Opinion Poll by Norstat, 14–17 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.8% |
27.2–30.5% |
26.7–31.0% |
26.3–31.5% |
25.6–32.3% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.3% |
16.9–19.8% |
16.6–20.2% |
16.2–20.6% |
15.6–21.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
11.2% |
10.1–12.4% |
9.8–12.8% |
9.5–13.1% |
9.0–13.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.2% |
7.3–9.3% |
7.0–9.6% |
6.8–9.9% |
6.4–10.4% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.4% |
6.2–8.6% |
5.9–8.9% |
5.5–9.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
6.9% |
6.0–7.9% |
5.8–8.2% |
5.6–8.5% |
5.2–9.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.3% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.7–4.8% |
2.4–5.2% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.2% |
2.7–4.4% |
2.5–4.6% |
2.3–5.0% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.4–4.4% |
2.1–4.8% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.6% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.1–4.0% |
1.9–4.4% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.9–3.4% |
1.7–3.5% |
1.5–3.9% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.4% |
1.3–2.6% |
1.2–2.8% |
1.0–3.1% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.8–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
2% |
95% |
|
47 |
3% |
93% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
90% |
|
49 |
10% |
88% |
|
50 |
21% |
78% |
|
51 |
26% |
57% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
31% |
|
53 |
15% |
25% |
|
54 |
3% |
9% |
|
55 |
3% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
2% |
95% |
|
30 |
18% |
92% |
|
31 |
25% |
75% |
Median |
32 |
5% |
50% |
|
33 |
8% |
45% |
|
34 |
17% |
38% |
Last Result |
35 |
13% |
21% |
|
36 |
4% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
17 |
14% |
98% |
|
18 |
23% |
84% |
|
19 |
10% |
62% |
|
20 |
30% |
52% |
Median |
21 |
6% |
22% |
|
22 |
6% |
16% |
|
23 |
4% |
9% |
|
24 |
2% |
5% |
|
25 |
3% |
3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
3% |
98% |
|
13 |
22% |
95% |
|
14 |
26% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
17% |
47% |
|
16 |
13% |
31% |
|
17 |
15% |
18% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
18% |
89% |
|
12 |
11% |
71% |
|
13 |
22% |
60% |
Median |
14 |
19% |
38% |
|
15 |
12% |
20% |
|
16 |
5% |
8% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
4% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
11 |
14% |
95% |
|
12 |
24% |
81% |
|
13 |
7% |
57% |
|
14 |
45% |
51% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
11% |
98.8% |
|
6 |
26% |
88% |
Last Result |
7 |
35% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
23% |
27% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
24% |
98% |
|
6 |
36% |
74% |
Median |
7 |
31% |
37% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
19% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
18% |
81% |
|
6 |
11% |
63% |
|
7 |
39% |
52% |
Median |
8 |
12% |
13% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
4 |
10% |
98.7% |
|
5 |
30% |
89% |
|
6 |
50% |
59% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
9% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
86% |
|
2 |
0% |
86% |
|
3 |
0% |
86% |
|
4 |
30% |
86% |
|
5 |
48% |
56% |
Median |
6 |
7% |
8% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
66% |
|
2 |
0% |
66% |
|
3 |
0% |
66% |
|
4 |
55% |
66% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
11% |
|
6 |
7% |
7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
87% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
13% |
|
2 |
0% |
13% |
|
3 |
0% |
13% |
|
4 |
11% |
13% |
|
5 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
97 |
99.9% |
94–101 |
93–102 |
91–103 |
91–108 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
92 |
79% |
88–94 |
87–95 |
85–97 |
84–100 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
85 |
4% |
81–88 |
80–89 |
80–90 |
77–93 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
78 |
0% |
74–81 |
73–82 |
72–84 |
67–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
79 |
0.1% |
75–82 |
74–83 |
73–83 |
71–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
77 |
0% |
73–79 |
72–80 |
70–81 |
70–85 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
73 |
0% |
70–77 |
69–78 |
67–79 |
66–80 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
70 |
0% |
67–76 |
66–77 |
66–79 |
64–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
73 |
0% |
69–76 |
67–77 |
66–77 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
69 |
0% |
67–75 |
66–76 |
66–76 |
63–78 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
65 |
0% |
61–69 |
61–71 |
61–73 |
58–73 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
64 |
0% |
61–69 |
60–70 |
59–71 |
58–72 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
63 |
0% |
61–67 |
58–68 |
58–70 |
58–73 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
44 |
0% |
42–47 |
41–50 |
40–50 |
37–51 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
39 |
0% |
36–42 |
35–43 |
35–44 |
33–46 |
Venstre |
34 |
31 |
0% |
30–35 |
28–36 |
28–37 |
27–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Majority |
91 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
93 |
2% |
96% |
|
94 |
8% |
94% |
|
95 |
10% |
86% |
|
96 |
3% |
76% |
|
97 |
28% |
73% |
|
98 |
18% |
45% |
Median |
99 |
10% |
27% |
|
100 |
5% |
17% |
|
101 |
7% |
12% |
|
102 |
2% |
5% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
84 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
86 |
2% |
97% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
88 |
10% |
94% |
|
89 |
6% |
85% |
|
90 |
20% |
79% |
Majority |
91 |
5% |
59% |
|
92 |
27% |
54% |
Median |
93 |
9% |
26% |
|
94 |
11% |
17% |
|
95 |
2% |
6% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
97 |
2% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
80 |
4% |
98% |
|
81 |
8% |
94% |
|
82 |
9% |
85% |
|
83 |
19% |
77% |
|
84 |
5% |
57% |
|
85 |
10% |
52% |
Median |
86 |
27% |
42% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
16% |
|
88 |
9% |
14% |
|
89 |
2% |
5% |
|
90 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
91 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
7% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
88% |
|
76 |
10% |
83% |
|
77 |
18% |
73% |
|
78 |
28% |
55% |
|
79 |
3% |
27% |
|
80 |
10% |
24% |
Median |
81 |
8% |
14% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
84 |
3% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
3% |
96% |
|
75 |
12% |
92% |
|
76 |
3% |
81% |
|
77 |
6% |
78% |
|
78 |
21% |
72% |
|
79 |
29% |
51% |
Median |
80 |
4% |
22% |
|
81 |
4% |
18% |
|
82 |
9% |
14% |
|
83 |
4% |
5% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
2% |
97% |
|
72 |
5% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
90% |
|
74 |
6% |
88% |
|
75 |
12% |
82% |
|
76 |
20% |
71% |
|
77 |
14% |
51% |
|
78 |
12% |
37% |
Median |
79 |
19% |
25% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
69 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
70 |
10% |
95% |
|
71 |
5% |
85% |
|
72 |
6% |
80% |
|
73 |
35% |
74% |
|
74 |
4% |
39% |
|
75 |
5% |
35% |
Median |
76 |
17% |
30% |
|
77 |
8% |
14% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
3% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
2% |
92% |
|
68 |
4% |
90% |
|
69 |
34% |
86% |
|
70 |
7% |
53% |
|
71 |
12% |
46% |
Median |
72 |
13% |
34% |
|
73 |
4% |
20% |
|
74 |
3% |
17% |
|
75 |
3% |
14% |
|
76 |
6% |
11% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
78 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
6% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
69 |
2% |
91% |
|
70 |
9% |
89% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
72 |
7% |
79% |
|
73 |
36% |
72% |
|
74 |
4% |
36% |
|
75 |
7% |
32% |
Median |
76 |
16% |
25% |
|
77 |
7% |
9% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
8% |
98% |
|
67 |
7% |
90% |
|
68 |
4% |
83% |
|
69 |
35% |
79% |
|
70 |
6% |
45% |
|
71 |
8% |
39% |
Median |
72 |
13% |
31% |
|
73 |
3% |
18% |
|
74 |
2% |
15% |
|
75 |
5% |
13% |
|
76 |
6% |
8% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
11% |
98% |
|
62 |
20% |
87% |
|
63 |
7% |
66% |
|
64 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
65 |
22% |
51% |
|
66 |
9% |
29% |
|
67 |
2% |
20% |
|
68 |
4% |
18% |
|
69 |
5% |
14% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
71 |
4% |
8% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
73 |
3% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
60 |
5% |
97% |
|
61 |
12% |
92% |
|
62 |
21% |
80% |
|
63 |
6% |
60% |
|
64 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
65 |
22% |
48% |
|
66 |
8% |
26% |
|
67 |
2% |
18% |
|
68 |
4% |
16% |
|
69 |
7% |
13% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
71 |
4% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
61 |
10% |
91% |
|
62 |
23% |
81% |
|
63 |
9% |
57% |
|
64 |
14% |
48% |
Median |
65 |
8% |
34% |
|
66 |
3% |
27% |
|
67 |
13% |
23% |
|
68 |
5% |
10% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
41 |
7% |
97% |
|
42 |
7% |
90% |
|
43 |
4% |
83% |
|
44 |
32% |
79% |
Median |
45 |
19% |
47% |
|
46 |
11% |
28% |
|
47 |
9% |
17% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
50 |
5% |
7% |
|
51 |
2% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
35 |
4% |
98% |
|
36 |
7% |
94% |
|
37 |
3% |
86% |
|
38 |
29% |
83% |
Median |
39 |
12% |
54% |
|
40 |
13% |
41% |
Last Result |
41 |
16% |
29% |
|
42 |
7% |
12% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
44 |
2% |
4% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
2% |
95% |
|
30 |
18% |
92% |
|
31 |
25% |
75% |
Median |
32 |
5% |
50% |
|
33 |
8% |
45% |
|
34 |
17% |
38% |
Last Result |
35 |
13% |
21% |
|
36 |
4% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1207
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.30%