Opinion Poll by YouGov, 15 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
26.6% |
24.8–28.5% |
24.3–29.1% |
23.9–29.6% |
23.0–30.5% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
15.5% |
14.1–17.2% |
13.7–17.6% |
13.4–18.0% |
12.7–18.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
12.6% |
11.3–14.1% |
10.9–14.5% |
10.6–14.8% |
10.0–15.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.3–10.4% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.6–11.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.1–8.9% |
5.8–9.2% |
5.4–9.8% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.8% |
5.7–9.1% |
5.3–9.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.8% |
5.7–9.1% |
5.3–9.7% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.9% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.6% |
2.4–4.8% |
2.1–5.2% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.2% |
1.7–4.6% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.6–3.7% |
1.4–4.1% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.4–1.7% |
0.3–2.0% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
5% |
94% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
88% |
|
46 |
71% |
87% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
16% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
14% |
|
49 |
4% |
12% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
52 |
6% |
6% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
9% |
95% |
|
26 |
36% |
86% |
|
27 |
2% |
50% |
Median |
28 |
39% |
49% |
|
29 |
6% |
10% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
20 |
10% |
97% |
|
21 |
1.3% |
87% |
|
22 |
36% |
86% |
Median |
23 |
1.1% |
50% |
|
24 |
41% |
49% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
26 |
6% |
6% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
36% |
99.4% |
|
14 |
8% |
64% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
56% |
|
16 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
17 |
37% |
43% |
|
18 |
5% |
7% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
2% |
95% |
|
13 |
73% |
93% |
Median |
14 |
17% |
20% |
|
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
7% |
97% |
|
12 |
2% |
90% |
|
13 |
12% |
88% |
|
14 |
38% |
76% |
Median |
15 |
1.1% |
38% |
|
16 |
36% |
37% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
37% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
10% |
62% |
|
13 |
11% |
52% |
Median |
14 |
1.4% |
41% |
|
15 |
3% |
40% |
|
16 |
36% |
37% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
36% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
3% |
64% |
|
7 |
39% |
60% |
Median |
8 |
8% |
21% |
|
9 |
12% |
14% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
13% |
98.6% |
|
6 |
43% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
39% |
43% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.5% |
|
4 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
5 |
43% |
96% |
|
6 |
44% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
9% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
43% |
97% |
|
5 |
45% |
54% |
Median |
6 |
9% |
9% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
95 |
94% |
93–98 |
89–98 |
89–98 |
89–103 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
88 |
48% |
87–91 |
83–93 |
83–93 |
82–96 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
81 |
0.4% |
78–84 |
76–87 |
76–87 |
76–89 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
80 |
0% |
77–82 |
77–86 |
77–86 |
72–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
75 |
0% |
72–78 |
70–82 |
70–82 |
70–82 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
73 |
0% |
70–76 |
69–77 |
69–77 |
67–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
69–74 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
69–74 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
69–74 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
73 |
0% |
69–74 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
68 |
0% |
64–70 |
61–72 |
61–72 |
60–74 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
68 |
0% |
64–70 |
61–72 |
61–72 |
60–74 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
60 |
0% |
56–62 |
55–63 |
55–64 |
55–66 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
45 |
0% |
42–46 |
41–48 |
41–49 |
38–51 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
40 |
0% |
37–42 |
37–42 |
37–44 |
35–47 |
Venstre |
34 |
27 |
0% |
25–28 |
24–29 |
24–30 |
24–33 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
94% |
Majority |
91 |
3% |
94% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
93 |
5% |
91% |
|
94 |
36% |
86% |
|
95 |
2% |
50% |
Median |
96 |
0.6% |
48% |
|
97 |
37% |
48% |
|
98 |
8% |
10% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
86 |
2% |
93% |
|
87 |
2% |
91% |
|
88 |
40% |
88% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
49% |
Median |
90 |
37% |
48% |
Majority |
91 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
92 |
2% |
10% |
|
93 |
7% |
8% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
95% |
Last Result |
78 |
36% |
94% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
59% |
|
80 |
6% |
58% |
|
81 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
49% |
|
83 |
36% |
47% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
87 |
7% |
8% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
77 |
8% |
98% |
|
78 |
37% |
90% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
52% |
|
80 |
2% |
52% |
Median |
81 |
36% |
50% |
|
82 |
5% |
14% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
84 |
3% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
86 |
5% |
6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
72 |
36% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
58% |
|
74 |
3% |
58% |
|
75 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
76 |
39% |
50% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
78 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
82 |
6% |
7% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
5% |
98% |
|
70 |
6% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
88% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
73 |
37% |
85% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
48% |
|
75 |
35% |
45% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
77 |
7% |
9% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
6% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
71 |
2% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
88% |
|
73 |
35% |
85% |
Median |
74 |
40% |
49% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
77 |
6% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
6% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
71 |
2% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
88% |
|
73 |
35% |
84% |
Median |
74 |
40% |
49% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
77 |
6% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
6% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
71 |
2% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
88% |
|
73 |
35% |
84% |
Median |
74 |
40% |
49% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
77 |
6% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
6% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
71 |
2% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
88% |
|
73 |
35% |
84% |
Median |
74 |
40% |
49% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
77 |
6% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
63 |
2% |
92% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
65 |
2% |
90% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
87% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
86% |
Median |
68 |
74% |
85% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
10% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
72 |
7% |
8% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
63 |
2% |
92% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
65 |
3% |
90% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
87% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
86% |
Median |
68 |
74% |
85% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
10% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
72 |
7% |
8% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
6% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
56 |
5% |
93% |
|
57 |
2% |
89% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
87% |
|
59 |
2% |
86% |
|
60 |
36% |
84% |
Median |
61 |
0.7% |
48% |
|
62 |
37% |
47% |
|
63 |
7% |
10% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
41 |
6% |
98.5% |
|
42 |
4% |
92% |
|
43 |
2% |
88% |
|
44 |
36% |
86% |
|
45 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
46 |
37% |
46% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
48 |
5% |
8% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
11% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
39 |
35% |
87% |
|
40 |
5% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
41 |
1.0% |
47% |
|
42 |
41% |
46% |
|
43 |
2% |
5% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
9% |
95% |
|
26 |
36% |
86% |
|
27 |
2% |
50% |
Median |
28 |
39% |
49% |
|
29 |
6% |
10% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 939
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.72%