Opinion Poll by YouGov, 5–8 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.4% 24.7–28.3% 24.2–28.8% 23.8–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
Venstre 19.5% 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.5% 15.2–19.9% 14.5–20.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–11.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 5.9–10.4%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–8.0% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 3.8–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.2% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 44–51 43–51 41–51 41–52
Venstre 34 31 27–37 27–37 27–37 26–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 17–20 16–21 16–21 16–24
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–17 13–19 13–19 12–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 13 12–17 12–18 11–19 10–19
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 0 9 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 8 6–9 6–9 6–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 5–11
Stram Kurs 0 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–10
Liberal Alliance 13 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–9
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 4% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 96%  
43 2% 95%  
44 21% 94%  
45 5% 72%  
46 4% 68%  
47 0.7% 64% Last Result
48 10% 63%  
49 28% 53% Median
50 7% 25%  
51 17% 18%  
52 1.1% 1.5%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.7% 99.7%  
27 27% 99.0%  
28 6% 72%  
29 2% 67%  
30 13% 65%  
31 5% 52% Median
32 3% 47%  
33 19% 44%  
34 4% 24% Last Result
35 0.3% 20%  
36 0.2% 20%  
37 20% 20%  
38 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 6% 99.6%  
17 6% 93%  
18 8% 87%  
19 22% 79%  
20 51% 57% Median
21 4% 6%  
22 0.5% 2%  
23 0.3% 1.0%  
24 0.3% 0.7%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 34% 98%  
14 12% 64%  
15 23% 52% Median
16 18% 29%  
17 1.4% 11%  
18 2% 9%  
19 6% 7%  
20 0.1% 0.9%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 40% 97%  
13 7% 56% Median
14 29% 50% Last Result
15 3% 21%  
16 8% 18%  
17 5% 10%  
18 0.5% 5%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.9%  
10 27% 98%  
11 45% 70% Median
12 9% 26%  
13 3% 17%  
14 10% 14%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.2% 100%  
7 4% 98.8%  
8 18% 94%  
9 43% 76% Median
10 5% 33%  
11 1.1% 28%  
12 27% 27%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 26% 99.8%  
7 4% 74%  
8 55% 70% Median
9 10% 14% Last Result
10 1.0% 4%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 2% 99.4% Last Result
7 34% 98%  
8 32% 64% Median
9 3% 32%  
10 27% 30%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 5% 99.9%  
6 37% 95%  
7 47% 58% Median
8 10% 12%  
9 0.2% 2%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 17% 99.6%  
5 57% 82% Median
6 16% 25%  
7 7% 9%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 95 80% 89–100 89–101 89–101 89–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 76 87 33% 81–92 81–92 81–93 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 77 84 6% 79–87 79–90 78–91 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0% 75–86 74–86 74–86 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 68 76 0% 71–79 71–82 71–82 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 73 0% 69–78 69–78 69–81 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 74 0% 68–79 68–79 66–79 66–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 74 0% 68–79 68–79 66–79 66–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 74 0% 68–79 68–79 66–79 66–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 74 0% 68–79 68–79 66–79 66–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 63 0% 60–70 60–70 57–70 57–70
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 63 0% 60–70 60–70 57–70 57–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 54–62 54–62 54–62 53–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 44 0% 42–50 41–50 41–50 39–50
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 37–45 35–45 35–45 33–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 27–37 27–37 27–37 26–37

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 20% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 80% Majority
91 2% 80%  
92 2% 78%  
93 5% 76%  
94 0.8% 71%  
95 27% 70%  
96 18% 43% Median
97 6% 25%  
98 6% 19%  
99 2% 13%  
100 3% 11%  
101 9% 9%  
102 0% 0.4%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 20% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 80%  
83 2% 80%  
84 0.2% 78%  
85 3% 77%  
86 0.5% 74%  
87 33% 74%  
88 5% 41% Median
89 3% 36%  
90 17% 33% Majority
91 0.5% 16%  
92 11% 16%  
93 5% 5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9% Last Result
78 3% 99.9%  
79 21% 96%  
80 0.8% 75%  
81 2% 74%  
82 2% 72%  
83 2% 70%  
84 32% 68%  
85 20% 36% Median
86 2% 16%  
87 7% 14%  
88 0.7% 7%  
89 0.2% 7%  
90 1.5% 6% Majority
91 5% 5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0% 99.6%  
74 9% 99.6%  
75 3% 91%  
76 2% 89%  
77 6% 87%  
78 6% 81%  
79 18% 75%  
80 27% 57% Median
81 0.8% 30%  
82 5% 29%  
83 2% 24%  
84 2% 22%  
85 0.4% 20%  
86 20% 20%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.8%  
71 20% 98%  
72 2% 78%  
73 3% 76%  
74 2% 73%  
75 3% 71%  
76 33% 68%  
77 0.8% 35% Median
78 6% 34%  
79 21% 29%  
80 1.1% 8%  
81 0.6% 7%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 1.3% 100%  
67 0.2% 98.7%  
68 0.2% 98.5%  
69 21% 98%  
70 3% 77%  
71 4% 75%  
72 0.8% 71%  
73 33% 70%  
74 4% 37%  
75 2% 33% Median
76 7% 31%  
77 0.5% 24%  
78 19% 24%  
79 0.3% 5%  
80 1.0% 5%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 4% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 2% 89%  
70 8% 88%  
71 2% 80%  
72 19% 79%  
73 5% 60% Median
74 29% 55%  
75 0.5% 26%  
76 5% 26%  
77 0.8% 21%  
78 0.5% 20%  
79 20% 20%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 4% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 2% 89%  
70 8% 88%  
71 2% 80%  
72 19% 79%  
73 5% 60% Median
74 29% 55%  
75 0.5% 26%  
76 5% 26%  
77 0.8% 21%  
78 0.5% 20%  
79 20% 20%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 4% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 2% 89%  
70 8% 88%  
71 2% 80%  
72 19% 79%  
73 5% 60% Median
74 29% 55%  
75 0.5% 26%  
76 5% 26%  
77 0.8% 21%  
78 0.5% 20%  
79 20% 20%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 4% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 2% 89%  
70 8% 88%  
71 2% 80%  
72 19% 79%  
73 5% 60% Median
74 29% 55%  
75 0.4% 26%  
76 5% 26%  
77 0.8% 21%  
78 0.5% 20%  
79 20% 20%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 4% 100%  
58 0.1% 96%  
59 0.4% 96%  
60 6% 96%  
61 3% 90%  
62 34% 87%  
63 18% 53%  
64 2% 35% Median
65 5% 33%  
66 5% 28%  
67 2% 23%  
68 1.1% 21%  
69 0% 20%  
70 20% 20%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 4% 100%  
58 0.1% 96%  
59 0.4% 96%  
60 6% 96%  
61 3% 90%  
62 34% 87%  
63 18% 53%  
64 2% 35% Median
65 5% 33%  
66 5% 28%  
67 2% 23%  
68 1.1% 21%  
69 0% 20%  
70 20% 20%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 22% 99.2%  
55 3% 77% Last Result
56 3% 74%  
57 4% 71%  
58 1.4% 67%  
59 3% 65%  
60 32% 62% Median
61 0.3% 30%  
62 28% 30%  
63 1.3% 2%  
64 0.4% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.9% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.0%  
41 4% 98.7%  
42 27% 94%  
43 8% 68%  
44 28% 60% Median
45 3% 31%  
46 3% 28%  
47 1.2% 25%  
48 2% 24%  
49 0.1% 22%  
50 21% 22%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
54 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.4% 99.9%  
34 0.7% 99.5%  
35 4% 98.8%  
36 3% 95%  
37 36% 92%  
38 4% 56%  
39 5% 52% Median
40 21% 47% Last Result
41 2% 26%  
42 2% 23%  
43 0.2% 22%  
44 0.1% 22%  
45 21% 21%  
46 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.7% 99.7%  
27 27% 99.0%  
28 6% 72%  
29 2% 67%  
30 13% 65%  
31 5% 52% Median
32 3% 47%  
33 19% 44%  
34 4% 24% Last Result
35 0.3% 20%  
36 0.2% 20%  
37 20% 20%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations