Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 13–15 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 28.6% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.3–31.0% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 17.5% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.6% | 15.3–20.0% | 14.6–20.8% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.7–13.7% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 7.9–12.9% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 48 | 48 | 48–52 | 48–53 | 45–56 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 30 | 30–31 | 29–33 | 27–35 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–24 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 15–22 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 15 | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 11–17 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 6–12 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 48 | 90% | 98% | Median |
| 49 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 19 | 90% | 95% | Median |
| 20 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 15 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 90% | 95% | Median |
| 19 | 2% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 91% | 97% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 5% | 98% | |
| 9 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 10 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 5 | 5% | 97% | |
| 6 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 3% | 97% | |
| 5 | 91% | 94% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 91% | 94% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 100 | 100% | 100 | 100–102 | 99–105 | 95–108 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 94 | 99.7% | 94 | 94–98 | 94–101 | 91–103 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 85 | 3% | 85 | 85–88 | 85–91 | 81–94 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 79 | 0.1% | 79 | 79–83 | 79–87 | 77–89 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 76 | 0% | 76 | 76–80 | 76–82 | 72–84 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 75 | 0% | 75 | 73–75 | 70–76 | 67–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 70 | 0% | 70 | 70–71 | 66–73 | 62–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 70 | 0% | 70 | 70–71 | 66–73 | 62–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 70 | 0% | 70 | 68–70 | 65–72 | 61–75 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 70 | 0% | 70 | 68–70 | 65–72 | 61–75 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 66–67 | 63–71 | 62–73 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 66–67 | 63–69 | 60–71 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 63 | 0% | 63 | 63–67 | 62–68 | 59–70 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 47 | 0% | 47 | 45–47 | 44–48 | 42–52 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 39 | 0% | 39 | 38–40 | 37–41 | 35–45 |
| Venstre | 34 | 30 | 0% | 30 | 30–31 | 29–33 | 27–35 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 101 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 102 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 94 | 90% | 98% | Median |
| 95 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 97 | 2% | 7% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 85 | 89% | 98% | Median |
| 86 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 3% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 89% | 98% | Median |
| 80 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 90% | 98% | Median |
| 77 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 75 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 76 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 71 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 71 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 71 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 71 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 66 | 91% | 96% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 64 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 47 | 90% | 93% | Median |
| 48 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 38 | 2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 90% | 95% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 41 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%