Opinion Poll by YouGov, 8–12 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
29.0% |
27.2–31.0% |
26.7–31.5% |
26.3–32.0% |
25.4–32.9% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
17.2% |
15.7–18.9% |
15.3–19.3% |
15.0–19.7% |
14.3–20.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.6% |
9.6–13.0% |
9.4–13.4% |
8.8–14.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.3–9.7% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.6–8.3% |
5.4–8.6% |
5.0–9.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
6.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.6–8.3% |
5.4–8.6% |
5.0–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.9% |
4.7–7.2% |
4.5–7.5% |
4.1–8.0% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
3.1–5.7% |
2.8–6.2% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–4.0% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.6% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
51% |
99.2% |
Last Result, Median |
48 |
0.5% |
49% |
|
49 |
9% |
48% |
|
50 |
21% |
39% |
|
51 |
2% |
18% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
53 |
6% |
16% |
|
54 |
6% |
9% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
20% |
95% |
|
29 |
3% |
75% |
|
30 |
7% |
72% |
|
31 |
4% |
65% |
|
32 |
2% |
61% |
|
33 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0% |
2% |
|
38 |
2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
4% |
97% |
|
18 |
56% |
92% |
Median |
19 |
1.3% |
36% |
|
20 |
4% |
35% |
|
21 |
7% |
31% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
24% |
|
23 |
20% |
23% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
2% |
98% |
|
11 |
4% |
96% |
|
12 |
12% |
92% |
|
13 |
72% |
80% |
Median |
14 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
5% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
5% |
95% |
|
11 |
4% |
90% |
|
12 |
25% |
86% |
|
13 |
3% |
60% |
|
14 |
5% |
58% |
|
15 |
51% |
53% |
Median |
16 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
11 |
26% |
96% |
|
12 |
9% |
71% |
|
13 |
58% |
61% |
Median |
14 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
7% |
96% |
|
10 |
7% |
90% |
|
11 |
58% |
83% |
Median |
12 |
23% |
25% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
23% |
98.8% |
|
7 |
55% |
76% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
20% |
|
9 |
10% |
14% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
6 |
11% |
97% |
|
7 |
59% |
86% |
Median |
8 |
7% |
27% |
|
9 |
19% |
20% |
Last Result |
10 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
9% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
72% |
89% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
17% |
|
9 |
4% |
11% |
|
10 |
7% |
8% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
92% |
|
2 |
0% |
92% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
4 |
76% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
12% |
16% |
|
6 |
3% |
4% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
95 |
99.7% |
92–96 |
90–97 |
90–100 |
90–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
88 |
6% |
86–89 |
84–90 |
84–93 |
82–95 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
80 |
0.3% |
80–84 |
78–87 |
78–88 |
77–89 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
80 |
0% |
79–83 |
78–85 |
75–85 |
72–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
73 |
0% |
73–78 |
72–80 |
71–81 |
70–82 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
75 |
0% |
73–77 |
72–77 |
72–80 |
70–81 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
70–74 |
69–77 |
68–79 |
66–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
70–74 |
69–77 |
68–79 |
66–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
70–74 |
69–77 |
68–79 |
66–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
73 |
0% |
70–74 |
69–77 |
68–79 |
66–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
66 |
0% |
62–67 |
60–68 |
60–68 |
58–70 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
66 |
0% |
62–67 |
60–68 |
60–68 |
58–70 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
62 |
0% |
62–65 |
60–65 |
59–66 |
57–69 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
48 |
0% |
43–48 |
42–48 |
39–50 |
38–52 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
44 |
0% |
39–44 |
37–45 |
37–46 |
36–47 |
Venstre |
34 |
33 |
0% |
28–33 |
27–34 |
27–34 |
26–38 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
6% |
99.7% |
Majority |
91 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
92 |
4% |
94% |
|
93 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
95 |
75% |
87% |
Median |
96 |
4% |
12% |
|
97 |
4% |
8% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
5% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
86 |
21% |
91% |
|
87 |
3% |
70% |
|
88 |
51% |
67% |
Median |
89 |
10% |
16% |
|
90 |
2% |
6% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
95 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
80 |
55% |
94% |
Median |
81 |
1.4% |
39% |
|
82 |
2% |
38% |
|
83 |
19% |
35% |
|
84 |
6% |
16% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
86 |
3% |
9% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
88 |
4% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
78 |
4% |
96% |
|
79 |
4% |
92% |
|
80 |
75% |
88% |
Median |
81 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
12% |
|
83 |
4% |
11% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
85 |
6% |
6% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
5% |
97% |
|
73 |
51% |
92% |
Median |
74 |
22% |
41% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
19% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
77 |
6% |
17% |
|
78 |
3% |
11% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
80 |
4% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
3% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
5% |
98% |
|
73 |
19% |
93% |
|
74 |
5% |
74% |
|
75 |
54% |
69% |
Median |
76 |
3% |
15% |
|
77 |
8% |
12% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
81 |
2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
73 |
73% |
86% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
87% |
|
73 |
73% |
86% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
73 |
73% |
86% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
87% |
|
73 |
73% |
86% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
5% |
98% |
|
61 |
3% |
94% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
63 |
3% |
90% |
|
64 |
2% |
87% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
85% |
|
66 |
54% |
85% |
Median |
67 |
24% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
6% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
5% |
98% |
|
61 |
3% |
93% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
63 |
3% |
90% |
|
64 |
2% |
87% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
85% |
|
66 |
54% |
85% |
Median |
67 |
24% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
6% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
61 |
2% |
95% |
|
62 |
70% |
93% |
Median |
63 |
7% |
23% |
|
64 |
4% |
16% |
|
65 |
8% |
12% |
|
66 |
2% |
4% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
2% |
98% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
42 |
4% |
96% |
|
43 |
3% |
91% |
|
44 |
18% |
88% |
|
45 |
5% |
71% |
|
46 |
7% |
66% |
|
47 |
4% |
59% |
|
48 |
50% |
55% |
Median |
49 |
2% |
5% |
|
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
38 |
3% |
94% |
|
39 |
3% |
92% |
|
40 |
19% |
89% |
Last Result |
41 |
7% |
70% |
|
42 |
2% |
63% |
|
43 |
3% |
61% |
|
44 |
50% |
57% |
Median |
45 |
4% |
7% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
20% |
95% |
|
29 |
3% |
75% |
|
30 |
7% |
72% |
|
31 |
4% |
65% |
|
32 |
2% |
61% |
|
33 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0% |
2% |
|
38 |
2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–12 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 964
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%