–34 28–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.6% 99.9% Majority
91 2% 99.3%  
92 9% 97%  
93 7% 88%  
94 7% 82%  
95 5% 74%  
96 11% 69%  
97 5% 58% Median
98 13% 52%  
99 33% 39%  
100 3% 5%  
101 3% 3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 2% 99.9%  
84 1.5% 98%  
85 1.0% 97%  
86 12% 96%  
87 4% 84%  
88 13% 80%  
89 12% 68%  
90 16% 56% Median, Majority
91 29% 39%  
92 5% 11%  
93 2% 5%  
94 2% 3%  
95 1.0% 1.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100% Last Result
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 9% 99.3%  
81 5% 90%  
82 6% 85%  
83 13% 80%  
84 8% 67%  
85 6% 60% Median
86 3% 54%  
87 45% 50%  
88 2% 5%  
89 2% 3%  
90 1.0% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 3% 97%  
76 33% 95%  
77 13% 61%  
78 5% 48% Median
79 11% 42%  
80 5% 31%  
81 7% 26%  
82 7% 18%  
83 9% 12%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 3% 97%  
76 33% 95%  
77 13% 61%  
78 5% 48% Median
79 11% 42%  
80 5% 31%  
81 7% 26%  
82 7% 18%  
83 9% 12%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 3% 97%  
76 33% 94%  
77 14% 61%  
78 6% 48% Median
79 11% 42%  
80 5% 31%  
81 7% 26%  
82 7% 18%  
83 9% 12%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 3% 97%  
76 33% 94%  
77 14% 61%  
78 5% 48% Median
79 11% 42%  
80 5% 31%  
81 7% 26%  
82 7% 18%  
83 9% 12%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 4% 99.0%  
74 10% 95%  
75 4% 86%  
76 12% 82%  
77 6% 70%  
78 22% 64% Median
79 23% 42%  
80 14% 19%  
81 2% 5%  
82 2% 3%  
83 1.0% 1.0%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 1.5% 100%  
66 1.0% 98.5%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 10% 94%  
70 6% 84%  
71 4% 78%  
72 7% 74%  
73 10% 67%  
74 24% 57% Median
75 29% 33%  
76 2% 4%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 1.5% 2%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.7% 99.7%  
66 3% 99.0%  
67 9% 96%  
68 37% 87%  
69 13% 49%  
70 9% 36% Median
71 5% 27%  
72 7% 22%  
73 3% 15%  
74 3% 12%  
75 8% 9%  
76 0.6% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.7% 99.7%  
66 3% 99.0%  
67 9% 96%  
68 37% 87%  
69 13% 49%  
70 9% 36% Median
71 5% 27%  
72 7% 22%  
73 3% 15%  
74 3% 12%  
75 8% 9%  
76 0.6% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 1.5% 100%  
52 0.3% 98.5%  
53 2% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 9% 95% Last Result
56 3% 86%  
57 10% 83%  
58 9% 73%  
59 8% 64%  
60 35% 56% Median
61 17% 21%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0.3% 0.6%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 1.3% 99.9%  
44 2% 98.6%  
45 9% 97%  
46 16% 89%  
47 34% 72%  
48 8% 39% Median
49 9% 31%  
50 9% 22%  
51 3% 12%  
52 8% 10%  
53 1.1% 1.3% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.9%  
37 5% 99.4%  
38 6% 95%  
39 13% 88%  
40 39% 75% Last Result
41 13% 36% Median
42 9% 23%  
43 11% 14%  
44 0.7% 3%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.3% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.6%  
29 6% 97%  
30 23% 91%  
31 8% 68%  
32 38% 60% Median
33 8% 22%  
34 12% 14% Last Result
35 2% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.7%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations