Opinion Poll by YouGov, 7–11 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.5–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
Venstre 19.5% 17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.5% 15.3–19.9% 14.6–20.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 4.0–7.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 47–50 46–50 44–50 44–54
Venstre 34 28 28–33 28–34 27–35 26–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 19 19–21 19–22 19–23 18–24
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 13–16 11–16 11–16 11–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–15 12–15 12–15 10–17
Radikale Venstre 8 9 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–10 8–11 8–13 7–13
Alternativet 9 8 6–8 6–9 6–9 6–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 7 7–8 6–8 6–10 5–11
Stram Kurs 0 8 8–9 7–9 6–9 6–9
Liberal Alliance 13 6 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 3% 99.7%  
45 2% 97%  
46 0.7% 95%  
47 8% 95% Last Result
48 0.7% 86%  
49 6% 86%  
50 78% 80% Median
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.1% 0.8%  
53 0% 0.7%  
54 0.3% 0.7%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 2% 99.8%  
27 0.7% 98%  
28 76% 97% Median
29 0.3% 21%  
30 8% 21%  
31 0.8% 12%  
32 1.1% 12%  
33 2% 10%  
34 5% 9% Last Result
35 3% 4%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 79% 98% Median
20 0.7% 19%  
21 12% 18%  
22 2% 6%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.7% 0.8%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 5% 99.8%  
12 2% 95%  
13 4% 93%  
14 4% 89% Last Result
15 0.7% 86%  
16 84% 85% Median
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0% 0.3%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 1.0% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.0%  
12 5% 98%  
13 11% 93%  
14 3% 82%  
15 77% 78% Median
16 0.5% 1.1%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 6% 99.9% Last Result
9 79% 94% Median
10 4% 16%  
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 3%  
13 1.2% 1.4%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100% Last Result
7 0.6% 99.9%  
8 10% 99.3%  
9 76% 90% Median
10 7% 14%  
11 3% 6%  
12 0.2% 3%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 13% 99.9%  
7 2% 87%  
8 78% 85% Median
9 5% 7% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 5% 98%  
7 81% 93% Median
8 9% 13%  
9 0.5% 4%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.9% 1.1%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.3% 100%  
6 4% 99.7%  
7 4% 95%  
8 77% 91% Median
9 14% 14%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0% 99.5%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 2% 99.5%  
5 7% 97%  
6 89% 90% Median
7 1.0% 1.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 98 92% 93–98 89–98 87–98 85–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 90 77% 84–90 80–90 80–90 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 89 0.5% 81–89 80–89 77–89 76–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 77 0.9% 77–82 77–86 77–88 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 81 0% 74–81 72–81 71–81 70–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 69 0% 69–75 69–77 69–79 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 69 0% 69–75 69–77 69–79 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 69 0% 69–75 69–77 69–79 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 69 0% 69–75 69–77 69–79 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 74 0% 70–74 69–74 68–75 64–78
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 62 0% 62–69 62–71 62–72 61–76
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 62 0% 62–69 62–71 62–72 61–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 57–59 56–59 54–62 54–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 43 0% 43–47 43–50 42–53 39–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 37 0% 37–43 37–44 37–48 35–48
Venstre 34 28 0% 28–33 28–34 27–35 26–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.9% 100% Last Result
86 0% 99.1%  
87 3% 99.1%  
88 0.1% 96%  
89 3% 96%  
90 0.3% 92% Majority
91 0.3% 92%  
92 0.6% 92%  
93 9% 91%  
94 4% 82%  
95 0.4% 79%  
96 0.6% 78%  
97 0.5% 78%  
98 77% 77% Median
99 0.1% 0.5%  
100 0.4% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.9% 100%  
80 4% 99.1%  
81 3% 95%  
82 0.3% 92%  
83 0.7% 92%  
84 2% 91%  
85 0.6% 89%  
86 2% 89%  
87 9% 87%  
88 0.2% 78%  
89 0.5% 78%  
90 77% 77% Median, Majority
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.9% 100%  
77 3% 99.0% Last Result
78 0.9% 96%  
79 0.2% 96%  
80 0.4% 95%  
81 5% 95%  
82 8% 90%  
83 1.0% 82%  
84 0.8% 81%  
85 0.4% 80%  
86 3% 79%  
87 0.3% 77%  
88 0.2% 77%  
89 76% 76% Median
90 0.1% 0.5% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.6%  
77 77% 99.5% Median
78 0.5% 23%  
79 0.6% 22%  
80 0.4% 22%  
81 4% 21%  
82 9% 18%  
83 0.6% 9%  
84 0.3% 8%  
85 0.3% 8%  
86 3% 8%  
87 0.1% 4%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0% 0.9%  
90 0.9% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9% Last Result
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.9% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.0%  
72 4% 96%  
73 2% 92%  
74 0.4% 90%  
75 1.3% 90%  
76 10% 88%  
77 0.6% 79%  
78 0.9% 78%  
79 0.4% 77%  
80 0.1% 77%  
81 76% 77% Median
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 76% 99.6% Median
70 0.4% 24%  
71 1.1% 23%  
72 0.3% 22%  
73 9% 22%  
74 2% 13%  
75 2% 12%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 4% 9%  
78 0.2% 5%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.9% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 76% 99.6% Median
70 0.4% 24%  
71 1.1% 23%  
72 0.3% 22%  
73 9% 22%  
74 2% 13%  
75 2% 12%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 4% 9%  
78 0.2% 5%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.9% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 76% 99.6% Median
70 0.4% 24%  
71 1.1% 23%  
72 0.3% 22%  
73 9% 22%  
74 2% 13%  
75 2% 12%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 4% 9%  
78 0.2% 5%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.9% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 76% 99.6% Median
70 0.4% 24%  
71 1.1% 23%  
72 0.3% 22%  
73 9% 22%  
74 2% 13%  
75 2% 12%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 4% 9%  
78 0.2% 5%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.9% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0.8% 100%  
65 0% 99.2%  
66 0% 99.2%  
67 1.0% 99.2%  
68 3% 98%  
69 4% 95%  
70 2% 91%  
71 8% 89%  
72 0.2% 81%  
73 0.3% 81%  
74 76% 80% Median
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.1% 0.8%  
78 0.3% 0.7%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.5% 99.7%  
62 76% 99.2% Median
63 0.4% 23%  
64 0.5% 23%  
65 10% 22%  
66 1.2% 12%  
67 0.3% 11%  
68 0.6% 11%  
69 2% 10%  
70 2% 9%  
71 3% 7%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.1% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.9%  
76 0.9% 0.9%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.5% 99.7%  
62 76% 99.2% Median
63 0.4% 23%  
64 0.5% 23%  
65 10% 22%  
66 1.2% 12%  
67 0.3% 11%  
68 0.6% 11%  
69 2% 10%  
70 2% 9%  
71 3% 7%  
72 2% 4%  
73 0.1% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.9%  
76 0.9% 0.9%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 4% 99.7%  
55 0.2% 95% Last Result
56 0.3% 95%  
57 5% 95%  
58 9% 89%  
59 76% 81% Median
60 0.3% 4%  
61 1.1% 4%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 1.5% 2%  
64 0.4% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.4% 99.0%  
42 2% 98.6%  
43 76% 97% Median
44 8% 20%  
45 0.4% 12%  
46 0.3% 12%  
47 2% 12%  
48 1.0% 9%  
49 0.2% 8%  
50 3% 8%  
51 0.7% 5%  
52 0.5% 4%  
53 3% 3% Last Result
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 0.3% 99.2%  
37 78% 98.9% Median
38 8% 21%  
39 1.0% 13%  
40 0.3% 12% Last Result
41 0.5% 12%  
42 1.1% 11%  
43 1.2% 10%  
44 5% 9%  
45 0.2% 4%  
46 0.1% 4%  
47 1.4% 4%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 2% 99.8%  
27 0.7% 98%  
28 76% 97% Median
29 0.3% 21%  
30 8% 21%  
31 0.8% 12%  
32 1.1% 12%  
33 2% 10%  
34 5% 9% Last Result
35 3% 4%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations