Opinion Poll by YouGov, 13–17 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
24.8% |
23.0–26.6% |
22.6–27.1% |
22.1–27.6% |
21.4–28.5% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
15.7% |
14.3–17.3% |
13.9–17.8% |
13.6–18.2% |
12.9–18.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
12.4% |
11.2–13.9% |
10.8–14.3% |
10.5–14.7% |
9.9–15.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.7–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.0–10.6% |
6.5–11.2% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.5–8.8% |
5.1–9.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.3% |
5.4–8.6% |
5.0–9.1% |
Stram Kurs |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–5.0% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.7% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.4–2.2% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
35% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
65% |
|
41 |
3% |
64% |
|
42 |
10% |
60% |
|
43 |
25% |
50% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
25% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
14% |
|
47 |
4% |
13% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
8% |
|
49 |
3% |
7% |
|
50 |
4% |
4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
26 |
23% |
98% |
|
27 |
15% |
75% |
|
28 |
2% |
59% |
|
29 |
8% |
58% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
50% |
Median |
31 |
42% |
49% |
|
32 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
33 |
5% |
6% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
7% |
98% |
|
20 |
9% |
91% |
|
21 |
5% |
82% |
|
22 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
23 |
4% |
14% |
|
24 |
7% |
10% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
27 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
28 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
12% |
95% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
83% |
|
16 |
7% |
80% |
|
17 |
42% |
73% |
Median |
18 |
2% |
31% |
|
19 |
7% |
30% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
23% |
|
21 |
0% |
22% |
|
22 |
22% |
22% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
2% |
91% |
|
14 |
3% |
89% |
|
15 |
36% |
86% |
|
16 |
44% |
50% |
Median |
17 |
5% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
38% |
95% |
|
12 |
29% |
57% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
27% |
|
14 |
12% |
20% |
|
15 |
4% |
8% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
17 |
3% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
9% |
98% |
|
11 |
6% |
89% |
|
12 |
52% |
84% |
Median |
13 |
28% |
31% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
24% |
98% |
|
6 |
4% |
74% |
|
7 |
20% |
70% |
|
8 |
43% |
50% |
Median |
9 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
10 |
6% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
9% |
98.8% |
|
6 |
26% |
90% |
|
7 |
50% |
64% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
14% |
|
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
4 |
12% |
99.0% |
|
5 |
10% |
87% |
|
6 |
32% |
77% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
44% |
|
8 |
36% |
36% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
95% |
|
2 |
0% |
95% |
|
3 |
0% |
95% |
|
4 |
43% |
95% |
|
5 |
33% |
52% |
Median |
6 |
7% |
19% |
|
7 |
10% |
12% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
4 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
92 |
57% |
87–97 |
87–97 |
87–98 |
85–99 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
86 |
40% |
83–92 |
83–92 |
83–94 |
82–95 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
83 |
1.3% |
78–88 |
78–88 |
77–88 |
76–90 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
79 |
0% |
75–85 |
75–85 |
73–86 |
73–87 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
73 |
0% |
72–80 |
70–80 |
70–82 |
70–83 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
76 |
0% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–80 |
70–84 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
90 |
76 |
0% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–80 |
69–84 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
76 |
0% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–80 |
68–84 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
76 |
0% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–80 |
68–84 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
70 |
0% |
66–75 |
66–76 |
66–79 |
65–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
69 |
0% |
65–73 |
64–73 |
64–73 |
62–79 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
69 |
0% |
65–73 |
64–73 |
64–73 |
62–79 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
55 |
0% |
50–60 |
50–62 |
50–62 |
50–62 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
48 |
0% |
43–51 |
41–51 |
41–51 |
41–53 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
41 |
0% |
38–44 |
37–45 |
36–45 |
35–46 |
Venstre |
34 |
30 |
0% |
26–31 |
26–33 |
26–33 |
23–33 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
35% |
98.5% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
64% |
|
89 |
6% |
63% |
|
90 |
4% |
57% |
Majority |
91 |
2% |
53% |
|
92 |
4% |
51% |
|
93 |
7% |
47% |
Median |
94 |
0.5% |
40% |
|
95 |
3% |
39% |
|
96 |
5% |
36% |
|
97 |
27% |
31% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
2% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
35% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
7% |
64% |
|
85 |
3% |
57% |
|
86 |
7% |
54% |
|
87 |
3% |
47% |
|
88 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
89 |
0.5% |
41% |
|
90 |
5% |
40% |
Majority |
91 |
5% |
35% |
|
92 |
27% |
30% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
95 |
2% |
2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
2% |
98% |
|
78 |
27% |
96% |
|
79 |
5% |
69% |
|
80 |
3% |
64% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
61% |
|
82 |
7% |
60% |
|
83 |
4% |
53% |
|
84 |
2% |
49% |
|
85 |
4% |
47% |
Median |
86 |
6% |
43% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
37% |
|
88 |
35% |
36% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
75 |
6% |
95% |
|
76 |
35% |
90% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
55% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
54% |
|
79 |
7% |
52% |
|
80 |
5% |
46% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
40% |
Median |
82 |
3% |
40% |
|
83 |
2% |
37% |
|
84 |
8% |
35% |
|
85 |
22% |
27% |
|
86 |
3% |
5% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
72 |
43% |
93% |
|
73 |
8% |
51% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
43% |
|
75 |
2% |
42% |
|
76 |
1.5% |
40% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
39% |
|
78 |
5% |
36% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
31% |
|
80 |
27% |
31% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
8% |
97% |
|
72 |
6% |
89% |
|
73 |
26% |
82% |
|
74 |
2% |
56% |
|
75 |
2% |
55% |
|
76 |
5% |
53% |
|
77 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
78 |
0.9% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
43% |
|
80 |
35% |
37% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
9% |
97% |
|
72 |
6% |
88% |
|
73 |
26% |
82% |
|
74 |
2% |
56% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
54% |
|
76 |
5% |
53% |
|
77 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
78 |
0.9% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
43% |
|
80 |
35% |
37% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
8% |
97% |
|
72 |
7% |
89% |
|
73 |
26% |
82% |
|
74 |
2% |
56% |
|
75 |
2% |
54% |
|
76 |
4% |
52% |
|
77 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
78 |
0.9% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
43% |
|
80 |
35% |
37% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
9% |
97% |
|
72 |
7% |
88% |
|
73 |
26% |
81% |
|
74 |
2% |
55% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
53% |
|
76 |
4% |
52% |
|
77 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
78 |
0.9% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
43% |
|
80 |
35% |
37% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
35% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
65% |
|
68 |
4% |
64% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
70 |
29% |
58% |
|
71 |
4% |
29% |
Median |
72 |
7% |
25% |
|
73 |
5% |
18% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
75 |
5% |
12% |
|
76 |
2% |
6% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
8% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
8% |
91% |
|
66 |
6% |
84% |
|
67 |
23% |
78% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
54% |
|
69 |
8% |
53% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
46% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
44% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
38% |
|
73 |
36% |
38% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
8% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
8% |
91% |
|
66 |
6% |
83% |
|
67 |
23% |
77% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
54% |
|
69 |
8% |
53% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
46% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
44% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
38% |
|
73 |
36% |
38% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
35% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
65% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
65% |
|
53 |
3% |
64% |
|
54 |
3% |
61% |
|
55 |
24% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
56 |
9% |
33% |
|
57 |
2% |
25% |
|
58 |
7% |
22% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
15% |
|
60 |
6% |
15% |
|
61 |
3% |
9% |
|
62 |
6% |
6% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
7% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
43 |
3% |
92% |
|
44 |
4% |
89% |
|
45 |
30% |
85% |
|
46 |
3% |
55% |
|
47 |
2% |
53% |
|
48 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
49 |
4% |
47% |
|
50 |
2% |
43% |
|
51 |
40% |
41% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
7% |
97% |
|
38 |
3% |
91% |
|
39 |
27% |
87% |
|
40 |
1.3% |
61% |
Last Result |
41 |
10% |
59% |
|
42 |
3% |
50% |
Median |
43 |
35% |
47% |
|
44 |
5% |
11% |
|
45 |
5% |
6% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
26 |
23% |
98% |
|
27 |
15% |
75% |
|
28 |
2% |
59% |
|
29 |
8% |
58% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
50% |
Median |
31 |
42% |
49% |
|
32 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
33 |
5% |
6% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–17 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 973
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.73%