Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 11–13 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.7% |
26.9–30.5% |
26.5–31.0% |
26.0–31.5% |
25.2–32.4% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
17.8% |
16.4–19.4% |
16.0–19.8% |
15.6–20.2% |
15.0–21.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.3% |
10.4–13.7% |
10.1–14.0% |
9.5–14.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.5% |
8.8–11.9% |
8.5–12.2% |
8.0–12.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.4% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.0% |
5.5–9.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.4–6.7% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.9–7.5% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.4% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.8–2.7% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
8% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
48 |
4% |
91% |
|
49 |
6% |
88% |
|
50 |
60% |
82% |
Median |
51 |
3% |
22% |
|
52 |
5% |
19% |
|
53 |
4% |
14% |
|
54 |
1.5% |
11% |
|
55 |
2% |
9% |
|
56 |
7% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
8% |
92% |
|
30 |
3% |
83% |
|
31 |
2% |
81% |
|
32 |
45% |
79% |
Median |
33 |
3% |
34% |
|
34 |
24% |
32% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
36 |
5% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
23% |
98% |
|
20 |
7% |
75% |
|
21 |
12% |
68% |
|
22 |
47% |
56% |
Median |
23 |
4% |
8% |
|
24 |
3% |
4% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
17 |
9% |
97% |
|
18 |
46% |
88% |
Median |
19 |
25% |
42% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
21 |
11% |
16% |
|
22 |
2% |
6% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
24 |
3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
12 |
7% |
98% |
|
13 |
65% |
91% |
Median |
14 |
13% |
26% |
|
15 |
11% |
13% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
10% |
98.8% |
|
11 |
6% |
89% |
|
12 |
3% |
83% |
|
13 |
66% |
80% |
Median |
14 |
9% |
14% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
16% |
99.4% |
|
10 |
79% |
83% |
Median |
11 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
39% |
98% |
|
7 |
53% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
4 |
20% |
99.4% |
|
5 |
11% |
79% |
|
6 |
43% |
68% |
Median |
7 |
25% |
25% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
84% |
|
2 |
0% |
84% |
|
3 |
0% |
84% |
|
4 |
68% |
84% |
Median |
5 |
11% |
16% |
|
6 |
5% |
5% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
8% |
|
4 |
6% |
8% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
7% |
|
2 |
0% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
7% |
|
4 |
7% |
7% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
100 |
100% |
96–106 |
95–110 |
95–110 |
95–110 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
94 |
98% |
92–102 |
90–106 |
90–106 |
88–106 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
87 |
13% |
85–92 |
83–96 |
83–96 |
82–96 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
81 |
8% |
80–86 |
79–92 |
78–92 |
76–92 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
76 |
0% |
73–83 |
72–85 |
70–85 |
70–85 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
75 |
0% |
69–79 |
65–80 |
65–80 |
65–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
71 |
0% |
69–74 |
65–75 |
65–75 |
65–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
71 |
0% |
69–74 |
65–75 |
65–75 |
65–77 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
71 |
0% |
66–73 |
65–74 |
65–74 |
65–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
71 |
0% |
66–72 |
65–74 |
65–74 |
64–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
71 |
0% |
66–73 |
65–74 |
65–74 |
65–76 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
71 |
0% |
65–72 |
65–74 |
65–74 |
64–76 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
63 |
0% |
59–70 |
58–70 |
58–70 |
57–70 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
49 |
0% |
44–51 |
44–52 |
44–53 |
43–54 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
42 |
0% |
38–44 |
37–46 |
37–46 |
36–47 |
Venstre |
34 |
32 |
0% |
29–34 |
28–36 |
28–36 |
27–37 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
96 |
4% |
93% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
98 |
3% |
88% |
|
99 |
4% |
85% |
|
100 |
43% |
82% |
Median |
101 |
1.3% |
39% |
|
102 |
22% |
38% |
|
103 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
14% |
|
106 |
4% |
11% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
109 |
0% |
7% |
|
110 |
7% |
7% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
90 |
6% |
98% |
Majority |
91 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
92 |
4% |
91% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
94 |
45% |
87% |
Median |
95 |
22% |
43% |
|
96 |
4% |
21% |
|
97 |
2% |
16% |
|
98 |
2% |
14% |
|
99 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
101 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
102 |
3% |
11% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
105 |
0% |
7% |
|
106 |
7% |
7% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
85 |
6% |
94% |
|
86 |
2% |
88% |
|
87 |
41% |
86% |
Median |
88 |
3% |
45% |
|
89 |
29% |
41% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
13% |
Majority |
91 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
93 |
2% |
10% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
96 |
8% |
8% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
79 |
5% |
97% |
|
80 |
6% |
92% |
|
81 |
40% |
86% |
Median |
82 |
21% |
47% |
|
83 |
3% |
26% |
|
84 |
8% |
23% |
|
85 |
4% |
16% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
8% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
7% |
|
92 |
7% |
7% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
73 |
8% |
95% |
|
74 |
6% |
87% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
82% |
|
76 |
60% |
81% |
Median |
77 |
2% |
21% |
|
78 |
3% |
19% |
|
79 |
3% |
16% |
|
80 |
2% |
13% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
11% |
|
83 |
3% |
11% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
85 |
7% |
7% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
7% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
93% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
69 |
4% |
92% |
|
70 |
2% |
89% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
86% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
73 |
22% |
85% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
62% |
|
75 |
43% |
61% |
Median |
76 |
4% |
18% |
|
77 |
3% |
15% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
79 |
4% |
11% |
|
80 |
7% |
7% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
69 |
27% |
91% |
|
70 |
4% |
65% |
|
71 |
43% |
60% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
15% |
|
74 |
5% |
12% |
|
75 |
5% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
69 |
27% |
91% |
|
70 |
4% |
65% |
|
71 |
43% |
60% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
15% |
|
74 |
5% |
12% |
|
75 |
5% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
2% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
69 |
26% |
89% |
|
70 |
4% |
63% |
|
71 |
47% |
60% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
13% |
|
73 |
3% |
11% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
69 |
27% |
89% |
|
70 |
4% |
62% |
|
71 |
47% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
12% |
|
73 |
3% |
10% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
2% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
69 |
26% |
89% |
|
70 |
4% |
63% |
|
71 |
47% |
60% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
13% |
|
73 |
3% |
11% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
10% |
98.8% |
|
66 |
2% |
89% |
|
67 |
4% |
87% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
84% |
|
69 |
25% |
83% |
|
70 |
3% |
58% |
|
71 |
44% |
55% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
11% |
|
73 |
3% |
9% |
|
74 |
5% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
5% |
98% |
|
59 |
5% |
93% |
|
60 |
4% |
88% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
84% |
|
62 |
3% |
82% |
|
63 |
59% |
79% |
Median |
64 |
3% |
20% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
67 |
4% |
15% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
70 |
10% |
10% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
12% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
2% |
87% |
|
46 |
3% |
85% |
|
47 |
2% |
82% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
80% |
|
49 |
44% |
79% |
Median |
50 |
26% |
36% |
|
51 |
2% |
10% |
|
52 |
5% |
8% |
|
53 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
10% |
94% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
40 |
2% |
83% |
Last Result |
41 |
0.9% |
81% |
|
42 |
45% |
80% |
Median |
43 |
3% |
35% |
|
44 |
25% |
33% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
46 |
5% |
7% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
8% |
92% |
|
30 |
3% |
83% |
|
31 |
2% |
81% |
|
32 |
45% |
79% |
Median |
33 |
3% |
34% |
|
34 |
24% |
32% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
36 |
5% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 11–13 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1067
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%