Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 7 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.0% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.2–31.0%
Venstre 19.5% 17.5% 16.3–18.7% 16.0–19.1% 15.7–19.4% 15.1–20.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 13.9% 12.8–15.0% 12.5–15.3% 12.3–15.6% 11.8–16.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.1% 6.3–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.1–5.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.5–5.0%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 46–51 46–51 46–51 44–53
Venstre 34 31 29–33 29–33 28–34 27–36
Dansk Folkeparti 37 24 23–26 23–27 21–28 21–28
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–16 13–16 12–18 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 13 12–14 12–14 11–15 10–16
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–13 8–14 8–14 7–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 10 9–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
Alternativet 9 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 13 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–7 4–7
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 0% 99.5%  
45 0.4% 99.5%  
46 25% 99.1%  
47 0.8% 74% Last Result
48 17% 73%  
49 30% 56% Median
50 4% 26%  
51 20% 22%  
52 0.9% 1.4%  
53 0.1% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.2% 99.8%  
28 2% 98.7%  
29 12% 97%  
30 4% 84%  
31 39% 81% Median
32 3% 42%  
33 35% 39%  
34 3% 4% Last Result
35 0.4% 1.0%  
36 0.5% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 4% 99.8%  
22 0.4% 96%  
23 6% 95%  
24 47% 90% Median
25 30% 43%  
26 5% 12%  
27 4% 8%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 3% 100%  
13 2% 97%  
14 14% 95% Last Result
15 70% 81% Median
16 7% 11%  
17 0.7% 4%  
18 2% 3%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.6% 100%  
11 4% 99.4%  
12 43% 95%  
13 38% 52% Median
14 12% 15%  
15 0.5% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.2% 100%  
8 10% 98.8% Last Result
9 39% 88% Median
10 25% 50%  
11 13% 25%  
12 1.4% 12%  
13 1.1% 10%  
14 9% 9%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100% Last Result
7 1.5% 99.9%  
8 7% 98%  
9 16% 92%  
10 32% 76% Median
11 40% 44%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 15% 99.7%  
7 27% 85%  
8 26% 58% Median
9 29% 31% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 20% 100%  
5 4% 80%  
6 29% 77% Median
7 37% 48%  
8 9% 11%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 3% 99.6%  
5 70% 96% Median
6 23% 26%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 47% 83% Median
5 34% 36%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.4% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 94 98.8% 92–95 92–96 91–98 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 86 3% 83–89 83–89 83–91 81–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 1.0% 81–85 81–87 81–88 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 81 0% 80–83 79–83 77–84 73–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 75–80 74–81 72–81 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 78 0% 75–80 74–81 72–81 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 78 0% 75–80 74–81 72–81 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 78 0% 75–80 74–81 72–81 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 74–78 74–79 73–80 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 64–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 64–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 71 0% 68–74 68–74 68–74 66–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 58 0% 55–62 55–62 55–62 54–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 47 0% 46–50 44–51 43–51 42–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 40–44 38–44 37–44 36–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 29–33 29–33 28–34 27–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.4% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.6%  
89 0.6% 99.5%  
90 0.3% 98.8% Majority
91 2% 98.6%  
92 30% 96%  
93 14% 67%  
94 5% 53% Median
95 40% 48%  
96 5% 8%  
97 0.4% 3%  
98 0.5% 3%  
99 0.3% 2%  
100 1.1% 2%  
101 0% 0.8%  
102 0.8% 0.8%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.4% 100%  
81 0.6% 99.5%  
82 0.2% 99.0%  
83 24% 98.7%  
84 6% 75%  
85 12% 69%  
86 11% 57% Median
87 11% 47%  
88 21% 36%  
89 12% 15%  
90 0.2% 3% Majority
91 1.2% 3%  
92 0.5% 1.4%  
93 0.1% 0.9%  
94 0.7% 0.8%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
78 0.4% 99.6%  
79 0.1% 99.1%  
80 0.8% 99.0%  
81 11% 98%  
82 3% 87%  
83 28% 84%  
84 15% 56%  
85 33% 41% Median
86 0.6% 8%  
87 5% 8%  
88 0.6% 3%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.1% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0.8%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.8% 100%  
74 0% 99.2%  
75 1.1% 99.2%  
76 0.3% 98%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 0.4% 97%  
79 5% 97%  
80 40% 92% Median
81 5% 52%  
82 14% 47%  
83 30% 33%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.3% 1.4%  
86 0.6% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.4% 0.4%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.7% 100%  
70 0% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 99.2%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 3% 97%  
75 20% 94%  
76 10% 73% Median
77 5% 64%  
78 16% 58%  
79 26% 42%  
80 11% 17%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.7% 100%  
70 0% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 99.2%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 3% 97%  
75 20% 94%  
76 10% 73% Median
77 5% 64%  
78 16% 58%  
79 26% 42%  
80 11% 17%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.7% 100%  
70 0% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 99.2%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 3% 97%  
75 20% 94%  
76 10% 73% Median
77 5% 64%  
78 16% 58%  
79 26% 42%  
80 11% 17%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.7% 100%  
70 0% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 99.2%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 3% 97%  
75 20% 94%  
76 10% 73% Median
77 5% 64%  
78 16% 58%  
79 26% 42%  
80 11% 17%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.6% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.2%  
72 0.2% 99.1%  
73 3% 98.9%  
74 25% 96%  
75 12% 71%  
76 11% 58%  
77 21% 47% Median
78 20% 26%  
79 2% 6%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0.9% 2%  
83 0.3% 1.1%  
84 0.7% 0.8%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.7% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.3% 99.2%  
67 1.4% 98.9%  
68 2% 97%  
69 1.4% 95%  
70 21% 94%  
71 10% 72% Median
72 19% 63%  
73 3% 44%  
74 25% 41%  
75 14% 17%  
76 0.8% 3%  
77 0.2% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.7% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.3% 99.2%  
67 1.4% 98.9%  
68 2% 97%  
69 1.4% 95%  
70 21% 94%  
71 10% 72% Median
72 19% 63%  
73 3% 44%  
74 25% 41%  
75 14% 17%  
76 0.8% 3%  
77 0.2% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 99.2%  
68 24% 99.0%  
69 3% 76%  
70 9% 72%  
71 15% 64% Median
72 14% 49%  
73 20% 35%  
74 12% 14%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.9% 1.2%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.5% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.5%  
55 23% 99.5% Last Result
56 2% 76%  
57 17% 74%  
58 8% 57% Median
59 7% 49%  
60 11% 42%  
61 20% 32%  
62 10% 12%  
63 0.2% 2%  
64 1.1% 1.4%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 2% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 98%  
44 3% 97%  
45 3% 95%  
46 32% 92%  
47 15% 60% Median
48 0.6% 45%  
49 5% 45%  
50 34% 40%  
51 4% 5%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0% 0.2% Last Result
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 1.2% 99.8%  
37 1.4% 98.6%  
38 3% 97%  
39 3% 94%  
40 24% 91% Last Result
41 7% 67% Median
42 21% 61%  
43 28% 40%  
44 11% 12%  
45 0.7% 1.1%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.2% 99.8%  
28 2% 98.7%  
29 12% 97%  
30 4% 84%  
31 39% 81% Median
32 3% 42%  
33 35% 39%  
34 3% 4% Last Result
35 0.4% 1.0%  
36 0.5% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations