Opinion Poll by Norstat, 10 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 27.3% | 25.7–29.0% | 25.3–29.5% | 24.9–29.9% | 24.1–30.8% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 16.5% | 15.2–17.9% | 14.8–18.3% | 14.5–18.7% | 13.9–19.4% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.4% | 10.3–12.7% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.8–13.4% | 9.3–14.0% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.5–11.7% | 9.2–12.1% | 8.9–12.4% | 8.4–13.0% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.2–9.2% | 5.8–9.7% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.5% | 5.0–7.7% | 4.6–8.2% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.7–7.4% | 4.3–7.8% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–5.0% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.9% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–4.0% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.8% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.4% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 50 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 44–55 |
| Venstre | 34 | 29 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–23 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 6 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 0–6 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 10% | 97% | |
| 47 | 10% | 87% | Last Result |
| 48 | 4% | 77% | |
| 49 | 11% | 73% | |
| 50 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 51 | 21% | 49% | |
| 52 | 18% | 29% | |
| 53 | 9% | 10% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 89% | |
| 28 | 25% | 86% | |
| 29 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 47% | |
| 31 | 23% | 37% | |
| 32 | 11% | 14% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 3% | 90% | |
| 20 | 20% | 88% | |
| 21 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 48% | |
| 23 | 28% | 33% | |
| 24 | 5% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 17% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 24% | 82% | |
| 18 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 25% | 32% | |
| 20 | 5% | 8% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 11 | 12% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 7% | 87% | |
| 13 | 28% | 81% | |
| 14 | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 31% | |
| 16 | 7% | 7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 44% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 41% | |
| 12 | 25% | 28% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 21% | 95% | |
| 10 | 13% | 74% | |
| 11 | 33% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 28% | |
| 13 | 11% | 12% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 20% | 98% | |
| 6 | 42% | 78% | Median |
| 7 | 30% | 36% | |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 6% | 97% | |
| 6 | 44% | 91% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 47% | |
| 8 | 22% | 23% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 4 | 32% | 94% | |
| 5 | 28% | 62% | Median |
| 6 | 34% | 34% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 26% | 28% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 2% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet | 85 | 98 | 100% | 95–101 | 95–101 | 93–102 | 93–104 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 91 | 85% | 89–94 | 88–96 | 88–96 | 87–99 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 87 | 22% | 85–91 | 85–92 | 83–92 | 81–93 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 0.1% | 79–85 | 78–87 | 77–87 | 75–88 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 77 | 0% | 74–80 | 74–80 | 73–82 | 71–82 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 73 | 0% | 70–77 | 69–78 | 69–78 | 68–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 70–75 | 69–76 | 69–77 | 66–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 70–75 | 69–76 | 69–77 | 63–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 70–75 | 69–76 | 69–77 | 66–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 73 | 0% | 70–75 | 69–76 | 69–77 | 63–77 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 68 | 0% | 66–71 | 64–71 | 64–73 | 62–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 68 | 0% | 66–71 | 64–71 | 64–72 | 62–73 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 55–65 | 55–66 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 42–52 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 40 | 0% | 39–43 | 38–44 | 36–45 | 35–45 |
| Venstre | 34 | 29 | 0% | 26–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 95 | 8% | 96% | |
| 96 | 29% | 88% | |
| 97 | 3% | 59% | |
| 98 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 99 | 14% | 38% | |
| 100 | 14% | 24% | |
| 101 | 7% | 10% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 5% | 91% | |
| 90 | 27% | 85% | Majority |
| 91 | 14% | 58% | |
| 92 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 93 | 8% | 35% | |
| 94 | 19% | 27% | |
| 95 | 2% | 8% | |
| 96 | 5% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 85 | 5% | 95% | |
| 86 | 32% | 90% | |
| 87 | 24% | 58% | |
| 88 | 9% | 33% | Median |
| 89 | 3% | 25% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 22% | Majority |
| 91 | 15% | 21% | |
| 92 | 6% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 96% | |
| 79 | 20% | 94% | |
| 80 | 12% | 74% | |
| 81 | 32% | 62% | |
| 82 | 8% | 30% | Median |
| 83 | 3% | 22% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 85 | 13% | 19% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 87 | 5% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 74 | 7% | 96% | |
| 75 | 14% | 90% | |
| 76 | 14% | 76% | Median |
| 77 | 18% | 62% | |
| 78 | 3% | 44% | |
| 79 | 29% | 41% | |
| 80 | 8% | 12% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 91% | |
| 71 | 6% | 89% | |
| 72 | 11% | 84% | |
| 73 | 26% | 73% | |
| 74 | 2% | 46% | Median |
| 75 | 19% | 45% | |
| 76 | 15% | 26% | |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 7% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 22% | 94% | |
| 71 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 63% | |
| 73 | 35% | 59% | |
| 74 | 8% | 24% | |
| 75 | 7% | 16% | |
| 76 | 5% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 22% | 93% | |
| 71 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 62% | |
| 73 | 35% | 59% | |
| 74 | 9% | 24% | |
| 75 | 7% | 15% | |
| 76 | 5% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 22% | 94% | |
| 71 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 61% | |
| 73 | 35% | 57% | |
| 74 | 8% | 22% | |
| 75 | 5% | 14% | |
| 76 | 5% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 22% | 93% | |
| 71 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 60% | |
| 73 | 35% | 56% | |
| 74 | 9% | 22% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 5% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 19% | 91% | |
| 67 | 13% | 72% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 59% | |
| 69 | 25% | 48% | |
| 70 | 10% | 24% | |
| 71 | 9% | 14% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 19% | 90% | |
| 67 | 13% | 72% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 59% | |
| 69 | 25% | 48% | |
| 70 | 11% | 23% | |
| 71 | 9% | 12% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 8% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 58 | 9% | 88% | |
| 59 | 7% | 79% | |
| 60 | 31% | 72% | Median |
| 61 | 23% | 41% | |
| 62 | 3% | 18% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 64 | 9% | 14% | |
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 13% | 95% | |
| 46 | 35% | 82% | Median |
| 47 | 27% | 47% | |
| 48 | 8% | 20% | |
| 49 | 4% | 12% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 51 | 7% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 37% | 95% | |
| 40 | 35% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 4% | 23% | |
| 42 | 8% | 19% | |
| 43 | 3% | 11% | |
| 44 | 5% | 8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 89% | |
| 28 | 25% | 86% | |
| 29 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 47% | |
| 31 | 23% | 37% | |
| 32 | 11% | 14% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1207
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.40%