Opinion Poll by Epinion, 11–13 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.1% 25.7–28.6% 25.3–29.1% 25.0–29.4% 24.3–30.1%
Venstre 19.5% 18.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.8–20.1% 16.6–20.4% 16.0–21.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 11.6% 10.6–12.7% 10.4–13.0% 10.1–13.3% 9.7–13.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.3–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.7–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.4% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.6–5.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 45–52 45–52 44–52 44–52
Venstre 34 32 30–34 29–36 27–36 27–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 20 19–23 18–23 17–23 17–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 15–18 15–18 15–19 14–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 13 11–15 11–16 11–17 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–9 4–9 4–9 4–9
Alternativet 9 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 4 4–5 4–6 0–6 0–6
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 2% 99.6%  
45 12% 97%  
46 2% 85%  
47 21% 83% Last Result
48 14% 62% Median
49 31% 48%  
50 2% 17%  
51 1.0% 14%  
52 13% 13%  
53 0.4% 0.5%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 3% 100%  
28 1.0% 97%  
29 5% 96%  
30 14% 92%  
31 15% 78%  
32 15% 63% Median
33 14% 48%  
34 27% 34% Last Result
35 2% 7%  
36 5% 6%  
37 0.4% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 3% 99.9%  
18 4% 97%  
19 23% 93%  
20 26% 70% Median
21 14% 44%  
22 20% 31%  
23 9% 11%  
24 0.6% 2%  
25 0.5% 1.2%  
26 0.7% 0.7%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
15 39% 99.0%  
16 23% 60% Median
17 20% 37%  
18 14% 17%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.5% 0.5%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.8%  
12 9% 99.1%  
13 21% 90%  
14 8% 70%  
15 18% 62% Median
16 26% 43%  
17 2% 17%  
18 12% 15%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.7% 100%  
11 17% 99.2%  
12 4% 82%  
13 41% 78% Median
14 9% 37%  
15 23% 28%  
16 0.8% 5%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 3% 99.8% Last Result
7 59% 97% Median
8 5% 38%  
9 31% 33%  
10 0.4% 2%  
11 1.2% 1.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 5% 100%  
5 3% 95%  
6 30% 92%  
7 41% 62% Median
8 0.8% 21%  
9 20% 20%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 40% 99.5%  
6 45% 59% Median
7 12% 14%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.1% 98%  
4 41% 98%  
5 23% 57% Median
6 32% 35%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 50% 97% Median
5 41% 47%  
6 6% 6%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 99 100% 95–101 95–102 95–102 92–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 94 89% 89–95 89–95 89–96 84–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 86 0.6% 82–88 81–89 81–89 80–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 80 0% 76–83 75–83 75–83 73–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 74–80 73–80 73–80 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 77 0% 73–80 71–80 71–80 68–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 67–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 67–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 67–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 72 0% 70–75 68–75 67–76 67–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 67 0% 66–71 64–71 63–72 62–74
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 67 0% 66–71 64–71 63–72 62–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 59–65 58–65 56–65 55–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 47 0% 45–50 43–50 42–50 42–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 37–41 36–43 36–44 36–46
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–34 29–36 27–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100% Majority
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.9% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.1%  
94 0.3% 98.7%  
95 23% 98%  
96 1.4% 76%  
97 5% 74%  
98 6% 70% Median
99 34% 64%  
100 4% 30%  
101 21% 26%  
102 4% 5%  
103 1.0% 1.4%  
104 0.1% 0.4%  
105 0.3% 0.3%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.7% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.1%  
87 0.2% 99.1%  
88 0.6% 98.9%  
89 10% 98%  
90 16% 89% Majority
91 8% 72%  
92 4% 65% Median
93 8% 61%  
94 27% 53%  
95 21% 26%  
96 4% 5%  
97 0.9% 1.4%  
98 0.1% 0.6%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.3% 0.3%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.6%  
81 9% 99.5%  
82 19% 91%  
83 0.5% 71%  
84 3% 71%  
85 6% 68% Median
86 38% 62%  
87 7% 24%  
88 12% 17%  
89 5% 5%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0.9% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.1%  
75 8% 98%  
76 5% 90%  
77 16% 85%  
78 6% 69%  
79 4% 63% Median
80 24% 59%  
81 18% 35%  
82 0.7% 17%  
83 15% 17%  
84 0.9% 1.4%  
85 0.1% 0.5%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 1.0% 99.6%  
73 4% 98.6%  
74 21% 95%  
75 4% 74% Median
76 34% 70%  
77 6% 36%  
78 5% 30%  
79 1.4% 26%  
80 23% 24%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.3%  
83 0.9% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.5% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.3% 99.1%  
70 0.2% 98.8%  
71 7% 98.6%  
72 0.7% 92%  
73 4% 91%  
74 3% 87%  
75 19% 83%  
76 6% 64% Median
77 20% 58%  
78 15% 37%  
79 0.4% 22%  
80 21% 22%  
81 0% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.3% 100%  
67 3% 99.7%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 95%  
70 23% 93%  
71 4% 70% Median
72 33% 66%  
73 5% 33%  
74 1.2% 28%  
75 23% 27%  
76 3% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.8%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.3% 100%  
67 3% 99.7%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 95%  
70 23% 93%  
71 4% 70% Median
72 33% 66%  
73 5% 33%  
74 1.2% 28%  
75 23% 27%  
76 3% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.8%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.3% 100%  
67 3% 99.7%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 95%  
70 23% 93%  
71 4% 70% Median
72 33% 66%  
73 5% 33%  
74 1.2% 28%  
75 23% 27%  
76 3% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.8%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.3% 100%  
67 3% 99.7%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 95%  
70 23% 93%  
71 4% 70% Median
72 33% 66%  
73 5% 33%  
74 1.2% 28%  
75 23% 27%  
76 3% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.8%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.4% 100%  
62 0.7% 99.6%  
63 3% 98.9%  
64 4% 96%  
65 1.0% 92%  
66 35% 91% Median
67 21% 56%  
68 7% 36%  
69 15% 29%  
70 1.3% 14%  
71 10% 13%  
72 1.1% 3%  
73 0.9% 1.5%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.4% 100%  
62 0.7% 99.6%  
63 3% 98.9%  
64 4% 96%  
65 1.0% 92%  
66 35% 91% Median
67 21% 56%  
68 7% 36%  
69 15% 29%  
70 1.3% 14%  
71 10% 13%  
72 1.1% 3%  
73 0.9% 1.5%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
56 2% 99.1%  
57 0.8% 97%  
58 4% 96%  
59 22% 92%  
60 16% 70%  
61 4% 54% Median
62 9% 50%  
63 2% 41%  
64 25% 39%  
65 13% 14%  
66 0.7% 0.9%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 4% 100%  
43 1.2% 96%  
44 3% 95%  
45 10% 92%  
46 15% 82% Median
47 48% 66%  
48 3% 18%  
49 2% 15%  
50 12% 14%  
51 0.9% 2%  
52 0.6% 0.8%  
53 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 5% 99.8%  
37 13% 95%  
38 5% 82%  
39 6% 77% Median
40 27% 71% Last Result
41 36% 45%  
42 2% 9%  
43 3% 7%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.5% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.6%  
47 0.4% 0.4%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 3% 100%  
28 1.0% 97%  
29 5% 96%  
30 14% 92%  
31 15% 78%  
32 15% 63% Median
33 14% 48%  
34 27% 34% Last Result
35 2% 7%  
36 5% 6%  
37 0.4% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations