Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 9–11 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.2% |
26.4–30.1% |
25.9–30.6% |
25.5–31.1% |
24.7–32.0% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
19.1% |
17.6–20.8% |
17.2–21.3% |
16.8–21.7% |
16.1–22.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
12.0% |
10.7–13.4% |
10.4–13.8% |
10.1–14.1% |
9.5–14.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.6% |
7.4–12.2% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.9% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.1% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–9.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.8–2.9% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
41% |
97% |
|
47 |
2% |
55% |
Last Result |
48 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
49 |
4% |
46% |
|
50 |
3% |
42% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
40% |
|
52 |
32% |
39% |
|
53 |
4% |
7% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
29 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
31 |
5% |
96% |
|
32 |
2% |
90% |
|
33 |
2% |
88% |
|
34 |
8% |
85% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.2% |
78% |
|
36 |
2% |
76% |
|
37 |
40% |
74% |
Median |
38 |
0.9% |
34% |
|
39 |
32% |
33% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
6% |
98% |
|
20 |
72% |
92% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
19% |
|
22 |
3% |
14% |
|
23 |
5% |
12% |
|
24 |
4% |
7% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
15 |
32% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
8% |
67% |
|
17 |
7% |
59% |
|
18 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
19 |
42% |
47% |
|
20 |
2% |
5% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
3% |
96% |
|
12 |
48% |
94% |
Median |
13 |
36% |
46% |
|
14 |
8% |
10% |
|
15 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
35% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
7% |
64% |
|
12 |
4% |
57% |
|
13 |
49% |
54% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
5% |
|
15 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
7 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
9% |
98% |
|
9 |
80% |
89% |
Median |
10 |
5% |
9% |
|
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
44% |
97% |
|
6 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
36% |
43% |
|
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
36% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
50% |
63% |
Median |
7 |
10% |
13% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
95% |
|
2 |
0% |
95% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
4 |
52% |
95% |
Median |
5 |
36% |
43% |
|
6 |
6% |
7% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
45% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
55% |
|
2 |
0% |
55% |
|
3 |
0% |
55% |
|
4 |
46% |
55% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
4% |
|
4 |
3% |
4% |
|
5 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
96 |
99.9% |
95–100 |
94–103 |
93–104 |
91–107 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
90 |
88% |
89–94 |
88–96 |
87–99 |
84–99 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
84 |
4% |
82–86 |
82–89 |
80–90 |
79–93 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
78 |
0% |
77–80 |
76–83 |
73–84 |
72–87 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
79 |
0% |
75–80 |
72–81 |
71–82 |
68–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
73 |
0% |
71–76 |
70–78 |
69–80 |
68–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–75 |
70–77 |
68–78 |
67–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
75 |
0% |
71–75 |
70–77 |
68–78 |
67–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
75 |
0% |
70–75 |
70–77 |
68–78 |
65–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
71 |
0% |
68–75 |
66–75 |
65–75 |
64–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
71 |
0% |
68–75 |
66–75 |
65–75 |
64–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
71 |
0% |
68–75 |
66–75 |
65–75 |
64–77 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
60 |
0% |
58–65 |
58–67 |
58–67 |
55–68 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
51 |
0% |
47–55 |
44–55 |
44–55 |
43–55 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
46 |
0% |
40–48 |
39–48 |
37–48 |
37–50 |
Venstre |
34 |
37 |
0% |
32–39 |
31–39 |
29–39 |
28–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
91 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
93 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
94 |
3% |
97% |
|
95 |
32% |
94% |
|
96 |
46% |
62% |
|
97 |
3% |
16% |
Median |
98 |
2% |
14% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
100 |
4% |
11% |
|
101 |
2% |
8% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
103 |
2% |
5% |
|
104 |
2% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
86 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
3% |
98% |
|
88 |
3% |
95% |
|
89 |
4% |
92% |
|
90 |
72% |
88% |
Majority |
91 |
0.7% |
15% |
Median |
92 |
2% |
15% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
94 |
4% |
12% |
|
95 |
3% |
8% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
82 |
33% |
97% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
64% |
|
84 |
49% |
63% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
14% |
Median |
86 |
4% |
13% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
88 |
2% |
9% |
|
89 |
4% |
7% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
4% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
38% |
94% |
|
78 |
41% |
56% |
|
79 |
2% |
15% |
Median |
80 |
4% |
13% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
9% |
|
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
74 |
2% |
94% |
|
75 |
4% |
92% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
77 |
2% |
88% |
|
78 |
3% |
86% |
|
79 |
46% |
84% |
|
80 |
32% |
38% |
Median |
81 |
3% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
4% |
97% |
|
71 |
41% |
93% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
52% |
|
73 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
45% |
|
75 |
32% |
43% |
|
76 |
2% |
11% |
|
77 |
4% |
9% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
80 |
2% |
4% |
|
81 |
2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
70 |
5% |
96% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
73 |
5% |
89% |
|
74 |
4% |
84% |
|
75 |
73% |
80% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
6% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
70 |
5% |
96% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
73 |
5% |
89% |
|
74 |
4% |
84% |
|
75 |
73% |
80% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
6% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
70 |
6% |
95% |
|
71 |
2% |
89% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
73 |
5% |
87% |
|
74 |
3% |
82% |
|
75 |
73% |
79% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
6% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
3% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
68 |
5% |
93% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
71 |
41% |
86% |
|
72 |
3% |
45% |
Median |
73 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
74 |
6% |
41% |
|
75 |
33% |
35% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
3% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
68 |
5% |
93% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
71 |
41% |
86% |
|
72 |
3% |
45% |
Median |
73 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
74 |
6% |
41% |
|
75 |
33% |
35% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
3% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
2% |
93% |
|
68 |
5% |
92% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
70 |
2% |
87% |
|
71 |
41% |
84% |
|
72 |
3% |
43% |
Median |
73 |
0.8% |
40% |
|
74 |
5% |
39% |
|
75 |
33% |
34% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
43% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
55% |
|
60 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
61 |
1.3% |
47% |
|
62 |
4% |
45% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
42% |
|
64 |
2% |
40% |
|
65 |
32% |
38% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
67 |
4% |
6% |
|
68 |
2% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
4% |
98% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
46 |
2% |
94% |
|
47 |
2% |
92% |
|
48 |
3% |
90% |
|
49 |
7% |
87% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
51 |
43% |
79% |
|
52 |
2% |
36% |
Median |
53 |
1.1% |
34% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.6% |
33% |
|
55 |
32% |
32% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
39 |
2% |
96% |
|
40 |
5% |
94% |
Last Result |
41 |
3% |
89% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
86% |
|
43 |
5% |
85% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
80% |
|
45 |
4% |
79% |
|
46 |
41% |
75% |
Median |
47 |
0.8% |
33% |
|
48 |
31% |
33% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
29 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
31 |
5% |
96% |
|
32 |
2% |
90% |
|
33 |
2% |
88% |
|
34 |
8% |
85% |
Last Result |
35 |
1.2% |
78% |
|
36 |
2% |
76% |
|
37 |
40% |
74% |
Median |
38 |
0.9% |
34% |
|
39 |
32% |
33% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 9–11 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.15%