Opinion Poll by Norstat, 14–17 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 28.8% | 27.2–30.5% | 26.7–31.0% | 26.3–31.5% | 25.6–32.3% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 18.3% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.6–20.2% | 16.2–20.6% | 15.6–21.3% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 11.2% | 10.1–12.4% | 9.8–12.8% | 9.5–13.1% | 9.0–13.7% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.8–9.9% | 6.4–10.4% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.9–8.9% | 5.5–9.4% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.6–8.5% | 5.2–9.0% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–5.0% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.1–4.8% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.4% |
| Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.0–3.1% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 51 | 47–53 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 45–59 |
| Venstre | 34 | 31 | 30–35 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 27–41 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 20 | 17–22 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–25 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–19 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| Stram Kurs | 0 | 5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 95% | |
| 47 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 90% | |
| 49 | 10% | 88% | |
| 50 | 21% | 78% | |
| 51 | 26% | 57% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 31% | |
| 53 | 15% | 25% | |
| 54 | 3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 95% | |
| 30 | 18% | 92% | |
| 31 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 50% | |
| 33 | 8% | 45% | |
| 34 | 17% | 38% | Last Result |
| 35 | 13% | 21% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 17 | 14% | 98% | |
| 18 | 23% | 84% | |
| 19 | 10% | 62% | |
| 20 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 21 | 6% | 22% | |
| 22 | 6% | 16% | |
| 23 | 4% | 9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 22% | 95% | |
| 14 | 26% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 17% | 47% | |
| 16 | 13% | 31% | |
| 17 | 15% | 18% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 18% | 89% | |
| 12 | 11% | 71% | |
| 13 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 38% | |
| 15 | 12% | 20% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 11 | 14% | 95% | |
| 12 | 24% | 81% | |
| 13 | 7% | 57% | |
| 14 | 45% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 26% | 88% | Last Result |
| 7 | 35% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 27% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 24% | 98% | |
| 6 | 36% | 74% | Median |
| 7 | 31% | 37% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 18% | 81% | |
| 6 | 11% | 63% | |
| 7 | 39% | 52% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 13% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 10% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 30% | 89% | |
| 6 | 50% | 59% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 30% | 86% | |
| 5 | 48% | 56% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 66% | |
| 2 | 0% | 66% | |
| 3 | 0% | 66% | |
| 4 | 55% | 66% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 11% | |
| 6 | 7% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 11% | 13% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 85 | 97 | 99.9% | 94–101 | 93–102 | 91–103 | 91–108 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 92 | 79% | 88–94 | 87–95 | 85–97 | 84–100 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 85 | 4% | 81–88 | 80–89 | 80–90 | 77–93 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 78 | 0% | 74–81 | 73–82 | 72–84 | 67–84 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 79 | 0.1% | 75–82 | 74–83 | 73–83 | 71–85 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 77 | 0% | 73–79 | 72–80 | 70–81 | 70–85 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 73 | 0% | 70–77 | 69–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 70 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 66–79 | 64–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 90 | 73 | 0% | 69–76 | 67–77 | 66–77 | 65–79 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 69 | 0% | 67–75 | 66–76 | 66–76 | 63–78 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–71 | 61–73 | 58–73 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 90 | 64 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–72 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 63 | 0% | 61–67 | 58–68 | 58–70 | 58–73 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance | 53 | 44 | 0% | 42–47 | 41–50 | 40–50 | 37–51 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| Venstre | 34 | 31 | 0% | 30–35 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 27–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 91 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 8% | 94% | |
| 95 | 10% | 86% | |
| 96 | 3% | 76% | |
| 97 | 28% | 73% | |
| 98 | 18% | 45% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 27% | |
| 100 | 5% | 17% | |
| 101 | 7% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 88 | 10% | 94% | |
| 89 | 6% | 85% | |
| 90 | 20% | 79% | Majority |
| 91 | 5% | 59% | |
| 92 | 27% | 54% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 26% | |
| 94 | 11% | 17% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 4% | 98% | |
| 81 | 8% | 94% | |
| 82 | 9% | 85% | |
| 83 | 19% | 77% | |
| 84 | 5% | 57% | |
| 85 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 86 | 27% | 42% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 88 | 9% | 14% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 91 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 95% | |
| 75 | 5% | 88% | |
| 76 | 10% | 83% | |
| 77 | 18% | 73% | |
| 78 | 28% | 55% | |
| 79 | 3% | 27% | |
| 80 | 10% | 24% | Median |
| 81 | 8% | 14% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 3% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 12% | 92% | |
| 76 | 3% | 81% | |
| 77 | 6% | 78% | |
| 78 | 21% | 72% | |
| 79 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 22% | |
| 81 | 4% | 18% | |
| 82 | 9% | 14% | |
| 83 | 4% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 5% | 95% | |
| 73 | 2% | 90% | |
| 74 | 6% | 88% | |
| 75 | 12% | 82% | |
| 76 | 20% | 71% | |
| 77 | 14% | 51% | |
| 78 | 12% | 37% | Median |
| 79 | 19% | 25% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 70 | 10% | 95% | |
| 71 | 5% | 85% | |
| 72 | 6% | 80% | |
| 73 | 35% | 74% | |
| 74 | 4% | 39% | |
| 75 | 5% | 35% | Median |
| 76 | 17% | 30% | |
| 77 | 8% | 14% | |
| 78 | 2% | 6% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 7% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 92% | |
| 68 | 4% | 90% | |
| 69 | 34% | 86% | |
| 70 | 7% | 53% | |
| 71 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 34% | |
| 73 | 4% | 20% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 6% | 11% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 6% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 69 | 2% | 91% | |
| 70 | 9% | 89% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 72 | 7% | 79% | |
| 73 | 36% | 72% | |
| 74 | 4% | 36% | |
| 75 | 7% | 32% | Median |
| 76 | 16% | 25% | |
| 77 | 7% | 9% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 8% | 98% | |
| 67 | 7% | 90% | |
| 68 | 4% | 83% | |
| 69 | 35% | 79% | |
| 70 | 6% | 45% | |
| 71 | 8% | 39% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 31% | |
| 73 | 3% | 18% | |
| 74 | 2% | 15% | |
| 75 | 5% | 13% | |
| 76 | 6% | 8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 11% | 98% | |
| 62 | 20% | 87% | |
| 63 | 7% | 66% | |
| 64 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 22% | 51% | |
| 66 | 9% | 29% | |
| 67 | 2% | 20% | |
| 68 | 4% | 18% | |
| 69 | 5% | 14% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 71 | 4% | 8% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 12% | 92% | |
| 62 | 21% | 80% | |
| 63 | 6% | 60% | |
| 64 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 65 | 22% | 48% | |
| 66 | 8% | 26% | |
| 67 | 2% | 18% | |
| 68 | 4% | 16% | |
| 69 | 7% | 13% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 71 | 4% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 61 | 10% | 91% | |
| 62 | 23% | 81% | |
| 63 | 9% | 57% | |
| 64 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 65 | 8% | 34% | |
| 66 | 3% | 27% | |
| 67 | 13% | 23% | |
| 68 | 5% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 41 | 7% | 97% | |
| 42 | 7% | 90% | |
| 43 | 4% | 83% | |
| 44 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 45 | 19% | 47% | |
| 46 | 11% | 28% | |
| 47 | 9% | 17% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 94% | |
| 37 | 3% | 86% | |
| 38 | 29% | 83% | Median |
| 39 | 12% | 54% | |
| 40 | 13% | 41% | Last Result |
| 41 | 16% | 29% | |
| 42 | 7% | 12% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 95% | |
| 30 | 18% | 92% | |
| 31 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 50% | |
| 33 | 8% | 45% | |
| 34 | 17% | 38% | Last Result |
| 35 | 13% | 21% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1207
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.30%