Opinion Poll by YouGov, 15 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.6% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.3–29.1% | 23.9–29.6% | 23.0–30.5% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 15.5% | 14.1–17.2% | 13.7–17.6% | 13.4–18.0% | 12.7–18.8% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.4% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.6–11.4% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.4–9.8% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.3–9.7% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.3–9.7% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.1–5.2% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.7–4.6% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.4–4.1% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.3–2.0% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 46 | 43–49 | 42–52 | 42–52 | 42–52 |
| Venstre | 34 | 27 | 25–28 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 24–33 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 22 | 20–24 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–26 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 16 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 14 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 5% | 94% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 46 | 71% | 87% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 16% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 14% | |
| 49 | 4% | 12% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 52 | 6% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 9% | 95% | |
| 26 | 36% | 86% | |
| 27 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 28 | 39% | 49% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 10% | 97% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 22 | 36% | 86% | Median |
| 23 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 24 | 41% | 49% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 26 | 6% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 36% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 8% | 64% | Last Result |
| 15 | 2% | 56% | |
| 16 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 37% | 43% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 95% | |
| 13 | 73% | 93% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 20% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 7% | 97% | |
| 12 | 2% | 90% | |
| 13 | 12% | 88% | |
| 14 | 38% | 76% | Median |
| 15 | 1.1% | 38% | |
| 16 | 36% | 37% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 37% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 10% | 62% | |
| 13 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 14 | 1.4% | 41% | |
| 15 | 3% | 40% | |
| 16 | 36% | 37% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 36% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 3% | 64% | |
| 7 | 39% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 21% | |
| 9 | 12% | 14% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 13% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 43% | 86% | Median |
| 7 | 39% | 43% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 4 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 5 | 43% | 96% | |
| 6 | 44% | 53% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 43% | 97% | |
| 5 | 45% | 54% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet | 85 | 95 | 94% | 93–98 | 89–98 | 89–98 | 89–103 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 88 | 48% | 87–91 | 83–93 | 83–93 | 82–96 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 81 | 0.4% | 78–84 | 76–87 | 76–87 | 76–89 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 80 | 0% | 77–82 | 77–86 | 77–86 | 72–86 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 75 | 0% | 72–78 | 70–82 | 70–82 | 70–82 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 73 | 0% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 69–77 | 67–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 69–74 | 68–77 | 68–77 | 65–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 69–74 | 68–77 | 68–77 | 65–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 69–74 | 68–77 | 68–77 | 65–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 73 | 0% | 69–74 | 68–77 | 68–77 | 65–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 68 | 0% | 64–70 | 61–72 | 61–72 | 60–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 68 | 0% | 64–70 | 61–72 | 61–72 | 60–74 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 60 | 0% | 56–62 | 55–63 | 55–64 | 55–66 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 45 | 0% | 42–46 | 41–48 | 41–49 | 38–51 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 40 | 0% | 37–42 | 37–42 | 37–44 | 35–47 |
| Venstre | 34 | 27 | 0% | 25–28 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 24–33 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 94% | Majority |
| 91 | 3% | 94% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 93 | 5% | 91% | |
| 94 | 36% | 86% | |
| 95 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 96 | 0.6% | 48% | |
| 97 | 37% | 48% | |
| 98 | 8% | 10% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 86 | 2% | 93% | |
| 87 | 2% | 91% | |
| 88 | 40% | 88% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 49% | Median |
| 90 | 37% | 48% | Majority |
| 91 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 92 | 2% | 10% | |
| 93 | 7% | 8% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 78 | 36% | 94% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 59% | |
| 80 | 6% | 58% | |
| 81 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 2% | 49% | |
| 83 | 36% | 47% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 87 | 7% | 8% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 77 | 8% | 98% | |
| 78 | 37% | 90% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 52% | |
| 80 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 81 | 36% | 50% | |
| 82 | 5% | 14% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 3% | 9% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 86 | 5% | 6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 72 | 36% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 58% | |
| 74 | 3% | 58% | |
| 75 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 76 | 39% | 50% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 82 | 6% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 6% | 94% | |
| 71 | 2% | 88% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 73 | 37% | 85% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 48% | |
| 75 | 35% | 45% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 77 | 7% | 9% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 35% | 85% | Median |
| 74 | 40% | 49% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 74 | 40% | 49% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 74 | 40% | 49% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 74 | 40% | 49% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 63 | 2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 86% | Median |
| 68 | 74% | 85% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 72 | 7% | 8% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 63 | 2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 65 | 3% | 90% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 86% | Median |
| 68 | 74% | 85% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 72 | 7% | 8% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 6% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 56 | 5% | 93% | |
| 57 | 2% | 89% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 59 | 2% | 86% | |
| 60 | 36% | 84% | Median |
| 61 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 62 | 37% | 47% | |
| 63 | 7% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 92% | |
| 43 | 2% | 88% | |
| 44 | 36% | 86% | |
| 45 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 46 | 37% | 46% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 48 | 5% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 39 | 35% | 87% | |
| 40 | 5% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 42 | 41% | 46% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 9% | 95% | |
| 26 | 36% | 86% | |
| 27 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 28 | 39% | 49% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 939
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.72%