Opinion Poll by Gallup, 15 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.2% 24.8–27.7% 24.4–28.1% 24.0–28.4% 23.4–29.2%
Venstre 19.5% 17.8% 16.6–19.1% 16.3–19.5% 16.0–19.8% 15.4–20.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 13.4% 12.4–14.6% 12.1–15.0% 11.8–15.3% 11.3–15.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 8.3% 7.4–9.3% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.6–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.4–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 7.3% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.7–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.5–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Stram Kurs 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 43–48 43–49 41–50 41–52
Venstre 34 31 30–36 30–36 29–37 28–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 24 23–27 22–28 22–28 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 15 13–16 13–16 13–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 14 12–14 12–14 12–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–13
Liberal Alliance 13 9 5–10 5–10 5–10 4–11
Alternativet 9 7 5–8 5–8 5–8 5–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 3% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 96%  
43 7% 96%  
44 1.3% 90%  
45 9% 88%  
46 53% 79% Median
47 13% 26% Last Result
48 7% 13%  
49 1.4% 5%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.3% 2%  
52 1.1% 2%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 1.4% 98%  
30 29% 97%  
31 37% 68% Median
32 0.4% 31%  
33 0.9% 30%  
34 11% 29% Last Result
35 3% 19%  
36 12% 15%  
37 4% 4%  
38 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.6% 100%  
21 1.4% 99.4%  
22 4% 98%  
23 33% 94%  
24 29% 62% Median
25 5% 32%  
26 6% 27%  
27 13% 21%  
28 8% 8%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.7% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.3%  
13 13% 98.7%  
14 7% 86%  
15 54% 79% Median
16 22% 25%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 12% 98%  
14 34% 86% Last Result
15 37% 52% Median
16 5% 14%  
17 7% 9%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.9% 0.9%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0.5% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.5%  
11 0.8% 98.7%  
12 18% 98%  
13 28% 80%  
14 47% 52% Median
15 2% 5%  
16 1.3% 3%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 4% 99.7%  
10 11% 95%  
11 40% 84% Median
12 15% 45%  
13 29% 29%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 12% 99.3%  
6 11% 88%  
7 23% 77%  
8 1.3% 54%  
9 28% 53% Median
10 23% 25%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 31% 99.7%  
6 11% 68%  
7 45% 58% Median
8 13% 13%  
9 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0% 79%  
4 72% 79% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0.3% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0.1% 15%  
4 13% 15%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 95 99.8% 93–98 91–99 91–101 90–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 76 89 37% 87–91 86–92 85–95 84–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 77 82 0.1% 79–85 78–86 78–88 78–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 80 0% 77–82 76–84 74–84 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–81 73–81 73–84 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 90 79 0% 76–81 73–81 73–84 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 76–81 73–81 73–84 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 79 0% 76–81 73–81 73–84 71–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 76 0% 73–81 71–81 71–81 68–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 76 0% 73–81 71–81 71–81 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 75 0% 71–77 70–77 69–81 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 68 75 0% 73–78 72–80 72–80 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 57–62 56–62 55–64 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 52 0% 48–54 48–55 47–55 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 42–47 41–47 39–49 37–49
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–36 30–36 29–37 28–37

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.7% 99.8% Majority
91 5% 99.1%  
92 4% 95%  
93 3% 91%  
94 13% 88%  
95 32% 75%  
96 30% 43%  
97 2% 13% Median
98 6% 11%  
99 1.2% 5%  
100 1.3% 4%  
101 0.2% 3%  
102 0.3% 2%  
103 0.8% 2%  
104 1.1% 1.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.8% 99.9%  
85 4% 99.1%  
86 5% 95%  
87 20% 91%  
88 4% 71%  
89 30% 67%  
90 27% 37% Median, Majority
91 4% 10%  
92 2% 6%  
93 1.0% 4%  
94 0.2% 3%  
95 0.4% 3%  
96 0.1% 2%  
97 1.4% 2%  
98 0.8% 0.9%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9% Last Result
78 8% 99.8%  
79 5% 92%  
80 1.2% 87%  
81 10% 86%  
82 62% 76%  
83 2% 14% Median
84 1.1% 12%  
85 2% 10%  
86 4% 8%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 1.4% 2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 1.1% 99.9%  
72 0.8% 98.8%  
73 0.3% 98%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 1.2% 96%  
77 6% 95%  
78 2% 89%  
79 30% 87% Median
80 32% 57%  
81 13% 25%  
82 3% 12%  
83 4% 9%  
84 5% 5%  
85 0.7% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 1.2% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 98.7%  
73 4% 98%  
74 0.3% 94%  
75 3% 94%  
76 2% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 86%  
79 33% 81% Median
80 31% 48%  
81 12% 17%  
82 0.4% 5%  
83 0.1% 4%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 1.2% 99.8%  
72 0.9% 98.6%  
73 4% 98%  
74 0.2% 94%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 33% 81% Median
80 31% 48%  
81 12% 17%  
82 0.4% 5%  
83 0% 4%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 1.2% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 98.7%  
73 4% 98%  
74 0.3% 94%  
75 3% 94%  
76 2% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 86%  
79 33% 81% Median
80 31% 48%  
81 12% 17%  
82 0.4% 5%  
83 0.1% 4%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 1.2% 99.8%  
72 0.9% 98.6%  
73 4% 98%  
74 0.2% 94%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 33% 81% Median
80 31% 48%  
81 12% 17%  
82 0.4% 5%  
83 0% 4%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.9% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.1%  
70 0.9% 98.9%  
71 4% 98%  
72 2% 94%  
73 7% 92%  
74 3% 86%  
75 32% 83% Median
76 32% 51%  
77 0.9% 20%  
78 0.3% 19%  
79 3% 18%  
80 3% 15%  
81 11% 12%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.9% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.0%  
70 0.8% 98.8%  
71 4% 98%  
72 2% 94%  
73 7% 92%  
74 3% 86%  
75 32% 83% Median
76 32% 51%  
77 0.9% 19%  
78 0.2% 18%  
79 3% 18%  
80 3% 15%  
81 11% 12%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 4% 99.9%  
70 2% 96%  
71 4% 94%  
72 15% 90%  
73 0.9% 74%  
74 8% 73%  
75 54% 65% Median
76 1.2% 11%  
77 7% 10%  
78 0.5% 3%  
79 0.1% 3%  
80 0.3% 3%  
81 1.1% 3%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 0.1% 1.2%  
84 1.1% 1.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 8% 99.8%  
73 11% 92%  
74 3% 81%  
75 39% 78%  
76 3% 39% Median
77 25% 36%  
78 5% 11%  
79 0.2% 6%  
80 3% 6%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0% 1.2%  
84 1.0% 1.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.9% 99.9%  
55 4% 99.0% Last Result
56 4% 95%  
57 4% 92%  
58 3% 88%  
59 43% 85%  
60 31% 43% Median
61 1.4% 12%  
62 5% 10%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.0% 3%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 0.1% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.5%  
68 0% 1.1%  
69 1.1% 1.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.6% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.4%  
45 0.1% 99.3%  
46 0.4% 99.2%  
47 3% 98.8%  
48 12% 96%  
49 6% 84%  
50 5% 79%  
51 5% 74% Median
52 50% 69%  
53 0.9% 19% Last Result
54 11% 18%  
55 6% 6%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.7% 100%  
38 1.1% 99.2%  
39 1.2% 98%  
40 2% 97% Last Result
41 1.1% 95%  
42 26% 94% Median
43 39% 68%  
44 10% 30%  
45 2% 20%  
46 0.1% 17%  
47 13% 17%  
48 0.3% 4%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 1.4% 98%  
30 29% 97%  
31 37% 68% Median
32 0.4% 31%  
33 0.9% 30%  
34 11% 29% Last Result
35 3% 19%  
36 12% 15%  
37 4% 4%  
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations