Opinion Poll by Norstat for Altinget and Jyllands-Posten, 2–8 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.3% |
26.6–30.0% |
26.2–30.5% |
25.8–30.9% |
25.0–31.7% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
17.3% |
16.0–18.8% |
15.6–19.2% |
15.3–19.6% |
14.7–20.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
12.8% |
11.6–14.1% |
11.3–14.4% |
11.0–14.8% |
10.5–15.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.3% |
7.9–10.7% |
7.7–11.0% |
7.2–11.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.8% |
5.7–8.1% |
5.5–8.4% |
5.1–8.9% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.3% |
5.5–7.3% |
5.2–7.6% |
5.1–7.8% |
4.7–8.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.5–5.4% |
3.3–5.6% |
3.0–6.1% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.6% |
3.0–4.8% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.6–5.5% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.5% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.8–5.0% |
2.5–5.4% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.3% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.6–4.7% |
2.3–5.1% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.2–3.4% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.4% |
1.1–2.0% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.7–2.5% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
4% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
48 |
4% |
94% |
|
49 |
46% |
91% |
Median |
50 |
4% |
45% |
|
51 |
4% |
40% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
36% |
|
53 |
29% |
35% |
|
54 |
3% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
29 |
31% |
93% |
|
30 |
5% |
62% |
|
31 |
2% |
57% |
|
32 |
51% |
55% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
22 |
5% |
92% |
|
23 |
7% |
87% |
|
24 |
3% |
80% |
|
25 |
43% |
77% |
Median |
26 |
28% |
35% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
28 |
6% |
6% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
12% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
15 |
4% |
88% |
|
16 |
31% |
83% |
|
17 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
18 |
4% |
47% |
|
19 |
40% |
43% |
|
20 |
3% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
41% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
8% |
59% |
|
12 |
8% |
50% |
Median |
13 |
38% |
42% |
|
14 |
2% |
5% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
30% |
98% |
|
11 |
46% |
68% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
22% |
|
13 |
8% |
13% |
|
14 |
4% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
7 |
11% |
95% |
|
8 |
52% |
84% |
Median |
9 |
31% |
33% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
6 |
7% |
98% |
|
7 |
54% |
91% |
Median |
8 |
34% |
37% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
3% |
Last Result |
10 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
97% |
|
6 |
41% |
96% |
|
7 |
5% |
54% |
Median |
8 |
47% |
50% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
35% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
53% |
64% |
Median |
7 |
6% |
11% |
|
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
85% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
15% |
|
2 |
0% |
15% |
|
3 |
0% |
15% |
|
4 |
8% |
15% |
|
5 |
3% |
7% |
|
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
6% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
96 |
99.9% |
95–100 |
95–102 |
94–102 |
92–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
89 |
45% |
88–92 |
88–94 |
87–95 |
85–96 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
85 |
30% |
83–90 |
83–90 |
82–90 |
80–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
78 |
0% |
76–82 |
75–83 |
75–83 |
73–85 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
79 |
0% |
75–80 |
73–80 |
73–81 |
72–83 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
74 |
0% |
70–76 |
70–78 |
70–80 |
68–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
68–74 |
68–74 |
67–74 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
68–73 |
68–74 |
67–74 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
68–74 |
68–74 |
67–74 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
73 |
0% |
68–73 |
68–74 |
67–74 |
64–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
71 |
0% |
68–73 |
64–74 |
63–74 |
62–75 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
70 |
0% |
65–73 |
64–74 |
63–74 |
62–75 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
61 |
0% |
60–63 |
60–67 |
58–68 |
56–68 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
46 |
0% |
43–48 |
42–48 |
41–49 |
39–52 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
39 |
0% |
37–40 |
35–40 |
35–41 |
34–43 |
Venstre |
34 |
32 |
0% |
29–32 |
28–32 |
28–34 |
27–34 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
91 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
95 |
11% |
97% |
|
96 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
97 |
0.6% |
44% |
|
98 |
3% |
43% |
|
99 |
2% |
40% |
|
100 |
29% |
38% |
|
101 |
3% |
9% |
|
102 |
5% |
6% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
88 |
9% |
97% |
|
89 |
42% |
87% |
Median |
90 |
1.3% |
45% |
Majority |
91 |
4% |
44% |
|
92 |
32% |
40% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
94 |
4% |
8% |
|
95 |
4% |
5% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
83 |
8% |
95% |
|
84 |
4% |
88% |
|
85 |
42% |
84% |
Median |
86 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
87 |
3% |
42% |
|
88 |
4% |
38% |
|
89 |
5% |
35% |
|
90 |
28% |
30% |
Majority |
91 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
76 |
8% |
95% |
|
77 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
78 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
79 |
3% |
43% |
|
80 |
5% |
40% |
|
81 |
2% |
35% |
|
82 |
28% |
33% |
|
83 |
3% |
5% |
|
84 |
2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
3% |
94% |
|
75 |
29% |
91% |
|
76 |
2% |
62% |
|
77 |
3% |
60% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
57% |
Median |
79 |
42% |
56% |
|
80 |
11% |
14% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
70 |
41% |
98% |
|
71 |
4% |
57% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
54% |
Median |
73 |
0.9% |
53% |
|
74 |
9% |
52% |
|
75 |
6% |
43% |
|
76 |
30% |
37% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
80 |
4% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
6% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
90% |
|
70 |
29% |
87% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
59% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
58% |
Median |
73 |
43% |
56% |
|
74 |
11% |
14% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
6% |
95% |
|
69 |
3% |
89% |
|
70 |
33% |
86% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
54% |
|
72 |
2% |
53% |
Median |
73 |
42% |
51% |
|
74 |
7% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
6% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
90% |
|
70 |
29% |
87% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
59% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
58% |
Median |
73 |
43% |
56% |
|
74 |
11% |
14% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
6% |
95% |
|
69 |
3% |
89% |
|
70 |
33% |
86% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
54% |
|
72 |
2% |
53% |
Median |
73 |
42% |
51% |
|
74 |
7% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
68 |
8% |
94% |
|
69 |
6% |
86% |
|
70 |
29% |
79% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
50% |
|
72 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
73 |
41% |
48% |
|
74 |
7% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
6% |
97% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
89% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
68 |
5% |
88% |
|
69 |
5% |
84% |
|
70 |
29% |
78% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
50% |
|
72 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
73 |
40% |
48% |
|
74 |
6% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
60 |
44% |
96% |
Median |
61 |
11% |
52% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
63 |
33% |
41% |
|
64 |
2% |
9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
67 |
2% |
6% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
41 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
4% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
91% |
|
44 |
30% |
89% |
|
45 |
3% |
60% |
|
46 |
8% |
56% |
|
47 |
5% |
48% |
Median |
48 |
40% |
43% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
3% |
94% |
|
37 |
2% |
91% |
|
38 |
31% |
89% |
|
39 |
8% |
58% |
|
40 |
47% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
41 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
29 |
31% |
93% |
|
30 |
5% |
62% |
|
31 |
2% |
57% |
|
32 |
51% |
55% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Altinget and Jyllands-Posten
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1207
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%