Opinion Poll by Kantar Gallup for Berlingske, 8 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 24.4% 23.1–25.8% 22.7–26.2% 22.4–26.5% 21.8–27.2%
Venstre 19.5% 17.9% 16.8–19.2% 16.4–19.5% 16.2–19.8% 15.6–20.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 12.5% 11.6–13.6% 11.3–13.9% 11.1–14.2% 10.6–14.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.2% 8.4–10.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.9–10.7% 7.5–11.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.6% 7.2–9.8% 6.8–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.2% 6.5–8.1% 6.2–8.3% 6.1–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.5%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.1% 2.7–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 43 42–46 42–46 40–46 39–46
Venstre 34 31 30–32 30–34 30–35 30–36
Dansk Folkeparti 37 23 20–24 20–24 19–25 19–27
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 16–17 16–18 15–19 14–19
Radikale Venstre 8 16 14–18 14–18 13–18 13–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 9–10 7–11 6–11 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–10 6–10 6–10 6–10
Stram Kurs 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–8 4–8
Alternativet 9 6 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–7
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.8%  
40 3% 99.0%  
41 1.0% 96%  
42 12% 95%  
43 63% 83% Median
44 6% 20%  
45 3% 14%  
46 10% 10%  
47 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 49% 99.5%  
31 37% 50% Median
32 5% 13%  
33 2% 8%  
34 2% 6% Last Result
35 4% 4%  
36 0.4% 0.6%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.9%  
20 14% 97%  
21 11% 83%  
22 1.0% 72%  
23 28% 71% Median
24 40% 43%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0% 0.8%  
27 0.8% 0.8%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
15 4% 99.2%  
16 74% 96% Median
17 12% 21%  
18 5% 9%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 3% 99.9%  
14 28% 97%  
15 6% 68%  
16 45% 62% Median
17 4% 17%  
18 12% 13%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.6%  
12 31% 99.1%  
13 25% 68% Median
14 39% 43%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.2% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 3% 100% Last Result
7 4% 97%  
8 3% 93%  
9 76% 91% Median
10 5% 14%  
11 10% 10%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 21% 99.8%  
7 40% 79% Median
8 10% 38%  
9 1.4% 28%  
10 26% 27%  
11 0.2% 0.4%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.5% 100%  
5 42% 99.5%  
6 15% 58% Median
7 39% 43%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 35% 100%  
5 11% 65%  
6 42% 54% Median
7 12% 12%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 16% 97%  
5 35% 81% Median
6 46% 46%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 93 98% 91–97 91–97 91–97 88–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 89 29% 85–91 85–91 84–91 82–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0% 78–84 78–84 78–84 78–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 77 0% 77–81 77–81 76–81 74–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 71–77 71–77 71–79 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0% 71–77 71–77 71–79 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 71–77 71–77 71–79 71–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 77 0% 71–77 71–77 71–79 71–80
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 71–75 71–75 70–76 68–77
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 71 0% 66–72 66–74 66–76 66–76
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 71 0% 66–72 66–74 66–76 66–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 73 0% 69–75 69–75 69–75 67–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 57–62 57–62 56–63 53–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 47 0% 45–49 45–50 45–52 44–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 39–41 39–42 37–45 36–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–32 30–34 30–35 30–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.6% 99.9%  
89 1.0% 99.3%  
90 0% 98% Majority
91 28% 98%  
92 1.3% 70%  
93 35% 69%  
94 5% 34% Median
95 0.6% 29%  
96 9% 29%  
97 20% 20%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.6% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.3%  
84 2% 99.2%  
85 27% 97%  
86 0.2% 70%  
87 1.4% 70%  
88 1.1% 69% Median
89 39% 68%  
90 14% 29% Majority
91 14% 15%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 20% 99.8%  
79 9% 80%  
80 0.6% 71%  
81 5% 71% Median
82 35% 66%  
83 1.3% 31%  
84 28% 30%  
85 0% 2%  
86 1.0% 2%  
87 0.6% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 1.1% 98.9%  
76 1.2% 98%  
77 64% 97% Last Result
78 3% 33% Median
79 12% 30%  
80 0.7% 17%  
81 16% 17%  
82 0.6% 0.8%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 11% 99.8%  
72 12% 89%  
73 5% 77%  
74 2% 72%  
75 0.5% 70% Median
76 4% 69%  
77 61% 65%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 11% 99.8%  
72 12% 89%  
73 5% 77%  
74 2% 72%  
75 0.6% 69% Median
76 4% 69%  
77 61% 65%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 11% 99.8%  
72 12% 89%  
73 5% 77%  
74 2% 72%  
75 0.6% 69% Median
76 4% 69%  
77 61% 65%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 11% 99.8%  
72 12% 89%  
73 5% 77%  
74 2% 72%  
75 0.6% 69% Median
76 4% 69%  
77 61% 65%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.5% Last Result
69 1.3% 99.1%  
70 1.2% 98%  
71 27% 97%  
72 12% 69% Median
73 38% 57%  
74 2% 19%  
75 13% 17%  
76 3% 3%  
77 0.7% 0.8%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 12% 99.8%  
67 10% 88%  
68 4% 79%  
69 5% 74%  
70 0.4% 69% Median
71 35% 69%  
72 28% 33%  
73 0.5% 6%  
74 0.5% 5%  
75 2% 5%  
76 3% 3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 12% 99.8%  
67 10% 88%  
68 4% 79%  
69 5% 74%  
70 0.4% 69% Median
71 35% 69%  
72 28% 33%  
73 0.4% 5%  
74 0.5% 5%  
75 2% 5%  
76 3% 3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.4% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 2% 99.5%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 27% 98%  
70 2% 71%  
71 6% 69%  
72 2% 63% Median
73 45% 60%  
74 0.9% 15%  
75 12% 14%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 1.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 98.9%  
55 0.7% 98.6% Last Result
56 0.7% 98%  
57 32% 97%  
58 3% 65%  
59 38% 63% Median
60 10% 25%  
61 2% 15%  
62 10% 13%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.9%  
45 12% 98%  
46 2% 86%  
47 46% 84% Median
48 2% 39%  
49 29% 37%  
50 3% 7%  
51 0.6% 4%  
52 3% 4%  
53 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.9%  
37 2% 98%  
38 0.6% 96%  
39 39% 96%  
40 36% 57% Last Result, Median
41 14% 21%  
42 3% 7%  
43 0.2% 4%  
44 1.3% 4%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.3% 0.3%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 49% 99.5%  
31 37% 50% Median
32 5% 13%  
33 2% 8%  
34 2% 6% Last Result
35 4% 4%  
36 0.4% 0.6%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations