Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 7 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.9–30.2% 24.1–31.1%
Venstre 19.5% 19.4% 17.9–21.0% 17.5–21.5% 17.1–21.9% 16.4–22.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.7–14.0% 10.4–14.3% 9.9–15.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.1–12.1% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 47–51 47–51 46–52 44–54
Venstre 34 36 36–38 34–41 33–41 30–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 20–21 19–23 19–23 18–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 20 17–20 16–20 16–21 15–24
Radikale Venstre 8 11 11–13 11–13 11–15 11–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 11–13 11–13 10–14 9–15
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–9 7–9 7–10 7–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 7 6–8 5–8 4–9
Alternativet 9 5 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–8
Stram Kurs 0 5 4–5 4–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.3% 100%  
44 2% 99.7%  
45 0.3% 98%  
46 0.7% 98%  
47 10% 97% Last Result
48 1.3% 87%  
49 6% 86%  
50 1.3% 80%  
51 74% 79% Median
52 3% 5%  
53 0.1% 2%  
54 2% 2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.6% 99.9%  
31 0.7% 99.3%  
32 0.5% 98.6%  
33 3% 98%  
34 4% 95% Last Result
35 1.4% 92%  
36 74% 90% Median
37 2% 17%  
38 7% 15%  
39 0.7% 8%  
40 0% 8%  
41 8% 8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 1.0% 99.9%  
19 8% 98.9%  
20 76% 90% Median
21 6% 14%  
22 3% 8%  
23 4% 6%  
24 0.7% 2%  
25 0.3% 0.9%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100% Last Result
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 5% 99.3%  
17 8% 95%  
18 3% 86%  
19 5% 84%  
20 74% 79% Median
21 3% 4%  
22 0.7% 1.3%  
23 0% 0.6%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 76% 99.7% Median
12 3% 23%  
13 16% 20%  
14 2% 5%  
15 1.0% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 1.1% 100%  
10 2% 98.9%  
11 79% 97% Median
12 6% 18%  
13 9% 12%  
14 1.0% 3%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 9% 99.7%  
8 3% 91%  
9 84% 88% Median
10 3% 4%  
11 1.2% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100%  
5 2% 99.2%  
6 3% 97% Last Result
7 85% 94% Median
8 8% 9%  
9 1.3% 1.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 1.3% 99.9%  
5 82% 98.5% Median
6 12% 16%  
7 3% 4%  
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 12% 97%  
5 80% 85% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 98 100% 95–98 95–101 95–102 93–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 93 97% 90–93 90–95 89–96 87–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 87 2% 82–87 82–88 82–89 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 82 0% 77–82 77–82 76–83 75–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0% 77–80 74–80 73–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 73 0% 73–74 73–76 70–77 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 67–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 66–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 67–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 67–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 66–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 72 0% 72–76 70–76 68–76 66–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 62 0% 60–62 60–64 58–66 55–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 52–54 48–57 47–57 45–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 43–46 40–48 39–48 37–48
Venstre 34 36 0% 36–38 34–41 33–41 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100% Majority
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 2% 99.9%  
94 0.6% 98%  
95 8% 98%  
96 5% 90%  
97 2% 85%  
98 74% 83% Median
99 2% 10%  
100 1.4% 7%  
101 3% 6%  
102 1.2% 3%  
103 0.4% 2%  
104 0.5% 2%  
105 0% 1.1%  
106 0.9% 1.0%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 2% 99.9%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 1.0% 98%  
90 12% 97% Majority
91 0.2% 85%  
92 0.8% 84%  
93 76% 84% Median
94 2% 7%  
95 3% 6%  
96 0.7% 3%  
97 0.2% 2%  
98 0.4% 2%  
99 0.4% 1.4%  
100 0.8% 1.0%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.8%  
81 0.3% 99.4%  
82 9% 99.1%  
83 6% 90%  
84 1.4% 84%  
85 1.3% 82%  
86 0.4% 81%  
87 74% 81% Median
88 3% 6%  
89 0.9% 3%  
90 0.3% 2% Majority
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.6% 1.3%  
93 0% 0.8%  
94 0.7% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.5%  
76 2% 99.2%  
77 14% 97%  
78 0.4% 83%  
79 1.1% 83%  
80 0.6% 82%  
81 2% 81%  
82 76% 79% Median
83 0.9% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0% 1.2%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.6% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.9% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.0%  
71 0.5% 98.9%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 1.2% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 1.4% 94%  
76 2% 93%  
77 74% 90% Median
78 2% 17%  
79 5% 15%  
80 8% 10%  
81 0.6% 2%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 1.3% 100%  
67 0% 98.7%  
68 0.3% 98.7%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 0.8% 97%  
72 0.5% 96%  
73 82% 96% Median
74 6% 13%  
75 1.5% 7%  
76 1.4% 6%  
77 2% 4%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.3% 1.1%  
81 0.8% 0.8%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 99.6%  
68 2% 98.8%  
69 1.4% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 1.1% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 2% 98.7%  
69 1.4% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 1.1% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 99.6%  
68 2% 98.8%  
69 1.4% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 1.1% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 99.6%  
68 2% 98.8%  
69 1.5% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 0.9% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 2% 98.7%  
69 1.4% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 1.1% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.1% 99.5%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 2% 98.7%  
69 1.5% 97%  
70 3% 96%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 74% 92% Median
73 0.9% 18%  
74 6% 17%  
75 0.7% 11%  
76 8% 10%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 1.3% 100% Last Result
56 0.2% 98.7%  
57 0.7% 98%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 0.6% 97%  
60 10% 97%  
61 0.4% 87%  
62 78% 87% Median
63 3% 9%  
64 2% 6%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.0% 3%  
67 1.4% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.4%  
47 3% 98%  
48 0.8% 95%  
49 3% 94%  
50 0.8% 92%  
51 0.9% 91%  
52 74% 90% Median
53 4% 16% Last Result
54 2% 12%  
55 0.1% 10%  
56 2% 9%  
57 8% 8%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.8%  
38 1.2% 99.0%  
39 0.9% 98%  
40 4% 97% Last Result
41 1.2% 93%  
42 2% 92%  
43 74% 90% Median
44 1.0% 16%  
45 2% 15%  
46 5% 13%  
47 0.5% 8%  
48 8% 8%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.6% 99.9%  
31 0.7% 99.3%  
32 0.5% 98.6%  
33 3% 98%  
34 4% 95% Last Result
35 1.4% 92%  
36 74% 90% Median
37 2% 17%  
38 7% 15%  
39 0.7% 8%  
40 0% 8%  
41 8% 8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations