Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 10–12 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.5% |
26.7–30.4% |
26.2–30.9% |
25.8–31.4% |
24.9–32.3% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.6% |
17.1–20.3% |
16.7–20.7% |
16.3–21.2% |
15.6–22.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.6% |
10.3–13.0% |
10.0–13.3% |
9.7–13.7% |
9.2–14.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.9% |
8.7–11.2% |
8.4–11.5% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.5–8.7% |
5.1–9.3% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.3% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.3% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
98% |
Last Result |
48 |
33% |
97% |
|
49 |
3% |
65% |
|
50 |
7% |
62% |
|
51 |
39% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
15% |
|
53 |
3% |
10% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
55 |
2% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
57 |
3% |
3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
31 |
4% |
93% |
|
32 |
35% |
89% |
|
33 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
49% |
Last Result |
35 |
39% |
46% |
|
36 |
2% |
7% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
97% |
|
19 |
5% |
95% |
|
20 |
3% |
90% |
|
21 |
77% |
87% |
Median |
22 |
3% |
11% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
25 |
5% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
16 |
2% |
96% |
|
17 |
6% |
94% |
|
18 |
35% |
88% |
|
19 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
20 |
5% |
7% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
11 |
10% |
97% |
|
12 |
39% |
87% |
Median |
13 |
8% |
48% |
|
14 |
38% |
41% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
11 |
5% |
97% |
|
12 |
12% |
91% |
|
13 |
70% |
79% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
9% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
8% |
95% |
|
9 |
45% |
87% |
Median |
10 |
34% |
42% |
|
11 |
7% |
8% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
4 |
42% |
99.2% |
|
5 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
6 |
38% |
47% |
|
7 |
3% |
8% |
|
8 |
2% |
6% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
98% |
|
6 |
45% |
93% |
Median |
7 |
12% |
49% |
|
8 |
36% |
37% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
93% |
|
2 |
0% |
93% |
|
3 |
0% |
93% |
|
4 |
14% |
93% |
|
5 |
76% |
79% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
3% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
12% |
|
3 |
2% |
12% |
|
4 |
8% |
10% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
2% |
3% |
|
5 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
101 |
100% |
100–103 |
96–104 |
94–105 |
92–106 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
95 |
96% |
93–96 |
90–98 |
89–99 |
86–100 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
88 |
16% |
88–90 |
84–92 |
83–94 |
80–94 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
82 |
0.2% |
80–83 |
79–85 |
77–88 |
74–88 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
76 |
0% |
75–77 |
73–80 |
71–82 |
69–82 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
74 |
0% |
72–75 |
71–79 |
70–81 |
69–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
69 |
0% |
69–71 |
67–74 |
66–76 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
69 |
0% |
69–71 |
67–73 |
66–76 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
69 |
0% |
69–71 |
67–74 |
66–76 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
69 |
0% |
69–71 |
67–73 |
66–76 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
69 |
0% |
67–71 |
65–73 |
62–74 |
62–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
69 |
0% |
67–71 |
65–72 |
62–73 |
62–77 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
64 |
0% |
61–65 |
61–66 |
59–68 |
55–69 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
48 |
0% |
45–50 |
44–51 |
44–52 |
44–56 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
43 |
0% |
39–44 |
39–46 |
39–46 |
38–49 |
Venstre |
34 |
33 |
0% |
31–35 |
28–37 |
28–39 |
28–39 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
94 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
95 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
96 |
2% |
96% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
98 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
100 |
3% |
91% |
|
101 |
69% |
88% |
Median |
102 |
8% |
19% |
|
103 |
2% |
11% |
|
104 |
4% |
9% |
|
105 |
4% |
5% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
88 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
96% |
Majority |
91 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
93 |
34% |
93% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
58% |
|
95 |
47% |
57% |
Median |
96 |
4% |
10% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
99 |
4% |
4% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
97% |
|
85 |
2% |
95% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
88 |
73% |
91% |
Median |
89 |
2% |
18% |
|
90 |
11% |
16% |
Majority |
91 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
94 |
3% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
77 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
79 |
3% |
96% |
|
80 |
32% |
93% |
|
81 |
4% |
61% |
|
82 |
41% |
57% |
Median |
83 |
10% |
15% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
88 |
3% |
3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
96% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
75 |
39% |
93% |
|
76 |
41% |
54% |
Median |
77 |
5% |
13% |
|
78 |
2% |
8% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
82 |
4% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
4% |
95% |
|
72 |
2% |
91% |
|
73 |
8% |
89% |
Median |
74 |
69% |
81% |
|
75 |
3% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
79 |
2% |
6% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
81 |
2% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
Median |
69 |
74% |
91% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
18% |
|
71 |
7% |
17% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
73 |
3% |
8% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
Median |
69 |
75% |
91% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
16% |
|
71 |
7% |
15% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
Median |
69 |
74% |
91% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
18% |
|
71 |
7% |
17% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
73 |
3% |
8% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
Median |
69 |
75% |
91% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
16% |
|
71 |
7% |
15% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
3% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
96% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
92% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
90% |
Median |
69 |
75% |
89% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
71 |
7% |
13% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
3% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
65 |
4% |
96% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
67 |
3% |
92% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
89% |
Median |
69 |
74% |
88% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
71 |
7% |
13% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
61 |
32% |
96% |
|
62 |
3% |
64% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
60% |
|
64 |
48% |
59% |
Median |
65 |
4% |
11% |
|
66 |
2% |
6% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
5% |
94% |
|
46 |
4% |
89% |
|
47 |
2% |
85% |
Median |
48 |
69% |
84% |
|
49 |
2% |
14% |
|
50 |
6% |
12% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
52 |
2% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
9% |
98% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
90% |
Last Result |
41 |
7% |
89% |
|
42 |
32% |
82% |
Median |
43 |
3% |
50% |
|
44 |
39% |
48% |
|
45 |
3% |
8% |
|
46 |
4% |
6% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
31 |
4% |
93% |
|
32 |
35% |
89% |
|
33 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
49% |
Last Result |
35 |
39% |
46% |
|
36 |
2% |
7% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 10–12 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.48%