Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 14–16 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 27.8% | 26.1–29.7% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.1–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.3–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.9–12.8% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 53 | 48–53 | 46–53 | 44–53 | 44–55 |
| Venstre | 34 | 31 | 30–32 | 30–33 | 30–33 | 28–35 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 18 | 17–18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 12 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–18 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–10 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–7 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 48 | 18% | 94% | |
| 49 | 4% | 75% | |
| 50 | 2% | 72% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 53 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 54 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 16% | 98% | |
| 31 | 69% | 82% | Median |
| 32 | 3% | 13% | |
| 33 | 9% | 10% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 16% | 95% | |
| 18 | 69% | 79% | Median |
| 19 | 6% | 9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 15 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 16 | 4% | 28% | |
| 17 | 4% | 24% | |
| 18 | 2% | 20% | |
| 19 | 17% | 18% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 21% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 78% | |
| 16 | 3% | 77% | |
| 17 | 5% | 73% | |
| 18 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 72% | 98% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 26% | |
| 14 | 20% | 24% | |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 7 | 72% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 24% | |
| 9 | 16% | 20% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 88% | 95% | Median |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 72% | 98.8% | Median |
| 6 | 4% | 27% | |
| 7 | 19% | 23% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 90% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 7% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 8% | 98% | |
| 5 | 73% | 89% | Median |
| 6 | 16% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 4 | 5% | 7% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 103 | 100% | 100–103 | 97–103 | 95–104 | 95–109 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 98 | 99.6% | 94–98 | 91–98 | 90–98 | 90–101 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 85 | 1.2% | 84–88 | 83–88 | 79–88 | 78–93 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 83 | 0% | 76–83 | 75–83 | 73–83 | 72–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 80 | 0% | 78–81 | 77–81 | 74–81 | 73–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 72 | 0% | 72–75 | 72–78 | 71–80 | 66–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 68 | 0% | 68–71 | 68–73 | 67–75 | 61–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 68 | 0% | 68–71 | 68–73 | 67–75 | 61–76 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 68 | 0% | 68–69 | 67–72 | 66–73 | 61–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 68 | 0% | 68–69 | 67–72 | 66–73 | 61–74 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 63 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–69 | 62–71 | 57–71 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 71 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–71 | 60–71 | 58–71 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 63 | 0% | 63–64 | 63–67 | 62–69 | 57–69 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 45 | 0% | 45–48 | 45–49 | 43–49 | 41–50 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 38 | 0% | 38–40 | 38–41 | 36–43 | 34–43 |
| Venstre | 34 | 31 | 0% | 30–32 | 30–33 | 30–33 | 28–35 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 97% | |
| 98 | 2% | 94% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 100 | 2% | 92% | |
| 101 | 2% | 90% | |
| 102 | 17% | 88% | |
| 103 | 69% | 72% | Median |
| 104 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 91 | 4% | 97% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 95 | 19% | 90% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 71% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 98 | 68% | 70% | Median |
| 99 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 3% | 96% | |
| 84 | 3% | 92% | |
| 85 | 69% | 90% | Median |
| 86 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 88 | 19% | 21% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 17% | 94% | |
| 77 | 5% | 78% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 81 | 2% | 71% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 83 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 77 | 6% | 96% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 80 | 70% | 89% | Median |
| 81 | 17% | 19% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 72 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 28% | |
| 74 | 2% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 68 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 69 | 17% | 28% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 68 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 69 | 17% | 28% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 69% | 95% | Median |
| 69 | 19% | 26% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 69% | 95% | Median |
| 69 | 19% | 26% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 83% | 97% | Median |
| 64 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 68 | 2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 5% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 17% | 95% | |
| 63 | 3% | 78% | |
| 64 | 2% | 75% | |
| 65 | 2% | 73% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 70 | 0% | 68% | |
| 71 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 83% | 96% | Median |
| 64 | 3% | 13% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 69 | 4% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 45 | 69% | 97% | Median |
| 46 | 17% | 28% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 48 | 5% | 11% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 39 | 18% | 28% | |
| 40 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 41 | 2% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 43 | 4% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 16% | 98% | |
| 31 | 69% | 82% | Median |
| 32 | 3% | 13% | |
| 33 | 9% | 10% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 14–16 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%