Opinion Poll by YouGov, 1–3 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 22.9% 21.7–24.3% 21.3–24.7% 21.0–25.0% 20.4–25.7%
Venstre 19.5% 17.1% 15.9–18.3% 15.6–18.7% 15.3–19.0% 14.8–19.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 11.2% 10.2–12.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.7–12.8% 9.3–13.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.3–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.6% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.0% 6.9–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 6.3% 5.6–7.1% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 42 37–43 36–43 36–44 36–45
Venstre 34 31 29–33 28–33 28–34 27–34
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 18–22 17–22 17–22 17–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 14–18 14–19 14–20 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 14–17 14–17 13–18 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–12 10–13 10–14 9–14
Nye Borgerlige 0 9 9–12 9–14 9–14 9–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 12 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
Stram Kurs 0 6 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 6–7 5–7 5–8 4–8
Liberal Alliance 13 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.4% 100%  
36 9% 99.6%  
37 12% 90%  
38 6% 79%  
39 3% 72%  
40 7% 70%  
41 6% 62%  
42 13% 56% Median
43 40% 43%  
44 0.5% 3%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 6% 98%  
29 3% 92%  
30 18% 90%  
31 52% 71% Median
32 1.3% 20%  
33 15% 19%  
34 3% 3% Last Result
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 6% 99.8%  
18 23% 94%  
19 7% 70%  
20 41% 64% Median
21 12% 23%  
22 9% 11%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 0.9% 99.7%  
14 14% 98.7% Last Result
15 5% 84%  
16 7% 79%  
17 46% 73% Median
18 20% 27%  
19 2% 7%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.5% 100%  
13 4% 99.5%  
14 6% 95%  
15 49% 89% Median
16 18% 40%  
17 17% 22%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.1% 0.9%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 1.1% 100%  
10 46% 98.9%  
11 34% 53% Median
12 11% 19%  
13 4% 8%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 54% 99.9% Median
10 4% 46%  
11 29% 43%  
12 7% 14%  
13 2% 7%  
14 5% 5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.3% 99.9%  
9 5% 98.7%  
10 11% 94%  
11 9% 83%  
12 73% 74% Median
13 0.3% 0.5%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.3% 100%  
6 61% 98.7% Median
7 11% 38%  
8 5% 27%  
9 21% 22%  
10 1.1% 1.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.4% 100%  
5 8% 98.6%  
6 73% 90% Median
7 13% 17%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 12% 98%  
6 78% 87% Median
7 7% 9%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 91 66% 86–91 86–93 86–93 85–96
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 84 0.8% 84–89 82–89 82–89 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 85 0.9% 80–86 80–87 80–87 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 75–81 75–81 75–82 73–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 76–80 76–81 74–81 71–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 76–80 76–81 74–81 71–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 76–80 76–81 74–81 71–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 78 0% 76–80 76–81 74–81 71–83
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 69–75 69–75 69–76 67–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 68 0% 62–69 62–71 62–72 62–74
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 69 0% 66–70 64–70 63–70 62–72
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 69 0% 66–70 64–70 63–70 62–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 53 0% 47–53 47–55 47–55 46–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 49 0% 45–50 45–51 43–51 42–51
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 40–45 38–45 38–45 36–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 29–33 28–33 28–34 27–34

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
86 10% 99.2%  
87 0.7% 89%  
88 9% 88%  
89 14% 79%  
90 12% 66% Majority
91 44% 54% Median
92 5% 10%  
93 3% 5%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.9% 1.0%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.9% 99.9%  
80 0.6% 99.0%  
81 0.4% 98%  
82 3% 98%  
83 5% 95%  
84 44% 90% Median
85 12% 46%  
86 14% 34%  
87 9% 21%  
88 0.7% 12%  
89 10% 11%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 11% 99.3%  
81 2% 88%  
82 7% 87%  
83 26% 80%  
84 3% 54%  
85 40% 51% Median
86 1.2% 10%  
87 7% 9%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.1% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.9% Majority
91 0.9% 0.9%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.5%  
75 10% 99.3%  
76 5% 89%  
77 5% 84% Last Result
78 19% 79%  
79 11% 60%  
80 6% 49% Median
81 39% 43%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0% 1.0%  
85 0.9% 0.9%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.9% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.6% 99.0%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 95%  
77 13% 88%  
78 45% 76% Median
79 11% 31%  
80 11% 21%  
81 7% 10%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.9% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.9% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.6% 99.0%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 95%  
77 13% 88%  
78 45% 76% Median
79 11% 31%  
80 11% 21%  
81 7% 10%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.9% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.9% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.6% 99.0%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 95%  
77 13% 88%  
78 45% 76% Median
79 11% 31%  
80 11% 21%  
81 7% 10%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.9% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.9% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.6% 99.0%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 95%  
77 13% 88%  
78 45% 76% Median
79 11% 31%  
80 11% 21%  
81 7% 10%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.9% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.9% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.0% Last Result
69 13% 98%  
70 4% 86%  
71 3% 82%  
72 28% 79%  
73 0.6% 51%  
74 3% 50% Median
75 43% 47%  
76 2% 4%  
77 0.1% 2%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0% 0.9%  
80 0.9% 0.9%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 11% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.3% 89%  
64 0.2% 89%  
65 18% 89%  
66 0.3% 71%  
67 8% 71%  
68 42% 63% Median
69 14% 21%  
70 0.6% 6%  
71 3% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.9% 0.9%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.9% 99.8%  
63 4% 98.9%  
64 1.0% 95%  
65 2% 94%  
66 15% 92%  
67 11% 77%  
68 3% 66%  
69 49% 63% Median
70 11% 13%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.9% 99.8%  
63 4% 98.9%  
64 1.0% 95%  
65 2% 94%  
66 15% 92%  
67 11% 77%  
68 3% 66%  
69 49% 63% Median
70 11% 13%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.6% 99.8%  
47 9% 99.2%  
48 10% 90%  
49 3% 80%  
50 5% 77%  
51 9% 72%  
52 2% 63%  
53 51% 61% Median
54 4% 10%  
55 4% 6% Last Result
56 2% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.6% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.3%  
44 0.7% 97%  
45 9% 97%  
46 3% 88%  
47 3% 85%  
48 16% 81%  
49 49% 66% Median
50 7% 16%  
51 10% 10%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1% Last Result
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.9%  
37 1.3% 99.4%  
38 5% 98%  
39 2% 93%  
40 5% 90% Last Result
41 2% 86%  
42 17% 84%  
43 51% 67% Median
44 5% 16%  
45 10% 11%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 6% 98%  
29 3% 92%  
30 18% 90%  
31 52% 71% Median
32 1.3% 20%  
33 15% 19%  
34 3% 3% Last Result
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations